"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 4/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Jack vs MichaelInInIn-13.6
+44.4+25.9-25.6No
+0.5+0.3-0.2-0.6
Geoff vs Matt+1.1+1.1+4.6-3.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 4/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Matt vs Jack-13.6InInIn
-13.2-0.6+10.1+10.2
-0.3+0.1+0.2+0.2
Michael vs Geoff+3.1+3.1-3.1-3.1
-8.8-9.7+0.9+11.6
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Jack finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1234Count
1020-0InYes1008,363,316
910-1In62.8%63374,072,753
811-0In31.2316912,632,058
00-2InNo100496,593
701-1InNo1003,083,064
602-042.1%No42584,788,552
Total:91.7%44.5%4447833,436,336
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs