Randy Marsh Playoff Chances 2011-2012

Beat La Creme Suprem 6-4, playoff odds up 1.3 to 97.9%

178 points 11-3-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 1/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
La Creme Suprem 4 Randy Marsh 6	+2.0		+0.4
Chelis Chili Ba 6 I love weed. 4	+0.1		-0.1
Tys Team 9 Silk Pylons 2	-0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 1/22	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
rymo vs Randy Marsh	-2.6+0.1+1.4		-0.7-0.1+0.4
Silk Pylons vs I love weed.	+0.2+0.1-0.1
Tys Team vs Wolf Stansson	-0.1+0.1+0.1
SakicIsGod vs Chelis Chili Ba	-0.1*-0.0+0.0		+0.1+0.0-0.1
Horse on a Plan vs Bobrovsky on da			-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Randy Marsh finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

332	7	-	0	-	0	In		100												788,268
327	4	-	3	-	0	In		3	31	35	27	4	0							1,579,805
324	3	-	0	-	4	In		50	29	20	1									1,662
321	6	-	0	-	1	In		98	2											484,278
313	2	-	0	-	5	In		25	39	25	10	1								92
310	6	-	1	-	0	In		90	8	2	0									2,158,800
	5	-	0	-	2	In		92	6	2	0									127,563
305	3	-	4	-	0	95.6	%	0	5	2	22	42	24	4	0	0				586,409
302	2	-	1	-	4	In		4	29	37	27	3	0							1,936
	1	-	0	-	6	In			100											2
300	2	-	3	-	2	95.9			4	3	23	43	23	4	0					71,732
299	5	-	1	-	1	In		70	19	10	0									1,135,699
	4	-	0	-	3	In		73	19	7	0									18,654
294	3	-	3	-	1	99.9		0	13	16	43	24	4	0						547,659
291	1	-	1	-	5	In			9	16	41	31	3							64
289	2	-	4	-	1	63.9			1	0	2	19	41	29	7	0	0			152,261
	1	-	3	-	3	62.3			1		2	18	41	30	7	0				4,074
288	5	-	2	-	0	In		43	34	21	1	0								2,498,398
	4	-	1	-	2	In		46	32	21	1	0								247,751
283	2	-	5	-	0	15.7			0		0	2	14	37	35	11	1	0		129,056
280	1	-	2	-	4	95.9			4	4	23	43	22	4						707
278	1	-	4	-	2	16.3			0		0	2	15	38	34	11	1	0		13,336
277	4	-	2	-	1	In		16	37	37	10	0	0							1,088,739
	3	-	1	-	3	In		17	39	35	9	0								28,622
269	0	-	2	-	5	68.8						19	50	19	13					16
266	3	-	2	-	2	In		3	30	36	27	4	0							190,315
263	1	-	5	-	1	0.8						0	1	10	33	38	16	2	0	22,122
261	1	-	6	-	0	Out								0	6	30	44	18	1	15,778
	0	-	5	-	2	Out								1	7	31	44	16	1	921
258	0	-	3	-	4	14.6							15	41	35	6	1	1		82
255	2	-	2	-	3	99.9		0	14	16	42	24	3	0						16,466
250	0	-	6	-	1	Out									1	6	36	44	13	1,307
	0	-	4	-	3	1.2							1	8	34	40	17	1		347
178	0	-	7	-	0	Out										0	11	54	35	3,273

Total:						97.9	%	47	20	16	9	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	11,916,194

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs