La Creme Supreme Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50

Lost to Randy Marsh 4-6, playoff odds down 0.8 to 61.9%

163 points 6-7-1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 1/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
La Creme Suprem 4 Randy Marsh 6	-14.1		-1.2
rymo 11 Bobrovsky on da 0	+0.1
Chelis Chili Ba 6 I love weed. 4	+0.1
Horse on a Plan 7 Wolf Stansson 3	-0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 1/22	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
La Creme Suprem vs Blue Scorpions	+14.6+1.4-14.8		+1.1+0.0-1.1
SakicIsGod vs Chelis Chili Ba	-0.3+0.8+0.2		+0.0+0.1-0.0
rymo vs Randy Marsh	+0.1-0.9*+0.0		+0.1-0.0-0.1
Silk Pylons vs I love weed.	+0.3+0.6-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the La Creme Suprem finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

289	7	-	0	-	0	In		98		2										58,552
278	6	-	0	-	1	In		93	1	6	0									49,311
273	3	-	3	-	1	90.5	%		3	2	16	39	31	9	1	0				985,381
272	6	-	1	-	0	In		82	5	12	0	0								389,085
267	5	-	0	-	2	In		83	5	12	0									18,681
252	5	-	1	-	1	In		58	15	26	2	0								296,392
245	5	-	2	-	0	In		30	23	39	7	0	0							1,169,372
240	2	-	2	-	3	90.8			3	2	16	40	31	9	1	0				23,605
236	4	-	0	-	3	In		60	13	25	1									4,063
228	4	-	1	-	2	In		31	22	39	7	0								93,763
225	3	-	0	-	4	In		35	24	34	7	0								495
220	3	-	4	-	0	41.0			0	0	1	9	31	39	17	2	0	0		1,948,034
	2	-	3	-	2	40.3			0	0	1	8	31	39	18	3	0	0		186,785
	0	-	1	-	6	66.7							67	33						3
219	3	-	2	-	2	99.8		0	11	21	41	22	4	0	0					187,481
218	2	-	4	-	1	2.6			0		0	0	3	16	38	32	10	1	0	740,209
	0	-	5	-	2	Out									0	1	11	45	43	18,578
217	4	-	2	-	1	100.0		7	22	42	25	4	0	0						740,288
214	3	-	1	-	3	100.0		7	23	43	24	3	0	0						15,820
	2	-	0	-	5	In		15	9	50	24	3								34
209	0	-	2	-	5	2.7							3	22	19	30	27			37
207	2	-	5	-	0	0.0			0				0	1	12	35	37	13	1	1,170,990
	1	-	4	-	2	0.0							0	1	11	34	38	15	2	93,362
	0	-	6	-	1	Out										0	1	21	78	49,187
206	4	-	3	-	0	99.8		0	11	20	41	23	4	0	0					1,950,690
203	2	-	1	-	4	99.8		0	12	21	42	23	3	0						1,578
	1	-	0	-	6	In					50	50								2
199	0	-	3	-	4	Out								1	9	36	37	17		483
196	1	-	5	-	1	Out								0	1	7	31	44	17	296,396
192	1	-	1	-	5	94.1			1	3	22	41	26	4	1					68
187	0	-	4	-	3	Out								0	1	7	30	44	19	3,909
181	1	-	2	-	4	39.3			0		1	9	29	41	17	3	0	0		1,469
176	1	-	6	-	0	Out									0	1	13	45	41	390,372
171	0	-	7	-	0	Out											0	11	89	57,858
170	1	-	3	-	3	2.5			0		0	0	2	15	37	33	11	1	0	15,855

Total:						61.9	%	10	7	13	12	10	10	10	7	7	6	5	3	10,958,188

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs