Test National Football League Playoff Chances

														100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														Chance will finish regular season at seed
	Sunday		G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength	Monday

CAR	W	ATL 38-0		13	-	0	-	0	1.000	168	In			90	10															1.1	+0.10	1	.638		Carolina Panthers
NWE	W	HOU 27-6		11	-	2	-	0	.846	149	In		+0.0	66	29	6		0												1.4	+0.77	2	.623		New England Patriots
ARI				11	-	2	-	0	.846	153	In			10	88	1		0												1.9	-0.06	3	.625		Arizona Cardinals
CIN	L	PIT 20-33		10	-	3	-	0	.769	125	100.0	%	-0.0	12	40	45		2	1	0										2.4	-0.45	5	.615		Cincinnati Bengals
DEN	L	OAK 12-15		10	-	3	-	0	.769	56	97.4		-2.3	22	30	32		7	6	3										2.7	-0.66	4	.559		Denver Broncos
SEA	W	BAL 35-6		8	-	5	-	0	.615	105	96.8		+17.3		0	0		81	15	2	1	0	0	0						5.2	+0.57	6	.598		Seattle Seahawks
MIN				8	-	5	-	0	.615	3	90.5		+10.7			44	1	6	40	5	3	1	0	0	0					4.8	+0.40	9	.503		Minnesota Vikings
GNB	L	DAL 7-28		8	-	5	-	0	.615	30	88.3		-4.8		1	51	2	10	23	8	3	1	0	0						4.4	-0.58	10	.529		Green Bay Packers
KAN	W	SDG 10-3		8	-	5	-	0	.615	88	88.3		+1.0	0	1	15		50	22	9	3	0	0							5.2	+0.26	7	.582		Kansas City Chiefs
PIT	W	CIN 33-20		8	-	5	-	0	.615	84	61.5		+21.1		1	2		26	33	29	6	3	1	0	0					6.2	+0.86	8	.575		Pittsburgh Steelers
IND	L	JAC 16-51		6	-	7	-	0	.462	-81	58.2		-2.1				58			0	2	5	11	12	8	4	1	0	0	6.8	-0.38	11	.430		Indianapolis Colts
NYJ	W	TEN 30-8		8	-	5	-	0	.615	69	45.7		+0.1		0	0		14	31	35	13	6	1	0						6.7	+0.17	14	.564		New York Jets
PHI	W	BUF 23-20		6	-	7	-	0	.462	-21	41.0		+2.2			0	40	0	0	2	4	5	9	13	10	5	7	4	0	8.3	+0.58	15	.482		Philadelphia Eagles
HOU	L	NWE 6-27		6	-	7	-	0	.462	-32	36.7		-3.4				37		0	0	3	7	16	19	13	5	1	0		8.3	-0.85	13	.469		Houston Texans
WAS	W	CHI 24-21		6	-	7	-	0	.462	-26	31.2		+5.5			2	27	0	3	13	17	15	9	7	6	3	1	0		7.6	+1.50	20	.476		Washington Redskins
NYG			1	5	-	7	-	0	.417	11	19.4		-9.3			2	15	0	2	6	11	13	11	10	9	8	6	5	1	9.4	-0.58	26	.510	at MIA	New York Giants
DAL	W	GNB 28-7		5	-	8	-	0	.385	-33	14.1		+5.8				14		0	1	2	5	10	14	14	15	16	7	1	11.0	+2.07	17	.467		Dallas Cowboys
TAM	L	NOR 17-24		6	-	7	-	0	.462	-34	10.2		-19.5					2	9	23	17	17	12	5	5	6	4	1	0	8.9	-1.28	23	.470		Tampa Bay Buccaneers
JAC	W	IND 51-16		5	-	8	-	0	.385	-31	5.2		+3.8				5			0	3	8	17	27	31	7	2	0	0	10.7	+1.14	28	.475		Jacksonville Jaguars
ATL	L	CAR 0-38		6	-	7	-	0	.462	-16	4.9		-6.1					0	4	25	19	14	13	9	5	5	4	2	0	9.1	-0.77	22	.485		Atlanta Falcons
BUF	L	PHI 20-23		6	-	7	-	0	.462	15	4.2		-18.0					0	4	14	29	26	15	7	4	0				8.7	-0.94	12	.513		Buffalo Bills
OAK	W	DEN 15-12		6	-	7	-	0	.462	-27	2.7		+0.4					0	2	8	33	29	17	7	3	0				8.8	+1.11	16	.477		Oakland Raiders
NOR	W	TAM 24-17		5	-	8	-	0	.385	-74	1.6		+1.2					0	2	5	8	9	14	14	12	13	12	9	3	11.4	+1.40	18	.444		New Orleans Saints
STL	W	DET 21-14		5	-	8	-	0	.385	-61	1.3		+0.4					0	1	6	10	12	10	11	15	13	11	9	2	11.3	+1.08	21	.433		St. Louis Rams
CHI	L	WAS 21-24		5	-	8	-	0	.385	-42	0.6		-3.1					0	1	3	3	4	7	11	11	11	18	18	13	12.8	-1.93	19	.461		Chicago Bears
MIA			1	5	-	7	-	0	.417	-60	0.2		-0.5					0	0	2	8	15	21	22	24	5	3	1	0	10.6	-0.06	25	.442	NYG	Miami Dolphins
BAL	L	SEA 6-35		4	-	9	-	0	.308	-48	Out		-0.0								0	1	2	4	13	61	15	4	1	12.9	-0.48	29	.457		Baltimore Ravens
DET	L	STL 14-21		4	-	9	-	0	.308	-69	Out		-0.2							0	2	3	3	5	10	13	10	24	29	13.9	-1.41	24	.438		Detroit Lions
SDG	L	KAN 3-10		3	-	10	-	0	.231	-84	Out												0	1	3	9	42	29	14	14.4	-0.37	30	.423		San Diego Chargers
SFO	L	CLE 10-24		4	-	9	-	0	.308	-127	Out		-0.0							0	0	1	2	3	4	8	12	22	49	14.8	-1.09	27	.367		San Francisco 49ers
TEN	L	NYJ 8-30		3	-	10	-	0	.231	-73	Out		-0.1										0	0	2	5	19	29	45	15.1	-0.46	32	.432		Tennessee Titans
CLE	W	SFO 24-10		3	-	10	-	0	.231	-117	Out												0	0	1	4	19	37	40	15.1	+0.36	31	.395		Cleveland Browns

Week of 12/10
CIN 20 PIT 33
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NWE	-0.1		+0.2
CIN			-0.4
KAN	-4.7
PIT	+25.2		+0.9
NYJ	-10.0		-0.2
BUF	-8.3		-0.2

PHI 23 BUF 20
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
KAN	+1.3
PIT	+3.3
NYJ	+4.0
PHI	+10.1		+1.1
WAS	-2.8		-0.2
NYG	-5.3		-0.3
DAL	-1.7		-0.2
BUF	-9.7		-0.5

TAM 17 NOR 24
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SEA	+6.0
MIN	+6.8
TAM	-18.7		-1.1
ATL	+2.2
NOR	+0.8		+1.6

GNB 7 DAL 28
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
GNB	-9.4		-0.5
PHI	-3.7		-0.4
WAS	-2.5		-0.3
NYG	-3.1		-0.2
DAL	+9.8		+2.2
TAM	+3.8
ATL	+2.5

CHI 21 WAS 24
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
PHI	-4.1		-0.2
WAS	+10.4		+1.7
NYG	-3.4
CHI	-3.1		-1.7

BAL 6 SEA 35
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SEA	+11.2		+0.4
MIN	-2.5
TAM	-4.0
ATL	-1.7
BAL			-0.4

HOU 6 NWE 27
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NWE	In		+0.3
IND	+8.5		+0.5
HOU	-10.7		-0.9
TEN	+0.1

NYJ 30 TEN 8
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
KAN	-1.7
PIT	-4.5
NYJ	+9.9		+0.4
BUF	-2.4
TEN	Out		-0.4

JAC 51 IND 16
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
IND	-9.6		-0.7
HOU	+7.8		+0.3
JAC	+0.9		+0.6

CAR 38 ATL 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SEA	+1.9
MIN	+1.5
GNB	+1.4
TAM	+1.4
ATL	-7.2		-0.5

KAN 10 SDG 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
KAN	+6.1		+0.2
PIT	-2.1
NYJ	-2.1
BUF	-1.0
SDG			-0.3

ARI 23 MIN 20
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
ARI	In		+0.2
SEA	+1.4
MIN	-4.9		-0.3
TAM	+1.5

DEN 12 OAK 15
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
DEN	-0.7		-0.5
OAK	+4.6		+1.1

STL 21 DET 14
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
STL			+1.1
DET			-1.0

CLE 24 SFO 10
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SFO	Out		-0.5

MIA vs NYGIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
PHI	46.3*39.935.0		8.08.38.7
NYG	7.820.932.6		10.59.38.2
DAL	17.011.310.9		10.811.211.2
MIA	0.40.1Out		10.010.211.3

Week of 12/17
IND vs HOUIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
IND	91.3*58.212.7		4.66.69.9
HOU	6.331.578.4		10.38.15.4
JAC	2.410.48.9		10.910.510.5

PIT vs DENHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
CIN	99.9*99.9In
DEN	95.899.8In		3.12.42.1
KAN	85.985.892.6		5.15.55.3
PIT	76.7*62.635.3		5.86.16.9
NYJ	37.947.359.2		6.86.66.5
BUF	2.12.17.9		8.88.88.6

DAL vs NYJHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
CIN	In*100.099.9
KAN	93.183.383.5		5.05.35.3
NYJ	36.252.155.2		7.06.46.3
PHI	36.744.845.2		8.67.98.0
WAS	28.334.234.1		7.87.57.4
DAL	23.84.84.4		9.711.412.3

WAS vs BUFHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
PHI	37.5*41.445.8		8.58.27.9
WAS	41.029.517.6		6.78.38.8
DAL	11.411.417.8		11.211.110.7
BUF	0.40.69.6		9.28.98.0

NYG vs CARHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
PHI	34.839.546.2		8.78.38.0
WAS	26.4*32.335.3		7.97.67.3
NYG	36.121.05.3		7.59.311.1
DAL	10.811.016.9		11.311.210.7

PHI vs ARIHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
PHI	53.7*41.230.7		6.77.49.6
WAS	27.7*32.034.0		7.87.67.4
NYG	16.122.522.1		9.69.39.3
DAL	9.29.618.0		11.411.410.7

MIN vs CHIHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
MIN	97.995.676.1		4.44.55.4
CHI	OutOut1.9		13.711.611.3

OAK vs GNBHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
GNB	81.095.797.1		4.94.53.9
TAM	13.17.16.7		8.98.99.0
OAK	4.60.50.4		8.39.39.4

STL vs TAMHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
MIN	93.093.186.9		4.74.74.8
GNB	91.091.284.6		4.44.44.5
TAM	2.23.521.2		10.08.97.5
STL	2.3OutOut		10.012.413.0

BAL vs KANHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
CIN	In*99.999.9
KAN	78.780.396.7		5.75.74.7
PIT	64.663.558.9		6.16.16.3
NYJ	50.150.441.8		6.66.56.8
BAL			12.513.113.3

JAC vs ATLHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
JAC	7.5*5.21.5		10.211.111.5
ATL	1.86.59.7		9.88.48.1

SEA vs CLEHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SEA	99.597.887.3		5.15.35.6

NOR vs DETHomeTieAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NOR	2.6OutOut		10.311.813.2
DET			14.914.212.4

SDG vs MIAHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
MIA	Out*0.10.5		11.210.19.8
SDG			14.014.714.9

SFO vs CINHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
CIN	99.999.9In		2.52.42.4
SFO			14.014.615.3

NWE vs TENHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
TEN			15.314.414.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Test National Football League Playoff Chances

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