HardDrive Heros Playoff Chances 2015
Lost to Paul Payne 63-88, playoff odds down 10.5 to 3.1%
1-4 .200
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/11 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tim Kanasty 63 Paul Payne 88 | -6.5 | -0.7 | ||
| Jason Rowe 62 Kyle Crew 55 | -0.8 | -0.1 | ||
| Matt Aman 132 jason henson 93 | -0.5 | |||
| chris zaitonia 101 anthony paul 94 | -0.5 | |||
| Jeff Klank 127 Jonathan Ren 142 | +0.4 | |||
| Jake Gabrielson 93 Trevor Swem 76 | +0.4 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 10/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| chris zaitonia vs Tim Kanasty | -1.7+4.2 | -0.3+0.7 | ||
| Paul Payne vs Jake Gabrielson | -0.5+0.1 | -0.1+0.0 | ||
| anthony paul vs Jeff Klank | +0.3-0.2 | |||
| Jonathan Ren vs jason henson | -0.0+0.2 | +0.0-0.1 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Tim Kanasty finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 9 | 8 | - | 0 | In | 4 | 60 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 7,079 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 1 | 99.7 | % | 0 | 6 | 31 | 39 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 56,279 | ||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 2 | 77.0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 399,053 | ||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 3 | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 37 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1,564,724 | ||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 4 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 3,693,060 | |||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 5 | Out | 0 | 1 | 14 | 54 | 30 | 1 | 5,366,554 | |||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 6 | Out | 0 | 1 | 23 | 64 | 12 | 4,636,699 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 7 | Out | 2 | 49 | 50 | 2,161,824 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 8 | Out | 9 | 91 | 415,736 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 3.1 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 32 | 11 | 18,301,008 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 10/11 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Tim Kanasty 63 Paul Payne 88 | +0.7 | |
| Jason Rowe 62 Kyle Crew 55 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 10/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| chris zaitonia vs Tim Kanasty | +0.3-0.7 | |
| Jonathan Ren vs jason henson | -0.0+0.1 | |
| Paul Payne vs Jake Gabrielson | +0.1-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 9 | 8 | - | 0 | 4 | 60 | 32 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 1 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 39 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 37 | 17 | 2 | 0 | ||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 32 | 4 | 0 | |||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 54 | 30 | 1 | |||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 64 | 12 | ||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 7 | 2 | 49 | 50 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 8 | 9 | 91 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 32 | 11 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:45 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
