How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fluminense 1 Nova Iguacu 3 +12.6
+0.4
Volta Redonda 3 Madureira 2 +5.1
+0.1
Vasco da Gama 0 Botafogo 0 +2.0
+0.0
Bangu 0 Boavista 0 +0.2
+0.0
Resende 0 Flamengo 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu-15.1-6.7+19.3
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Nova Iguacu vs Portuguesa+19.3-6.7-15.1
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Bangu vs Botafogo+7.5+3.0-9.4
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Botafogo vs Fluminense-9.4+2.9+7.5
-0.2+0.0+0.1
Portuguesa vs Madureira+7.4+3.0-9.3
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Vasco da Gama vs Madureira+7.4+3.0-9.3
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Boavista vs Volta Redonda-0.3*+0.1+0.2
Resende vs Boavista+0.1+0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nova Iguacu finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
244-0-0In1486149,185
223-1-095.9%29440372,010
213-0-189.289100588,846
202-2-071.071272352,582
192-1-165.3653141,115,006
182-0-247.6484210884,442
1-3-040.3404613148,808
171-2-123.92449261704,455
161-1-217.417483411,115,060
0-4-014.3144738123,325
151-0-37.7838514590,603
0-3-14.9533584147,481
140-2-21.41196712352,895
130-1-30.611368180371,965
120-0-40.10560341148,473
Total:41.3%0413224307,065,136
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Fluminense 1 Nova Iguacu 3 -0.9
Vasco da Gama 0 Botafogo 0 -0.1
Resende 0 Flamengo 1 -0.1
Bangu 0 Boavista 0 -0.1
Volta Redonda 3 Madureira 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/22100.0*Lottery seed
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+0.9+0.1-0.9
Nova Iguacu vs Portuguesa-0.8+0.1+0.8
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.1-0.0+0.1
Botafogo vs Fluminense+0.1-0.1-0.1
Portuguesa vs Madureira-0.1-0.1+0.1
Bangu vs Botafogo-0.1-0.1+0.1
Boavista vs Volta Redonda-0.1-0.1+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Madureira+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Bangu-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
244-0-055341
223-1-00237420
213-0-111771100
202-2-04662730
192-1-115239810
182-0-2244425600
1-3-024472540
171-2-1833401720
161-1-221738331000
0-4-02184031800
151-0-302163935810
0-3-102174232600
140-2-203214526500
130-1-300428432230
120-0-40425432430
Total:0427211713952100