Nova Iguacu Futebol Clube Playoff Chances

Beat Fluminense 3-1, playoff odds up 38.1 to 53.3%

12 points 3-3-1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Nova Iguacu finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	Count

24	4	-	0	-	0	In		2	98					917,473
22	3	-	1	-	0	97.2	%	0	97	3	0			1,933,837
21	3	-	0	-	1	92.0			92	8	0			2,475,117
20	2	-	2	-	0	72.6			73	25	2			1,531,753
19	2	-	1	-	1	67.8			68	29	3			3,896,874
18	2	-	0	-	2	49.9			50	41	9			2,462,369
	1	-	3	-	0	40.1			40	47	13			535,401
17	1	-	2	-	1	23.2			23	50	27	0		2,036,149
16	1	-	1	-	2	17.0			17	48	34	0		2,557,680
	0	-	4	-	0	13.4			13	47	40	0		70,162
15	1	-	0	-	3	7.7			8	39	52	2		1,056,679
	0	-	3	-	1	4.2			4	32	61	3		352,110
14	0	-	2	-	2	1.2			1	19	72	8		659,795
13	0	-	1	-	3	0.6			1	13	75	11	0	541,809
12	0	-	0	-	4	0.1			0	5	71	24	0	168,200

Total:						53.3	%	0	53	28	17	1	0	21,195,408

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

24	4	-	0	-	0	0	19	81
22	3	-	1	-	0	0	3	94	2	0
21	3	-	0	-	1		1	89	10	0	0
20	2	-	2	-	0		0	71	27	3	0
19	2	-	1	-	1		0	57	36	7	0	0
18	2	-	0	-	2			29	45	22	4	0
	1	-	3	-	0			27	48	23	2	0
17	1	-	2	-	1			9	35	40	14	1	0
16	1	-	1	-	2			3	19	41	30	7	0	0
	0	-	4	-	0			3	21	43	28	6	0	0
15	1	-	0	-	3			0	3	20	41	31	4	0
	0	-	3	-	1			0	3	21	46	28	3	0
14	0	-	2	-	2			0	0	4	27	49	18	1	0
13	0	-	1	-	3				0	0	8	41	41	10	1	0
12	0	-	0	-	4					0	0	11	42	37	9	1

Total:						0	1	43	22	15	10	6	2	1	0	0