"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/18100.0*Average seed
Portuguesa 2 Macae 1 -0.1
Bangu 0 Boavista 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/22100.0*Average seed
Macae vs Resende+0.1-0.0-0.0
Fluminense vs Macae-0.0+0.0+0.2
Boavista vs Volta Redonda-0.1-0.0+0.0
Resende vs Boavista+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Macae finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
134-0-00.0%021972831,120
113-1-0Out026829177,666
103-0-1Out5941456,960
92-2-0Out4555342,140
82-1-1Out28721,638,637
72-0-2Out18821,907,869
1-3-0Out1684262,355
61-2-1Out9911,800,824
51-1-2Out3974,074,265
0-4-0Out10069,903
1-4Out10010,433,669*
Total:0.0%00089221,195,408

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Portuguesa 2 Macae 1 +0.6
Volta Redonda 3 Madureira 2 +0.1
Resende 0 Flamengo 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/22100.0*Lottery seed
Fluminense vs Macae+0.1-0.1-0.8
Macae vs Resende-0.5+0.1+0.2
Portuguesa vs Madureira+0.1+0.0-0.1
Nova Iguacu vs Portuguesa-0.0+0.0+0.1
Bangu vs Botafogo+0.1+0.0-0.0
Flamengo vs Bangu-0.0+0.0+0.1
Boavista vs Volta Redonda+0.1+0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
134-0-00218532520
113-1-0094437910
103-0-1226442340
92-2-0063141203
82-1-109334216
72-0-202174635
1-3-002164637
61-2-1033166
51-1-20892
0-4-0100
1-4100
Total:00001361378