How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday, 1/31None
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Saturday, 2/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Volta Redonda vs Portuguesa-11.8InIn
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense-11.8InIn
-0.5-0.3+0.7

What If

Chances based on how well the Fluminense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
131-0-0In1003,174,535
110-1-0In1002,002,313
100-0-181.0%81193,174,696
Total:92.8%385578,351,544
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday, 1/31100.0*Lottery seed
Bangu 1 Cabofriense 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Saturday, 2/2100.0*Lottery seed
Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense+1.0+0.2-1.1
Volta Redonda vs Portuguesa+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
131-0-0955
110-1-06238
100-0-12150254
Total:36252892