Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Beat Minnesota 4-2, playoff odds up 13.3 to 56.7%

84 points 37 26-10

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Winnipeg 4 Minnesota 2	+13.7		+0.3
Chicago 2 Colorado 4	-0.4

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	-0.2+0.1+0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2
Dallas vs San Jose	+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.3-0.5-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

102	9	0		-	0	In		0.1	%	0	5	34	46	2		13	0									5,268
101	8	0		-	1	100.0	%	No		0	1	23	47	6		23	0	0								5,268
100	8	1		-	0	100.0		No			0	9	39	11	0	40	2	0								39,698
	7	0		-	2	In		No			0	6	37	13	0	39	3									2,437
99	7	1		-	1	99.8		No			0	3	25	15	0	50	6	0								37,293
	6	0		-	3	In		No				3	24	16	0	51	7									695
98	7	2		-	0	99.0		No			0	0	11	12	1	60	15	1								140,164
	6	1		-	2	98.9		No				0	9	13	1	59	16	1								15,372
	5	0		-	4	99.2		No					8	13	2	63	13	1								120
97	6	2		-	1	96.6		No				0	4	8	1	56	28	3								114,343
	5	1		-	3	96.4		No				0	3	8	1	54	31	4								3,595
	4	0		-	5	In		No						18		82										11
96	6	3		-	0	91.2		No				0	1	3	1	46	40	9	0							288,730
	5	2		-	2	90.4		No				0	1	3	1	45	41	10								40,396
	4	1		-	4	89.8		No					1	3	0	43	43	10								527
95	5	3		-	1	81.3		No					0	1	1	31	48	19	0							203,064
	4	2		-	3	79.2		No					0	1	1	29	48	21	0							7,915
	3	1		-	5	81.8		No								40	42	18								55
94	5	4		-	0	68.1		No					0	0	0	19	49	32	0							383,264
	4	3		-	2	66.6		No					0	0	0	18	49	33	0							59,350
	3	2		-	4	65.1		No						0	0	17	47	35	0							960
	2	1		-	6	33.3		No								33		67								3
93	4	4		-	1	51.7		No					0	0	0	9	43	47	1							224,488
	3	3		-	3	48.7		No						0	0	8	41	50	1							9,333
	2	2		-	5	42.5		No								5	37	56	1							73
92	4	5		-	0	35.3		No					0	0	0	4	31	62	3	0						338,939
	3	4		-	2	33.7		No						0	0	3	30	63	4	0						52,565
	2	3		-	4	32.3		No								2	30	64	4							807
	1	2		-	6	In		No									100									1
91	3	5		-	1	21.0		No						0	0	1	20	71	8	0						158,736
	2	4		-	3	19.0		No								1	18	71	10	0						6,157
	1	3		-	5	20.7		No									21	79								29
90	3	6		-	0	10.4		No								0	10	71	18	0						198,896
	2	5		-	2	9.5		No								0	9	69	21	0						27,971
	1	4		-	4	9.0		No								1	8	66	24	1						355
89	2	6		-	1	4.3		No								0	4	62	32	1	0					70,460
	1	5		-	3	4.1		No								0	4	59	36	1						2,215
	0	4		-	5	Out		No										67	33							6
88	2	7		-	0	1.3		No								0	1	47	47	5	0					75,602
	1	6		-	2	1.1		No								0	1	42	51	6						8,177
	0	5		-	4	Out		No										46	54							61
87	1	7		-	1	0.4		No									0	30	58	12	0					17,676
	0	6		-	3	0.6		No									1	32	54	13						328
86	1	8		-	0	0.0		No									0	16	59	24	0					16,567
	0	7		-	2	Out		No										12	62	26	0					1,036
85	0	8		-	1	0.1		No									0	8	50	40	2					1,875
84	0	9		-	0	Out		No										2	37	54	6	0				1,839

Total:						56.7	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	2	2	0	21	31	37	6	1	0	0				2,562,720

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Winnipeg 4 Minnesota 2	-1.1
New Jersey 2 Columbus 1 (ot)	*+0.1
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 1	-0.0
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Boston	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

102	9	0		-	0	0	2	14	34	33	14	2	0
101	8	0		-	1		0	5	18	34	29	11	2	0								0
100	8	1		-	0		0	1	6	21	34	27	10	2	0	0						0
	7	0		-	2			0	4	19	31	30	13	2	0	0
99	7	1		-	1			0	1	6	21	32	26	11	2	0	0					0
	6	0		-	3				0	5	19	30	27	14	4	0
98	7	2		-	0				0	1	6	20	32	26	11	2	0	0				1
	6	1		-	2				0	1	5	17	30	29	14	3	0	0				1
	5	0		-	4						6	18	28	28	14	5						1
97	6	2		-	1				0	0	1	5	17	30	27	13	3	0	0			3
	5	1		-	3					0	1	3	15	28	29	16	4	1				4
	4	0		-	5							9	18	27	36	9
96	6	3		-	0					0	0	1	5	16	29	26	12	3	0	0	0	9	0
	5	2		-	2						0	0	3	13	27	28	15	4	0	0	0	10
	4	1		-	4							0	2	12	26	30	16	3	1	0		10
95	5	3		-	1						0	0	0	3	13	25	24	12	3	0	0	19	0
	4	2		-	3							0	0	2	11	23	25	13	3	0	0	21	0
	3	1		-	5									2	7	31	25	13	4			18
94	5	4		-	0							0	0	0	3	11	21	20	10	3	0	32	0
	4	3		-	2								0	0	2	10	20	21	11	3	0	33	0
	3	2		-	4									0	2	9	18	21	12	4	0	35	0
	2	1		-	6									33								67
93	4	4		-	1									0	0	2	8	16	16	8	2	47	1	0	0
	3	3		-	3									0	0	2	7	15	15	8	2	50	1
	2	2		-	5												7	16	15	4		53	4
92	4	5		-	0										0	0	2	6	11	11	5	59	5	0	0
	3	4		-	2										0	0	1	5	10	11	6	59	7	0	0
	2	3		-	4											0	1	3	9	11	7	60	7	1
	1	2		-	6												100
91	3	5		-	1											0	0	1	4	8	8	60	17	2	0	0
	2	4		-	3												0	1	3	7	8	59	19	3	0
	1	3		-	5														7	7	7	76	3
90	3	6		-	0											0	0	0	1	3	7	43	32	12	2	0	0	0
	2	5		-	2												0	0	1	2	6	40	34	13	3	0	0
	1	4		-	4													0	0	3	6	36	34	16	5	1
89	2	6		-	1													0	0	1	4	22	35	27	10	2	0	0
	1	5		-	3														0	0	4	20	34	28	12	2	0
	0	4		-	5																	17	17	33	33
88	2	7		-	0															0	1	6	22	34	26	9	1	0
	1	6		-	2															0	1	5	20	34	28	10	2	0
	0	5		-	4																	3	33	28	26	10
87	1	7		-	1																0	1	8	24	35	23	7	1	0
	0	6		-	3																1	2	9	25	34	22	6	2	0
86	1	8		-	0																0	0	2	9	27	35	21	5	0	0
	0	7		-	2																		0	8	27	36	22	6	1
85	0	8		-	1																0		0	2	14	31	33	16	3	0
84	0	9		-	0																		0	0	4	15	34	34	11	1	0

Total:						0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	7	8	8	7	5	4	2	30	7	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0