Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Beat Florida 3-2, playoff odds up 0.001 to 0.003%

65 points 29 35-7

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Average seed
Pittsburgh 3 Florida 2	+0.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Average seed
Detroit vs Buffalo	+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

87		11	0		-	0	3.7	%	No						1		3	17	38	31	9	1	0			1,459
86		10	0		-	1	0.3		No								0	5	24	38	26	6	0			1,539
85		10	1		-	0	0.1		No						0		0	1	11	33	38	15	2	0		12,154
		9	0		-	2	0.1		No								0	1	6	33	39	20	2			996
84		9	1		-	1	Out		No									0	2	17	40	33	7	0		14,341
		8	0		-	3	Out		No										2	11	38	42	7	1		376
83		9	2		-	0	Out		No									0	1	7	31	44	17	0	0	53,448
		8	1		-	2	Out		No									0	0	5	26	47	20	1		7,586	*
82		8	2		-	1	Out		No										0	1	14	47	35	3	0	56,624
		7	1		-	3	Out		No											1	12	44	41	3		2,361	*
81		8	3		-	0	Out		No										0	0	6	37	48	8	0	142,162
		7	2		-	2	Out		No										0	0	5	33	52	10	0	26,101
		6	1		-	4	Out		No												2	27	59	12		477	*
80		7	3		-	1	Out		No											0	1	20	57	21	1	133,054
		6	2		-	3	Out		No											0	1	17	57	23	1	7,303	*
79		7	4		-	0	Out		No											0	0	10	52	34	4	251,213
		6	3		-	2	Out		No												0	9	50	36	4	54,380
		5	2		-	4	Out		No												0	6	49	41	5	1,265	*
78		6	4		-	1	Out		No												0	3	37	49	11	205,695
		5	3		-	3	Out		No													3	36	50	12	12,722
		4	2		-	5	Out		No													2	34	47	16	131
77		6	5		-	0	Out		No												0	1	24	54	21	310,345
		5	4		-	2	Out		No												0	1	22	54	23	71,946
		4	3		-	4	Out		No													1	20	56	23	1,890	*
76		5	5		-	1	Out		No													0	11	51	38	217,780
		4	4		-	3	Out		No													0	10	50	40	13,957
		3	3		-	5	Out		No														8	44	48	181	*
75		5	6		-	0	Out		No													0	5	42	53	273,551
		4	5		-	2	Out		No													0	5	40	55	63,500
		3	4		-	4	Out		No														4	41	55	1,689	*
74		4	6		-	1	Out		No													0	1	28	70	160,138
		3	5		-	3	Out		No														1	27	72	9,962
		2	4		-	5	Out		No														1	21	78	125
73		4	7		-	0	Out		No													0	0	18	82	173,141
		3	6		-	2	Out		No														0	17	83	37,672
		2	5		-	4	Out		No															13	87	871	*
72		3	7		-	1	Out		No														0	9	91	81,257
		2	6		-	3	Out		No															8	92	4,501	*
71		3	8		-	0	Out		No														0	4	96	76,034
		2	7		-	2	Out		No														0	4	96	14,138
		1	6		-	4	Out		No															2	98	238
70		2	8		-	1	Out		No															2	98	27,068
		1	7		-	3	Out		No															2	98	1,122	*
69		2	9		-	0	Out		No															1	99	22,499
		1	8		-	2	Out		No															1	99	3,194	*
68		1	9		-	1	Out		No															0	100	5,225
		0	8		-	3	Out		No																100	109
67		1	10		-	0	Out		No															0	100	3,908
		0	9		-	2	Out		No																100	299
65	-66						Out		No																100	993	*

Total:							0.0	%	No						0		0	0	0	1	2	8	22	32	36	2,562,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 3 Florida 2	-0.5
Calgary 2 Los Angeles 4	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	-0.1*+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Nashville vs Arizona	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Buffalo	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

87	11	0		-	0															0	3	0	7	26	33	22	7	1		0
86	10	0		-	1																0		1	9	26	33	23	6	1
85	10	1		-	0															0	0		0	2	12	28	34	18	5	0	0
	9	0		-	2																0		0	1	8	27	34	23	6	1
84	9	1		-	1																		0	0	2	12	29	34	18	4	0
	8	0		-	3																				1	6	29	36	23	5
83	9	2		-	0																			0	0	4	17	35	31	11	1	0
	8	1		-	2																				0	2	14	32	35	14	2	0
82	8	2		-	1																				0	0	4	20	38	29	7	1	0
	7	1		-	3																					0	2	16	38	33	9	1	0	0
81	8	3		-	0																				0	0	1	9	30	39	18	3	0	0
	7	2		-	2																					0	1	7	26	40	22	4	0	0
	6	1		-	4																						0	4	21	44	23	6	1
80	7	3		-	1																					0	0	1	12	35	35	14	2	0	0
	6	2		-	3																						0	1	9	33	37	16	3	0
79	7	4		-	0																						0	0	5	23	38	26	7	1	0
	6	3		-	2																						0	0	3	20	38	28	9	1	0
	5	2		-	4																							0	2	14	36	33	12	3	0
78	6	4		-	1																							0	1	7	27	37	22	6	0
	5	3		-	3																							0	0	6	25	37	24	7	1
	4	2		-	5																									4	18	43	31	3	1
77	6	5		-	0																							0	0	2	15	34	33	14	2
	5	4		-	2																								0	2	13	32	34	16	3
	4	3		-	4																									1	10	29	38	19	3
76	5	5		-	1																								0	0	4	19	37	30	9
	4	4		-	3																									0	3	18	37	32	10
	3	3		-	5																										4	15	30	36	14
75	5	6		-	0																								0	0	1	10	30	40	19
	4	5		-	2																									0	1	8	29	41	21
	3	4		-	4																										0	6	28	43	22
74	4	6		-	1																									0	0	3	16	42	39
	3	5		-	3																										0	2	15	42	41
	2	4		-	5																											3	8	34	55
73	4	7		-	0																										0	1	9	36	54
	3	6		-	2																										0	1	7	34	58
	2	5		-	4																											1	5	31	63
72	3	7		-	1																											0	2	23	74
	2	6		-	3																											0	2	21	77
71	3	8		-	0																											0	1	15	84
	2	7		-	2																												1	13	86
	1	6		-	4																													6	94
70	2	8		-	1																												0	7	93
	1	7		-	3																													6	94
69	2	9		-	0																												0	3	97
	1	8		-	2																												0	3	97
68	1	9		-	1																												0	1	99
67	1	10		-	0																													0	100
	0	9		-	2																														100
66	0	10		-	1																													0	100
65	0	11		-	0																														100

Total:																				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	9	13	16	17	18	19