New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Beat Columbus 2-1 (ot), playoff odds up 0.4 to 99.9%

89 points 40 23-9

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
New Jersey 2 Columbus 1 (ot)	+0.4		+0.5		+0.4
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 1					-0.0
Chicago 2 Colorado 4			+0.2
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1					+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Nashville vs Arizona			+0.4+0.0+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.3
Dallas vs San Jose			-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Detroit vs Buffalo					-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

109	10	0		-	0	In		70.9	%	100																2,699
108	9	0		-	1	In		58.3		100	0															2,951
107	9	1		-	0	In		39.9		99	1															22,029
	8	0		-	2	In		37.6		99	1															1,515
106	8	1		-	1	In		25.1		97	3															23,037
	7	0		-	3	In		21.8		97	3															500
105	8	2		-	0	In		11.7		94	6	0														87,797
	7	1		-	2	In		10.7		92	8	0														10,957
	6	0		-	4	In		8.7		88	13															104
104	7	2		-	1	In		4.7		86	14	0														81,833
	6	1		-	3	In		3.7		82	18	0														2,876
	5	0		-	5	In		No		87	13															15
103	7	3		-	0	In		1.1		74	25	1	0													206,371
	6	2		-	2	In		0.9		69	29	1	0													33,419
	5	1		-	4	In		0.4		68	30	2														540
102	6	3		-	1	In		0.2		58	38	3	0													169,702
	5	2		-	3	In		0.1		53	43	5	0													7,809
	4	1		-	5	In		No		40	50	10														62
101	6	4		-	0	In		0.0		40	50	10	0	0												319,631
	5	3		-	2	In		0.0		35	53	11	0	0												59,758
	4	2		-	4	In		No		31	55	13	1													1,109	*
100	5	4		-	1	In		0.0		24	54	21	2	0												224,577
	4	3		-	3	In		No		19	54	24	2	0												11,579
	3	2		-	5	In		No		17	51	28	3													121	*
99	5	5		-	0	In		No		11	47	36	6	0	0											338,931
	4	4		-	2	In		No		8	45	39	7	0	0	0										65,790
	3	3		-	4	In		No		6	45	40	9	1												1,361	*
98	4	5		-	1	In		No		4	31	46	17	2	0	0										197,681
	3	4		-	3	In		No		2	28	48	20	2	0	0										10,204
	2	3		-	5	In		No		1	24	45	26	3												88
97	4	6		-	0	In		No		1	15	45	32	7	0	0										248,801
	3	5		-	2	In		No		0	13	43	34	9	1	0										46,295
	2	4		-	4	In		No		1	10	40	36	12	0	0										888	*
96	3	6		-	1	100.0	%	No		0	5	29	42	21	2	0	0	0								116,825
	2	5		-	3	In		No		0	4	23	43	25	4	1	0									5,404
	1	4		-	5	In		No			3	17	44	31	6											36
95	3	7		-	0	In		No		0	1	14	38	38	8	1	0									125,259
	2	6		-	2	100.0		No		0	1	11	35	40	11	2	0	0								20,528
	1	5		-	4	In		No			1	10	32	41	12	5	0									311	*
94	2	7		-	1	100.0		No			0	3	20	47	24	5	1	0								44,044
	1	6		-	3	99.6		No			0	2	16	44	29	8	1	0								1,696	*
93	2	8		-	0	99.6		No			0	1	8	41	38	9	3	0	0							41,913
	1	7		-	2	99.1		No				0	5	35	42	12	5	1								5,090
	0	6		-	4	In		No					6	41	37	12	4									49
92	1	8		-	1	95.8		No				0	1	20	47	14	13	4	0							9,645
	0	7		-	3	91.0		No						11	45	16	20	9	0							211
91	1	9		-	0	87.4		No					0	10	44	12	22	11	1	0						8,203
	0	8		-	2	80.2		No						7	36	11	27	17	3	0						577
90	0	9		-	1	59.9		No						2	24	5	29	29	10	1						975
89	0	10		-	0	38.2		No						1	15	2	21	41	16	4	0					924

Total:						99.9	%	1.5	%	29	30	21	11	6	2	0	0	0	0	0	0					2,562,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
New Jersey 2 Columbus 1 (ot)	-0.9
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1	-0.1
Chicago 2 Colorado 4	+0.1
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 1	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dallas vs San Jose	+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Buffalo	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

109	10	0		-	0	71	27	2	0
108	9	0		-	1	58	35	6	0
107	9	1		-	0	40	46	14	1
	8	0		-	2	38	47	14	1
106	8	1		-	1	25	48	25	3	0
	7	0		-	3	22	45	29	4
105	8	2		-	0	12	41	39	8	1	0
	7	1		-	2	11	39	40	10	1
	6	0		-	4	9	37	38	16	1
104	7	2		-	1	5	28	45	19	3	0	0
	6	1		-	3	4	24	47	21	5	0
	5	0		-	5		20	40	40
103	7	3		-	0	1	13	41	33	10	1	0	0
	6	2		-	2	1	12	38	35	12	2	0	0
	5	1		-	4	0	12	38	34	12	3
102	6	3		-	1	0	5	25	38	24	7	1	0	0
	5	2		-	3	0	3	20	38	27	9	1	0
	4	1		-	5		2	8	39	32	15	5
101	6	4		-	0	0	1	10	30	35	18	5	0	0
	5	3		-	2	0	1	9	28	36	21	6	1	0
	4	2		-	4		1	6	25	38	23	7	1	0
100	5	4		-	1	0	0	2	13	31	33	17	4	0	0
	4	3		-	3		0	2	11	27	34	20	5	1		0
	3	2		-	5			2	4	26	40	22	3	2
99	5	5		-	0		0	0	4	16	32	31	14	3	0	0
	4	4		-	2		0	0	3	14	31	32	16	4	0	0
	3	3		-	4			0	2	11	30	33	19	5	0
98	4	5		-	1			0	0	4	16	32	31	14	3	0	0	0
	3	4		-	3			0	0	3	13	30	33	17	4	0	0	0
	2	3		-	5					2	8	25	38	17	9	1
97	4	6		-	0				0	1	4	17	32	29	13	3	0	0	0
	3	5		-	2				0	0	3	14	30	31	16	4	1	0
	2	4		-	4					0	3	12	28	30	21	6	0	0
96	3	6		-	1				0	0	0	4	15	30	29	16	5	1	0	0		0
	2	5		-	3						0	3	12	26	31	19	7	1	0
	1	4		-	5								6	36	22	22	14
95	3	7		-	0					0	0	0	4	14	28	30	17	6	1	0	0
	2	6		-	2						0	0	2	11	25	31	21	8	2	0	0	0
	1	5		-	4							0	3	9	25	27	21	12	2	0
94	2	7		-	1							0	0	3	11	24	30	21	8	2	0	0	0
	1	6		-	3								0	1	8	21	28	26	12	2	0	0
93	2	8		-	0								0	0	2	10	24	31	22	8	1	0	0
	1	7		-	2									0	1	6	19	31	27	13	3	1	0
	0	6		-	4											4	24	33	24	12	2
92	1	8		-	1										0	1	7	20	32	26	10	3	1	0
	0	7		-	3											1	3	12	30	31	13	6	3	0
91	1	9		-	0											0	1	7	22	34	22	5	7	1	0
	0	8		-	2												1	5	13	37	25	8	9	2	0
90	0	9		-	1													1	4	20	35	7	21	10	1	0
89	0	10		-	0													0	2	9	27	5	29	20	7	1	0

Total:						1	5	11	13	14	13	12	10	7	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0