Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

New York Islanders Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.7 to 62.6%

79 points 36 28-7

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 1	+1.7		+0.1
New Jersey 2 Columbus 1 (ot)	*+0.2		*-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Toronto vs Boston	*+0.0-2.1-1.3-1.2-1.1+0.3		+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

101	11	0		-	0	In		No	39	49	11	1													1,474
100	10	0		-	1	In		No	19	49	27	5	0												1,580
99	10	1		-	0	In		No	8	37	40	14	1	0	0										12,315
	9	0		-	2	In		No	5	32	43	19	2	0											942
98	9	1		-	1	In		No	2	18	41	31	7	0	1										14,250
	8	0		-	3	In		No	1	14	41	33	10		1										347
97	9	2		-	0	In		No	0	7	30	41	18	2	1										53,627
	8	1		-	2	In		No	0	4	26	42	23	3	2										7,647	*
96	8	2		-	1	In		No	0	1	13	37	34	9	5	0									56,480	*
	7	1		-	3	100.0	%	No	0	0	9	33	36	13	8	0	0								2,494
95	8	3		-	0	100.0		No	0	0	4	23	41	23	9	0	0								141,606
	7	2		-	2	100.0		No		0	3	19	40	25	12	0	0								26,228
	6	1		-	4	In		No			3	16	35	28	17	1									482
94	7	3		-	1	99.9		No		0	1	8	30	40	19	2	0								133,223
	6	2		-	3	99.7		No			0	6	25	41	23	4	0								7,191	*
93	7	4		-	0	99.1		No		0	0	2	16	50	23	7	1	0	0						252,155
	6	3		-	2	98.7		No			0	2	13	49	25	10	1	0							54,672
	5	2		-	4	97.0		No				1	10	48	24	13	3	0							1,253	*
92	6	4		-	1	94.4		No			0	0	5	45	25	20	5	0	0						204,953
	5	3		-	3	91.4		No				0	3	41	23	25	8	0	0						12,833
	4	2		-	5	93.2		No					2	31	29	31	5	1							147
91	6	5		-	0	85.0		No				0	1	37	18	29	13	1	0						310,260
	5	4		-	2	80.7		No				0	1	33	16	31	17	2	0						71,688
	4	3		-	4	75.5		No					0	29	15	32	21	3	0						1,895	*
90	5	5		-	1	61.4		No				0	0	21	9	31	31	7	1	0					217,763
	4	4		-	3	52.0		No					0	16	7	30	36	11	1	0					14,164
	3	3		-	5	39.5		No						11	3	26	37	21	2						177
89	5	6		-	0	39.6		No					0	13	4	23	39	18	3	0	0				274,094
	4	5		-	2	33.0		No					0	10	3	20	41	21	4	0	0				63,519
	3	4		-	4	27.9		No						8	2	18	43	23	5	0					1,687	*
88	4	6		-	1	16.4		No						5	1	11	37	34	11	1	0				160,171
	3	5		-	3	10.6		No						3	0	8	35	38	15	2	0				10,232	*
87	4	7		-	0	6.2		No						2	0	4	25	40	23	5	0				173,016
	3	6		-	2	4.3		No						1	0	3	23	40	26	6	0				37,683
	2	5		-	4	1.7		No						0		1	21	42	27	8	1				886	*
86	3	7		-	1	1.2		No						0	0	1	11	34	37	15	1				80,617
	2	6		-	3	0.7		No						0		0	8	30	41	19	2				4,480	*
85	3	8		-	0	0.2		No						0		0	4	21	42	29	4	0			76,000
	2	7		-	2	0.1		No						0	0	0	3	19	40	33	5	0			14,280
	1	6		-	4	Out		No									2	19	38	33	8				234	*
84	2	8		-	1	0.0		No						0		0	1	9	33	44	13	0			26,632
	1	7		-	3	Out		No									0	8	33	43	16	0			1,123	*
83	2	9		-	0	Out		No									0	3	20	50	25	2	0		22,368
	1	8		-	2	Out		No									0	2	16	49	30	3			3,157	*
82	1	9		-	1	Out		No										1	8	41	42	8	0		5,298
	0	8		-	3	Out		No										1	7	38	45	9	1		128
81	1	10		-	0	Out		No											3	28	50	18	2	0	3,947
	0	9		-	2	Out		No											2	22	51	23	2		301
80	0	10		-	1	Out		No											0	13	41	39	6	1	508
79	0	11		-	0	Out		No												5	30	46	16	2	513

Total:						62.6	%	No	0	1	2	4	8	23	11	14	16	11	7	3	1	0	0	0	2,562,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 1	-0.1
New Jersey 2 Columbus 1 (ot)	*+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0*+0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Boston	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0
Dallas vs San Jose	-0.0*+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

101	11	0		-	0		1	11	28	34	21	5	1	0
100	10	0		-	1			2	12	26	33	20	6	1	0
99	10	1		-	0		0	0	3	13	28	31	19	5	1	0	0
	9	0		-	2				1	10	24	31	23	10	1	0
98	9	1		-	1			0	0	2	10	25	32	22	7	1	0	0
	8	0		-	3				0	1	12	21	30	23	9	3	1
97	9	2		-	0				0	0	2	10	25	31	22	8	2	0	0
	8	1		-	2				0	0	1	8	21	32	24	11	2	0	0
96	8	2		-	1					0	0	1	8	21	32	25	10	2	0	0
	7	1		-	3						0	1	5	18	30	28	14	4	1	0		0
95	8	3		-	0						0	0	1	7	20	31	27	12	3	0	0	0
	7	2		-	2						0	0	1	5	17	30	29	15	4	0	0	0
	6	1		-	4							0		4	14	30	25	18	7	1	0
94	7	3		-	1							0	0	1	5	17	30	29	15	4	0	0	0
	6	2		-	3									0	4	14	28	30	18	6	1	0	0
93	7	4		-	0								0	0	1	4	16	31	30	14	3	1	0	0	0
	6	3		-	2									0	0	3	13	29	32	17	4	1	0	0
	5	2		-	4										0	3	11	26	32	21	5	2	1	0
92	6	4		-	1								0		0	0	4	16	31	30	12	4	2	0	0
	5	3		-	3											0	2	12	29	33	16	5	3	0	0
	4	2		-	5												3	9	28	37	16	3	3	1
91	6	5		-	0											0	0	5	19	35	26	6	8	1	0	0
	5	4		-	2											0	0	3	15	33	29	7	10	2	0	0
	4	3		-	4											0	0	2	13	30	30	9	13	3	0
90	5	5		-	1												0	1	6	22	33	8	21	8	1	0
	4	4		-	3													0	3	16	32	9	26	11	2	0
	3	3		-	5													1	3	5	31	12	29	15	4
89	5	6		-	0												0	0	1	10	29	5	28	21	6	1	0	0
	4	5		-	2													0	1	7	25	5	29	24	8	1	0
	3	4		-	4														0	4	23	4	29	29	9	1
88	4	6		-	1													0	0	2	14	2	23	34	19	5	1	0	0
	3	5		-	3														0	1	9	2	21	35	24	7	1	0
87	4	7		-	0														0	0	6	0	11	30	32	16	4	0	0
	3	6		-	2														0	0	4	0	9	29	34	19	5	0	0
	2	5		-	4																2	0	8	29	34	19	7	1
86	3	7		-	1															0	1	0	3	16	32	31	14	3	0
	2	6		-	3																1		2	13	29	34	17	4	0
85	3	8		-	0															0	0	0	1	5	20	36	28	9	1	0
	2	7		-	2																0		0	4	18	33	31	12	1	0
	1	6		-	4																			3	16	35	30	15	2
84	2	8		-	1																0		0	1	7	23	37	25	6	0	0
	1	7		-	3																			1	6	20	38	27	8	0
83	2	9		-	0																			0	2	11	32	37	16	2	0
	1	8		-	2																			0	1	8	29	37	21	3	0
82	1	9		-	1																				0	2	15	35	34	12	2	0
	0	8		-	3																						14	32	39	13	2
81	1	10		-	0																					0	5	24	39	25	6	1	0
	0	9		-	2																						3	18	39	32	7	1
80	0	10		-	1																						1	8	24	33	24	8	1
79	0	11		-	0																							1	13	28	34	18	6	1

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	8	11	13	14	3	10	9	7	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0