Florida Panthers Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Lost to Pittsburgh 2-3, playoff odds down 0.02 to 0.003%

65 points 30 36-5

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Average seed
Pittsburgh 3 Florida 2	-0.4

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Average seed
Detroit vs Buffalo	+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

87	11	0		-	0	3.6	%	No							0	3	20	39	29	8	0				1,537
86	10	0		-	1	0.6		No								1	7	24	41	23	4	0			1,577
85	10	1		-	0	0.1		No								0	1	13	38	36	11	1			12,079
	9	0		-	2	0.1		No								0	1	10	35	38	15	1			942
84	9	1		-	1	Out		No									0	3	21	42	30	5	0		14,153
	8	0		-	3	Out		No									0	2	15	39	38	6			329
83	9	2		-	0	Out		No									0	1	10	36	41	11	0		53,535
	8	1		-	2	Out		No									0	1	8	32	44	14	0		7,541	*
82	8	2		-	1	Out		No										0	2	18	48	30	1	0	56,231
	7	1		-	3	Out		No										0	2	15	47	34	2		2,302	*
81	8	3		-	0	Out		No										0	1	10	43	43	4	0	142,488
	7	2		-	2	Out		No										0	0	8	41	45	5	0	26,694
	6	1		-	4	Out		No											0	8	39	45	7		524	*
80	7	3		-	1	Out		No											0	2	25	57	15	1	132,643
	6	2		-	3	Out		No											0	1	23	57	18	1	7,256	*
79	7	4		-	0	Out		No										0	0	1	16	57	25	2	250,336
	6	3		-	2	Out		No											0	0	13	56	28	3	54,393
	5	2		-	4	Out		No												0	12	51	33	4	1,273	*
78	6	4		-	1	Out		No												0	5	43	43	9	205,629
	5	3		-	3	Out		No												0	4	40	46	10	12,800
	4	2		-	5	Out		No													2	35	51	12	136
77	6	5		-	0	Out		No												0	2	33	50	16	309,226
	5	4		-	2	Out		No												0	2	30	51	18	72,179
	4	3		-	4	Out		No													2	25	54	20	1,821	*
76	5	5		-	1	Out		No													0	15	51	34	218,654
	4	4		-	3	Out		No													0	13	51	36	14,234
	3	3		-	5	Out		No														10	50	40	188	*
75	5	6		-	0	Out		No													0	9	46	46	273,769
	4	5		-	2	Out		No													0	7	44	48	63,973
	3	4		-	4	Out		No														6	42	53	1,700	*
74	4	6		-	1	Out		No													0	2	31	67	160,494
	3	5		-	3	Out		No													0	2	30	69	9,820
	2	4		-	5	Out		No														1	31	68	129
73	4	7		-	0	Out		No													0	1	23	76	172,771
	3	6		-	2	Out		No														1	21	78	37,367
	2	5		-	4	Out		No														0	17	82	921	*
72	3	7		-	1	Out		No														0	11	89	81,160
	2	6		-	3	Out		No														0	10	90	4,438	*
71	3	8		-	0	Out		No														0	7	93	76,285
	2	7		-	2	Out		No														0	6	94	14,469
	1	6		-	4	Out		No															4	96	270
70	2	8		-	1	Out		No														0	3	97	26,749
	1	7		-	3	Out		No															4	96	1,116	*
69	2	9		-	0	Out		No															1	99	22,828
	1	8		-	2	Out		No															2	98	3,164	*
68	1	9		-	1	Out		No															0	100	5,344	*
67	1	10		-	0	Out		No															0	100	3,982
	0	9		-	2	Out		No															2	98	319
66	0	10		-	1	Out		No															0	100	449
65	0	11		-	0	Out		No																100	503

Total:						0.0	%	No							0	0	0	0	1	3	9	25	31	32	2,562,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 3 Florida 2	+0.7

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Nashville vs Arizona	+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Buffalo	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

87	11	0		-	0														0	0	3	0	9	27	35	19	5	0
86	10	0		-	1																1		2	11	29	32	19	5	1	0
85	10	1		-	0																0		0	3	14	32	33	14	3	0
	9	0		-	2																0			2	11	32	32	18	3	1
84	9	1		-	1																			0	3	16	33	31	13	2	0
	8	0		-	3																			1	4	10	33	32	17	2	0
83	9	2		-	0																		0	0	1	6	22	37	27	7	1	0
	8	1		-	2																				0	4	20	36	29	9	1
82	8	2		-	1																				0	1	7	25	38	24	5	0	0
	7	1		-	3																				0	1	6	23	38	26	6	0
81	8	3		-	0																				0	0	2	13	34	36	13	2	0	0
	7	2		-	2																					0	1	11	33	38	15	2	0
	6	1		-	4																						2	12	31	37	16	2	0
80	7	3		-	1																					0	0	3	16	38	32	10	1	0	0
	6	2		-	3																					0	0	2	14	37	33	11	2	0
79	7	4		-	0																						0	1	7	28	38	21	5	1	0
	6	3		-	2																						0	0	6	27	38	22	6	1	0
	5	2		-	4																							0	5	23	38	26	7	1	0
78	6	4		-	1																							0	1	10	30	36	19	4	0
	5	3		-	3																							0	1	9	30	36	20	5	0
	4	2		-	5																								1	6	25	37	19	10	2
77	6	5		-	0																							0	0	4	19	36	29	11	1
	5	4		-	2																							0	0	3	18	35	30	12	2
	4	3		-	4																							0	0	3	16	34	30	15	2
76	5	5		-	1																								0	0	5	22	37	28	8
	4	4		-	3																									0	5	21	37	29	8
	3	3		-	5																									1	4	17	39	31	9
75	5	6		-	0																								0	0	2	13	33	37	15
	4	5		-	2																									0	2	12	32	38	16
	3	4		-	4																									0	1	10	31	39	19
74	4	6		-	1																									0	0	3	18	43	36
	3	5		-	3																										0	3	17	43	37
	2	4		-	5																											2	22	49	28
73	4	7		-	0																										0	1	11	38	50
	3	6		-	2																										0	1	10	38	51
	2	5		-	4																											1	7	37	55
72	3	7		-	1																										0	0	3	25	73
	2	6		-	3																											0	3	25	72
71	3	8		-	0																											0	1	17	82
	2	7		-	2																											0	1	17	82
	1	6		-	4																												1	14	85
70	2	8		-	1																												0	7	92
	1	7		-	3																												0	8	92
69	2	9		-	0																												0	4	96
	1	8		-	2																												0	4	96
68	1	9		-	1																													1	99
67	1	10		-	0																													0	100
	0	9		-	2																													2	98
66	0	10		-	1																													0	100
65	0	11		-	0																														100

Total:																			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	6	10	14	15	17	17	17