Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 85.6%

81 points 38 28-5

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	+4.8+4.8+4.6+0.2+0.3-5.5		+0.0+0.0+0.0No*+0.0No		+0.3+0.3+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.3
Dallas vs San Jose	+3.9+0.9+0.8-3.6-3.7-3.5				+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

103	11	0		-	0	In		1.3	%	2	23	56	17	1												1,495
102	10	0		-	1	In		0.2		1	10	50	33	5	0											1,532
101	10	1		-	0	In		0.0		0	4	35	45	15	1											12,031
	9	0		-	2	In		No			3	35	43	18	1											965
100	9	1		-	1	In		No			1	16	43	34	6											14,396
	8	0		-	3	In		No				13	42	38	7											339
99	9	2		-	0	In		No			0	7	32	46	15											53,748
	8	1		-	2	In		No			0	5	28	48	19											7,622	*
98	8	2		-	1	In		No			0	1	14	47	37											56,026
	7	1		-	3	In		No				1	12	44	43											2,318	*
97	8	3		-	0	In		No				0	6	40	54	0	0									142,435
	7	2		-	2	In		No				0	5	37	58	0	0									26,566
	6	1		-	4	In		No					4	34	62											468	*
96	7	3		-	1	100.0	%	No				0	1	22	76	0	0	0								133,506
	6	2		-	3	In		No				0	1	19	80	0	0									7,237	*
95	7	4		-	0	99.9		No				0	0	14	85	0	0	0	0							251,188
	6	3		-	2	99.9		No					0	12	87	0	0	0	0							55,053
	5	2		-	4	99.8		No						9	90	0	0	0	0							1,265	*
94	6	4		-	1	99.6		No					0	5	94	0	0	0	0							205,899
	5	3		-	3	99.6		No						4	95	0	1	0	0							12,806
	4	2		-	5	In		No						3	97											155
93	6	5		-	0	98.1		No					0	3	94	0	1	1	1							309,307
	5	4		-	2	97.5		No						2	94	0	1	2	1							72,466
	4	3		-	4	97.0		No						2	94	0	1	2	1							1,887	*
92	5	5		-	1	94.7		No						1	93	0	1	3	2	0						218,054
	4	4		-	3	93.5		No						0	91	0	2	4	3							14,188
	3	3		-	5	95.2		No							91		4	3	2							186
91	5	6		-	0	87.3		No						0	86	0	1	5	7	0						274,322
	4	5		-	2	84.3		No						0	83	0	1	7	9	0						63,590
	3	4		-	4	79.8		No						0	78	0	2	9	12							1,634	*
90	4	6		-	1	75.8		No						0	75	0	1	7	17	0						159,357
	3	5		-	3	71.4		No						0	71	0	1	8	20	0						9,918	*
89	4	7		-	0	60.6		No						0	60	0	0	6	32	1						172,827
	3	6		-	2	55.2		No							55	0	0	7	36	2						37,401
	2	5		-	4	47.6		No							47		0	9	42	2						887	*
88	3	7		-	1	42.2		No							42		0	5	49	4						80,604
	2	6		-	3	36.9		No							37		0	5	52	7						4,400	*
87	3	8		-	0	26.4		No							26		0	2	62	10	0					76,470
	2	7		-	2	20.8		No							21		0	2	63	14	0					14,040
	1	6		-	4	13.4		No							13			2	62	23						307	*
86	2	8		-	1	12.6		No							13			1	61	25	0					26,741
	1	7		-	3	9.4		No							9			1	61	29	0					1,107	*
85	2	9		-	0	5.3		No							5			0	56	38	1	0				22,289
	1	8		-	2	3.0		No							3			0	49	46	2					3,159	*
84	1	9		-	1	0.9		No							1			0	34	61	5	0				5,217
	0	8		-	3	Out		No											18	71	10					126
83	1	10		-	0	0.2		No							0				25	64	11	0				3,915
	0	9		-	2	0.3		No							0				13	70	16	1				306
82	0	10		-	1	Out		No											6	62	30	3	0			440
81	0	11		-	0	Out		No											3	54	38	5				525

Total:						85.6	%	0.0	%	0	0	1	2	9	73	0	1	3	10	2	0	0	0			2,562,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 1	-0.1
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1	-0.1
Winnipeg 4 Minnesota 2	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	-0.9-0.9-0.8+0.1+0.1+1.0
Dallas vs San Jose	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Buffalo	+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Boston	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

103	11	0		-	0	1	14	42	31	11	1	0
102	10	0		-	1	0	4	24	41	23	6	1	0
101	10	1		-	0	0	1	9	30	35	19	5	1	0
	9	0		-	2		1	10	27	36	20	6	1
100	9	1		-	1		0	2	12	29	33	19	6	1	0	0
	8	0		-	3			1	9	26	35	22	6	1	0
99	9	2		-	0		0	0	3	13	28	31	18	6	1	0
	8	1		-	2			0	2	10	26	33	21	7	1	0
98	8	2		-	1			0	0	3	11	26	31	20	7	1	0	0
	7	1		-	3			0	0	2	9	23	32	22	10	2
97	8	3		-	0				0	0	2	11	25	32	21	8	1	0	0
	7	2		-	2					0	2	8	23	31	24	10	2	0	0
	6	1		-	4						1	7	19	29	28	11	3	0	0
96	7	3		-	1					0	0	2	8	22	32	24	10	2	0	0		0
	6	2		-	3						0	1	6	20	32	26	11	3	0
95	7	4		-	0						0	0	1	7	21	32	26	10	2	0	0	0	0
	6	3		-	2						0	0	1	6	19	32	28	12	2	0	0	0	0
	5	2		-	4							0	1	5	13	29	31	16	5	0		0	0
94	6	4		-	1							0	0	1	6	19	33	28	11	2	0	0	0
	5	3		-	3								0	1	5	16	31	29	14	3	0	0	0
	4	2		-	5										2	12	35	32	16	3
93	6	5		-	0								0	0	1	6	20	34	26	9	2	1	1	0
	5	4		-	2									0	1	4	17	33	29	12	2	2	1
	4	3		-	4										0	4	15	30	32	14	3	2	1
92	5	5		-	1									0	0	1	6	22	34	24	9	3	2	0	0
	4	4		-	3										0	0	4	17	32	28	12	4	3	0
	3	3		-	5											1	1	18	32	28	15	3	2
91	5	6		-	0										0	0	1	8	23	32	23	5	7	0	0	0
	4	5		-	2											0	1	5	20	32	27	6	9	1	0	0
	3	4		-	4												0	4	17	29	29	7	11	1	0
90	4	6		-	1											0	0	1	9	24	42	5	15	3	1	0	0
	3	5		-	3												0	1	6	19	45	6	16	6	1	0
89	4	7		-	0												0	0	2	11	48	3	20	12	4	1	0	0
	3	6		-	2													0	1	8	46	3	21	15	5	1	0
	2	5		-	4														1	7	40	3	22	19	7	1	0
88	3	7		-	1													0	0	3	39	1	16	22	14	5	1	0
	2	6		-	3														0	2	35	1	13	24	18	6	1	0
87	3	8		-	0														0	0	26	0	7	21	26	15	4	0	0
	2	7		-	2															0	21	0	6	19	29	19	5	1	0
	1	6		-	4																13	0	4	18	34	21	9	1
86	2	8		-	1															0	13	0	2	11	27	29	15	3	0
	1	7		-	3																9		1	8	26	33	20	4	0
85	2	9		-	0																5		0	3	16	33	30	11	1	0
	1	8		-	2																3		0	2	14	31	33	14	2
84	1	9		-	1																1		0	0	5	19	37	29	8	1
	0	8		-	3																				3	13	38	37	8	1
83	1	10		-	0																0				1	8	29	39	19	3	0
	0	9		-	2																0					7	22	36	28	5	1
82	0	10		-	1																					1	9	28	44	16	3	0
81	0	11		-	0																						3	18	44	27	8	1

Total:						0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	6	8	10	12	12	11	13	2	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0