Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Lost to Colorado 2-4, playoff odds down 0.0008 to 99.999%

96 points 42 18-12

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago 2 Colorado 4	-11.1		-0.2
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 1	-0.7
New Jersey 2 Columbus 1 (ot)	*-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Nashville vs Arizona	+6.3+1.0+1.3-5.7-5.6-5.8		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Dallas vs San Jose	-0.5-0.4-0.5+0.2*+0.4+0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

116	10	0		-	0	In		Yes		100																2,782
115	9	0		-	1	In		99.9	%	100	0															2,927
114	9	1		-	0	In		99.3		99	1															22,184
	8	0		-	2	In		99.3		99	1															1,503
113	8	1		-	1	In		98.8		99	1															23,220
	7	0		-	3	In		99.4		99	1															485
112	8	2		-	0	In		96.4		96	4	0														88,018
	7	1		-	2	In		96.3		96	4															10,760
	6	0		-	4	In		94.7		95	5															113
111	7	2		-	1	In		94.0		94	6															81,707
	6	1		-	3	In		94.1		94	6															2,925
	5	0		-	5	In		87.5		88	13															16
110	7	3		-	0	In		86.5		87	13	0														206,855
	6	2		-	2	In		86.6		87	13	0														33,429
	5	1		-	4	In		85.1		86	14															545
109	6	3		-	1	In		80.0		81	19	0														169,434
	5	2		-	3	In		79.1		80	20	0														8,067
	4	1		-	5	In		82.2		82	18															73	*
108	6	4		-	0	In		64.8		67	31	1	0													318,956
	5	3		-	2	In		64.4		67	32	1	0													59,597
	4	2		-	4	In		64.4		66	32	1														1,092	*
107	5	4		-	1	In		52.7		57	40	3	0	0												223,632
	4	3		-	3	In		51.8		56	41	4	0													11,773
	3	2		-	5	In		45.9		54	40	6														85
106	5	5		-	0	In		32.3		38	52	9	0	0												338,364
	4	4		-	2	In		31.8		38	52	10	0	0												65,528
	3	3		-	4	In		32.6		37	51	11	0													1,398	*
105	4	5		-	1	In		19.2		26	55	18	1	0												198,230
	3	4		-	3	In		18.9		25	54	20	2	0												10,261
	2	3		-	5	In		19.2		29	43	23	4													99	*
104	4	6		-	0	In		7.1		12	50	32	5	0		0										249,079
	3	5		-	2	In		6.7		11	48	34	6	0												46,620
	2	4		-	4	In		6.6		11	45	37	5	1												873	*
103	3	6		-	1	In		2.2		6	36	42	14	1		0										116,584
	2	5		-	3	In		2.2		5	36	42	16	2		0										5,462
	1	4		-	5	In		2.2		7	37	39	17													46
102	3	7		-	0	In		0.3		1	20	45	28	5	0	0	0									126,190
	2	6		-	2	In		0.2		1	18	44	30	6		0	0									20,527
	1	5		-	4	In		No		2	16	37	36	9		1										312	*
101	2	7		-	1	In		0.1		0	9	35	40	15	0	2	0									44,128
	1	6		-	3	In		No		0	7	30	43	17		3										1,593	*
100	2	8		-	0	In		0.0		0	2	21	44	27	0	5	0									41,524
	1	7		-	2	In		No			2	18	43	30	0	6	0									5,162
	0	6		-	4	In		No			2	21	33	33		7	2									42
99	1	8		-	1	In		No			0	8	33	42	1	14	1									9,750
	0	7		-	3	In		No			0	4	35	42	1	16	1									207
98	1	9		-	0	99.8	%	No			0	2	19	46	2	26	4	0								8,023
	0	8		-	2	99.6		No				2	13	53	3	25	5	0								553
97	0	9		-	1	99.8		No				1	6	37	4	42	10	0								972
96	0	10		-	0	98.4		No					3	25	6	43	22	2								1,015

Total:						100.0	%	44.6	%	48	33	13	5	2	0	0	0	0								2,562,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Chicago 2 Colorado 4	+0.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Nashville vs Arizona	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

116	10	0		-	0	100
115	9	0		-	1	100	0
114	9	1		-	0	99	1
	8	0		-	2	99	1
113	8	1		-	1	99	1
	7	0		-	3	99	1
112	8	2		-	0	96	4	0
	7	1		-	2	96	4
	6	0		-	4	95	5
111	7	2		-	1	94	6	0
	6	1		-	3	94	6
	5	0		-	5	88	13
110	7	3		-	0	87	13	0
	6	2		-	2	87	13	0
	5	1		-	4	85	15
109	6	3		-	1	80	20	0	0
	5	2		-	3	79	20	0
	4	1		-	5	82	18
108	6	4		-	0	65	33	2	0
	5	3		-	2	64	33	3	0
	4	2		-	4	64	33	3
107	5	4		-	1	53	41	6	0	0
	4	3		-	3	52	42	6	0
	3	2		-	5	46	45	9
106	5	5		-	0	32	50	16	2	0	0
	4	4		-	2	32	50	17	2	0
	3	3		-	4	33	48	18	2	0
105	4	5		-	1	19	47	27	6	1	0	0
	3	4		-	3	19	46	28	7	1	0
	2	3		-	5	19	41	29	9	1
104	4	6		-	0	7	34	38	17	3	0	0
	3	5		-	2	7	32	39	18	4	0	0
	2	4		-	4	7	33	38	18	4	0
103	3	6		-	1	2	18	36	30	12	2	0	0
	2	5		-	3	2	18	34	31	12	3	0
	1	4		-	5	2	22	30	24	22
102	3	7		-	0	0	5	22	35	26	10	2	0	0
	2	6		-	2	0	5	21	34	27	11	2	0	0
	1	5		-	4		3	20	33	29	12	3	1
101	2	7		-	1	0	1	8	23	33	24	9	2	0
	1	6		-	3		1	6	20	32	27	11	2	0
100	2	8		-	0	0	0	1	8	23	33	24	9	1	0	0
	1	7		-	2		0	1	8	22	32	26	10	2	0	0
	0	6		-	4				10	14	33	26	10	2	5
99	1	8		-	1			0	1	8	22	33	25	9	2	0
	0	7		-	3				1	7	19	26	33	13	1	0
98	1	9		-	0				0	1	7	21	33	26	10	2	0					0
	0	8		-	2					1	6	20	34	25	11	3						0
97	0	9		-	1					0	1	5	19	34	27	10	3	0				0
96	0	10		-	0						0	1	5	16	32	28	13	3	1			2

Total:						45	28	13	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0