Calgary Flames Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Lost to Los Angeles 2-4, playoff odds down 0.09 to 0.02%

69 points 29 32-11

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Calgary 2 Los Angeles 4	-0.1		-0.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Edmonton vs Los Angeles			+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Nashville vs Arizona			-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

89	10	0		-	0	7.9	%	No						7		1	13	69	10	0					2,740
88	9	0		-	1	3.8		No						4		0	6	64	25	1					2,970
87	9	1		-	0	0.8		No						1		0	2	53	41	3					22,000
	8	0		-	2	0.9		No						1			2	50	43	4					1,561
86	8	1		-	1	0.2		No						0			0	35	54	11					23,517
	7	0		-	3	Out		No									0	35	53	12					494
85	8	2		-	0	0.0		No						0			0	20	59	21	0				88,002
	7	1		-	2	Out		No									0	17	59	24	0				10,736
	6	0		-	4	Out		No										11	54	35					92
84	7	2		-	1	0.0		No						0			0	9	53	38	0				82,550
	6	1		-	3	Out		No									0	8	51	40	1				3,131
	5	0		-	5	Out		No											43	50	7				14
83	7	3		-	0	Out		No									0	4	44	51	1	0			206,897
	6	2		-	2	Out		No										3	42	54	1	0			33,833
	5	1		-	4	Out		No										2	40	56	2				513	*
82	6	3		-	1	Out		No										1	28	67	4	0			169,092
	5	2		-	3	Out		No										1	25	69	5	0			7,716
	4	1		-	5	Out		No											20	75	5				65
81	6	4		-	0	Out		No										0	18	72	9	0			318,507
	5	3		-	2	Out		No										0	16	71	12	0			59,821
	4	2		-	4	Out		No										0	14	70	15	1			1,157	*
80	5	4		-	1	Out		No										0	8	69	22	2			223,859
	4	3		-	3	Out		No										0	7	66	25	2			11,590
	3	2		-	5	Out		No											10	60	29	1			105	*
79	5	5		-	0	Out		No										0	4	60	32	4			339,098
	4	4		-	2	Out		No										0	3	55	37	5			66,070
	3	3		-	4	Out		No											3	50	40	7			1,349	*
78	4	5		-	1	Out		No											1	41	46	12			198,229
	3	4		-	3	Out		No											1	35	49	15			10,190
	2	3		-	5	Out		No												41	45	14			86
77	4	6		-	0	Out		No											0	28	51	21			248,352
	3	5		-	2	Out		No											0	23	52	25			46,151
	2	4		-	4	Out		No											0	19	49	32			898	*
76	3	6		-	1	Out		No											0	13	47	40			116,347
	2	5		-	3	Out		No												10	44	45			5,510
	1	4		-	5	Out		No												8	57	35			49
75	3	7		-	0	Out		No											0	7	41	52			125,448
	2	6		-	2	Out		No											0	5	37	59			20,429
	1	5		-	4	Out		No												3	33	64			301	*
74	2	7		-	1	Out		No												2	25	73			44,084
	1	6		-	3	Out		No												1	21	77			1,631	*
73	2	8		-	0	Out		No												1	18	82			41,684
	1	7		-	2	Out		No												0	13	87			5,160
	0	6		-	4	Out		No													7	93			41
72	1	8		-	1	Out		No												0	7	93			9,845
	0	7		-	3	Out		No													5	95			187
71	1	9		-	0	Out		No												0	4	96			8,179
	0	8		-	2	Out		No													3	97			559
70	0	9		-	1	Out		No													1	99			942
69	0	10		-	0	Out		No													0	100			939

Total:						0.0	%	No						0		0	0	2	15	46	24	13			2,562,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Calgary 2 Los Angeles 4	+0.7
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1	+0.1
Pittsburgh 3 Florida 2	-0.0
New Jersey 2 Columbus 1 (ot)	*-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Detroit vs Buffalo	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Nashville vs Arizona	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

89	10	0		-	0														0	1	7	6	36	32	14	3	0	0
88	9	0		-	1														0	0	4	1	15	31	32	14	3	0
87	9	1		-	0															0	1	0	4	18	33	30	12	2	0	0
	8	0		-	2																1	0	3	17	30	30	16	3	0
86	8	1		-	1																0	0	0	5	19	33	29	11	2	0
	7	0		-	3																		0	4	17	31	31	14	2
85	8	2		-	0																0		0	1	7	23	35	25	7	1	0
	7	1		-	2																		0	1	6	21	35	27	9	1	0
	6	0		-	4																				4	18	32	34	11	1
84	7	2		-	1																0		0	0	1	8	26	37	22	4	0
	6	1		-	3																			0	1	7	24	37	25	6	0
	5	0		-	5																						14	57	29
83	7	3		-	0																			0	0	2	13	34	36	13	1	0	0
	6	2		-	2																			0	0	2	11	32	38	16	1	0
	5	1		-	4																					1	9	30	40	18	2
82	6	3		-	1																				0	0	3	19	40	31	6	0	0
	5	2		-	3																					0	2	16	39	34	7	1	0
	4	1		-	5																						2	12	43	34	9
81	6	4		-	0																				0	0	1	8	31	42	16	2	0	0
	5	3		-	2																					0	0	6	27	44	19	4	0	0
	4	2		-	4																						0	4	26	44	21	4	1
80	5	4		-	1																					0	0	2	14	40	32	11	2	0	0
	4	3		-	3																						0	1	11	39	34	12	2	0
	3	2		-	5																								13	38	35	12	1
79	5	5		-	0																						0	0	5	26	38	23	7	1	0
	4	4		-	2																						0	0	3	23	39	26	8	1	0
	3	3		-	4																							0	3	20	38	28	9	2
78	4	5		-	1																							0	1	10	30	34	19	5	0
	3	4		-	3																							0	1	8	28	35	20	7	1
	2	3		-	5																									8	27	38	19	8
77	4	6		-	0																							0	0	3	16	33	31	14	2
	3	5		-	2																								0	2	14	31	33	16	3
	2	4		-	4																									2	12	27	35	18	5
76	3	6		-	1																								0	1	5	20	36	29	9
	2	5		-	3																									0	4	19	35	32	10
	1	4		-	5																										2	18	37	35	8
75	3	7		-	0																									0	1	9	29	40	20
	2	6		-	2																									0	1	8	26	42	24
	1	5		-	4																										0	6	30	37	27
74	2	7		-	1																									0	0	2	15	41	41
	1	6		-	3																										0	2	15	40	43
73	2	8		-	0																										0	1	7	33	59
	1	7		-	2																										0	0	5	31	63
	0	6		-	4																												2	22	76
72	1	8		-	1																											0	2	20	78
	0	7		-	3																												2	18	80
71	1	9		-	0																												1	11	88
	0	8		-	2																													10	90
70	0	9		-	1																													5	95
69	0	10		-	0																													1	99

Total:																			0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	8	14	19	17	13	10	7	4