Buffalo Sabres Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 0.001%

67 points 29 34-9

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Pittsburgh 3 Florida 2			+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Detroit vs Buffalo	Out+0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0		-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

87		10	0		-	0	1.1	%	No							0	1	11	34	36	16	3	0			2,652
86		9	0		-	1	0.2		No								0	2	16	36	33	11	1			2,941
85		9	1		-	0	Out		No									0	5	24	41	25	4			22,011
		8	0		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	5	22	40	28	5			1,539
84		8	1		-	1	Out		No									0	1	11	34	41	13	0		23,531
		7	0		-	3	Out		No										1	9	32	43	15			491
83		8	2		-	0	Out		No										0	3	21	47	27	1	0	87,571
		7	1		-	2	Out		No										0	3	21	46	29	1	0	11,087
		6	0		-	4	Out		No											3	19	48	27	3		103
82		7	2		-	1	Out		No										0	1	10	42	44	3	0	82,251
		6	1		-	3	Out		No											1	8	41	46	4	0	3,006
		5	0		-	5	Out		No													69	31			13
81		7	3		-	0	Out		No										0	0	3	28	59	9	0	207,097
		6	2		-	2	Out		No											0	3	27	58	11	1	33,721
		5	1		-	4	Out		No												2	25	59	13	0	504	*
80		6	3		-	1	Out		No											0	1	16	62	20	2	169,453
		5	2		-	3	Out		No												1	16	58	23	2	7,839
		4	1		-	5	Out		No													14	56	28	2	57
79		6	4		-	0	Out		No											0	0	6	53	35	6	318,808
		5	3		-	2	Out		No												0	5	49	38	7	59,679
		4	2		-	4	Out		No												0	4	45	43	8	1,117	*
78		5	4		-	1	Out		No												0	2	39	45	13	224,158
		4	3		-	3	Out		No													2	35	47	16	11,616
		3	2		-	5	Out		No													3	31	44	22	134
77		5	5		-	0	Out		No												0	1	22	50	27	338,724
		4	4		-	2	Out		No													0	19	49	31	65,861
		3	3		-	4	Out		No													1	16	50	34	1,362	*
76		4	5		-	1	Out		No													0	12	46	42	197,860
		3	4		-	3	Out		No													0	10	44	46	10,246
		2	3		-	5	Out		No														11	40	49	92
75		4	6		-	0	Out		No													0	5	34	61	248,594
		3	5		-	2	Out		No													0	3	31	66	46,678
		2	4		-	4	Out		No														2	28	70	863	*
74		3	6		-	1	Out		No													0	2	23	75	116,240
		2	5		-	3	Out		No														1	19	79	5,397
		1	4		-	5	Out		No															16	84	43
73		3	7		-	0	Out		No														0	12	87	125,502
		2	6		-	2	Out		No														0	10	90	20,382
		1	5		-	4	Out		No														0	8	91	305
72		2	7		-	1	Out		No														0	6	93	44,256
		1	6		-	3	Out		No															5	95	1,528	*
71		2	8		-	0	Out		No														0	2	98	41,740
		1	7		-	2	Out		No															2	98	5,020
		0	6		-	4	Out		No																100	42
70		1	8		-	1	Out		No															1	99	9,827
		0	7		-	3	Out		No															1	99	171
69		1	9		-	0	Out		No															0	100	8,143
		0	8		-	2	Out		No																100	597
67	-68						Out		No																100	1,868	*

Total:							0.0	%	No							0	0	0	0	1	2	9	29	29	30	2,562,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Detroit vs Buffalo	+0.6+0.0+0.0-0.5-0.5-0.5
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Nashville vs Arizona	+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

87	10	0		-	0															0	1	0	4	18	34	28	12	2	0
86	9	0		-	1																0		0	5	17	32	29	14	3	0
85	9	1		-	0																		0	1	6	20	33	28	10	1	0
	8	0		-	2																0			1	5	19	32	29	12	2	0
84	8	1		-	1																		0	0	1	7	23	35	26	8	1	0
	7	0		-	3																				1	5	23	34	27	9	1
83	8	2		-	0																			0	0	1	9	28	37	21	3	0	0
	7	1		-	2																			0	0	1	9	27	37	22	4	0
	6	0		-	4																						6	29	34	22	9
82	7	2		-	1																				0	0	2	14	35	37	12	1	0
	6	1		-	3																					0	2	12	34	38	13	1	0
	5	0		-	5																							8	38	38	15
81	7	3		-	0																					0	0	4	20	41	28	6	1	0
	6	2		-	2																					0	0	4	19	41	29	7	1	0
	5	1		-	4																							3	18	41	30	8	0
80	6	3		-	1																						0	1	8	32	39	17	3	0	0
	5	2		-	3																						0	1	8	31	38	18	4	0	0
	4	1		-	5																								5	21	54	16	4
79	6	4		-	0																						0	0	2	14	37	32	12	2	0
	5	3		-	2																						0	0	1	13	35	33	14	3	0
	4	2		-	4																							0	2	12	34	35	16	2	0
78	5	4		-	1																							0	0	5	24	37	25	8	1
	4	3		-	3																								0	4	22	36	26	9	1
	3	2		-	5																									6	21	30	31	11	1
77	5	5		-	0																								0	1	10	29	36	21	4
	4	4		-	2																								0	1	8	27	37	22	5
	3	3		-	4																								0	1	7	27	36	23	6
76	4	5		-	1																									0	3	16	35	34	12
	3	4		-	3																									0	3	15	34	35	13
	2	3		-	5																										3	9	30	46	12
75	4	6		-	0																									0	1	6	24	43	27
	3	5		-	2																									0	0	5	22	43	29
	2	4		-	4																										0	4	21	46	29
74	3	6		-	1																									0	0	2	13	40	45
	2	5		-	3																										0	2	10	40	48
	1	4		-	5																												14	49	37
73	3	7		-	0																										0	0	5	30	64
	2	6		-	2																											0	4	29	66
	1	5		-	4																												3	27	71
72	2	7		-	1																											0	2	19	79
	1	6		-	3																												1	18	81
71	2	8		-	0																											0	0	10	90
	1	7		-	2																												0	10	90
	0	6		-	4																													12	88
70	1	8		-	1																												0	5	95
	0	7		-	3																													6	94
69	1	9		-	0																												0	2	98
	0	8		-	2																													3	97
68	0	9		-	1																													0	100
67	0	10		-	0																													0	100

Total:																				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	6	11	15	17	17	16	15