Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.0007 to 99.8%

89 points 40 23-9

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago 2 Colorado 4			+0.2		-0.0
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 1			-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas vs San Jose	+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1		-0.0-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0		-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0*-0.0+0.0
Nashville vs Arizona			+0.3-0.1+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

109	10	0		-	0	In		72.4	%	73	25	2														2,769
108	9	0		-	1	In		51.4		54	39	7	0													2,892
107	9	1		-	0	In		36.3		39	46	14	1													22,211
	8	0		-	2	In		35.4		38	47	15	0													1,550
106	8	1		-	1	In		18.5		22	47	28	3	0												23,258
	7	0		-	3	In		17.1		21	47	30	3													462
105	8	2		-	0	In		8.5		11	41	40	8	0												88,169
	7	1		-	2	In		8.1		11	39	42	8	0												10,900
	6	0		-	4	In		11.3		16	39	34	10													97
104	7	2		-	1	In		2.4		4	26	49	20	1												82,070
	6	1		-	3	In		2.4		4	24	49	22	2												2,970
	5	0		-	5	In		No			18	64	18													11
103	7	3		-	0	In		0.5		1	15	49	32	4												206,485
	6	2		-	2	In		0.5		1	14	48	32	4												33,539
	5	1		-	4	In		No		1	11	52	30	6												486	*
102	6	3		-	1	In		0.1		0	5	36	47	12	0											169,226
	5	2		-	3	In		0.0		0	5	35	47	12												8,048
	4	1		-	5	In		No			2	40	52	7												58
101	6	4		-	0	In		0.0		0	2	24	52	22	0											320,182
	5	3		-	2	In		0.0		0	2	23	52	23	0											59,171
	4	2		-	4	In		No			1	23	53	23												1,165	*
100	5	4		-	1	In		No		0	0	10	47	43	0											223,483
	4	3		-	3	In		No			0	9	45	44	1											11,639
	3	2		-	5	In		No			1	11	43	45	1											127
99	5	5		-	0	In		No		0	0	4	35	59	2											338,116
	4	4		-	2	In		No			0	4	34	60	3											65,898
	3	3		-	4	In		No				3	32	62	3											1,342	*
98	4	5		-	1	100.0	%	No			0	1	18	76	5		0	0								198,233
	3	4		-	3	In		No				1	16	76	7											10,484
	2	3		-	5	In		No				2	17	72	9											104	*
97	4	6		-	0	In		No				0	8	78	13	0	0									249,132
	3	5		-	2	In		No				0	7	76	16		0									46,132
	2	4		-	4	In		No				0	6	73	20											912	*
96	3	6		-	1	100.0		No				0	2	74	24	0	0	0								116,753
	2	5		-	3	100.0		No					2	71	27	0		0								5,454
	1	4		-	5	In		No					7	60	33											42
95	3	7		-	0	99.9		No					1	60	39	0	0	0	0							124,809
	2	6		-	2	99.9		No					0	56	43	0	0	0	0							20,485
	1	5		-	4	In		No						48	52											304
94	2	7		-	1	99.3		No					0	46	53	0	0	0	0							44,309
	1	6		-	3	98.9		No					0	41	57		0	1	0							1,612	*
93	2	8		-	0	97.9		No					0	30	68	0	1	1	1							41,765
	1	7		-	2	97.2		No						26	71	0	1	1	1							5,181
	0	6		-	4	97.8		No						24	73				2							45
92	1	8		-	1	91.8		No						17	74	0	1	4	5							9,762
	0	7		-	3	91.2		No						13	77		0	2	6							216
91	1	9		-	0	85.3		No						8	77	0	1	4	10	0						8,257
	0	8		-	2	83.8		No						6	77		1	4	12							524
90	0	9		-	1	68.6		No						3	66		0	6	25	1						953
89	0	10		-	0	60.9		No						0	61			4	34	2						928

Total:						99.8	%	1.1	%	1	5	16	27	41	9	0	0	0	0	0						2,562,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
New Jersey 2 Columbus 1 (ot)	+0.1
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1	-0.1
Chicago 2 Colorado 4	+0.0
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 1	+0.0
Winnipeg 4 Minnesota 2	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dallas vs San Jose	+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Buffalo	+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

109	10	0		-	0	72	25	2	0
108	9	0		-	1	51	40	8	0
107	9	1		-	0	36	46	17	2	0
	8	0		-	2	35	47	17	1
106	8	1		-	1	18	43	31	7	1	0
	7	0		-	3	17	43	32	7	0
105	8	2		-	0	9	33	40	16	2	0	0
	7	1		-	2	8	32	41	16	2	0
	6	0		-	4	11	31	38	18	2
104	7	2		-	1	2	17	39	31	10	1	0
	6	1		-	3	2	15	37	33	11	1	0
	5	0		-	5		9	36	55
103	7	3		-	0	1	7	28	38	21	5	0	0
	6	2		-	2	0	6	28	38	22	5	0	0
	5	1		-	4		7	26	39	23	5	0
102	6	3		-	1	0	1	11	31	35	17	3	0	0
	5	2		-	3	0	1	11	31	36	17	3	0
	4	1		-	5		2	12	36	29	19	2
101	6	4		-	0	0	0	4	18	35	30	12	2	0	0
	5	3		-	2	0	0	3	17	35	30	12	2	0	0
	4	2		-	4			4	16	35	31	12	2	0
100	5	4		-	1		0	0	5	20	35	28	10	2	0	0
	4	3		-	3		0	0	5	19	34	29	11	2	0	0
	3	2		-	5				7	20	35	24	12	3
99	5	5		-	0			0	1	7	23	35	24	8	1	0	0
	4	4		-	2			0	1	6	22	34	25	9	2	0	0
	3	3		-	4				1	6	21	34	28	9	1	0
98	4	5		-	1			0	0	1	7	22	34	25	9	2	0	0				0
	3	4		-	3				0	1	6	21	33	26	11	2	0
	2	3		-	5					2	7	24	24	34	6	4
97	4	6		-	0				0	0	1	8	23	32	24	10	2	0	0
	3	5		-	2					0	1	7	21	31	25	11	3	0	0
	2	4		-	4					0	0	5	20	31	27	14	3	0
96	3	6		-	1					0	0	1	6	19	30	27	13	3	0	0		0
	2	5		-	3						0	1	5	17	30	28	15	4	1	0		0
	1	4		-	5							2	2	12	31	33	19
95	3	7		-	0						0	0	1	6	17	30	28	14	4	0	0	0	0
	2	6		-	2							0	1	4	15	29	30	16	4	1	0	0	0
	1	5		-	4									1	14	29	31	18	7	0
94	2	7		-	1							0	0	0	3	13	28	31	18	5	1	0	0
	1	6		-	3								0	0	3	13	26	33	18	4	1	1	0
93	2	8		-	0								0	0	0	3	14	29	31	17	4	1	1	0
	1	7		-	2										0	3	12	27	32	18	5	1	1
	0	6		-	4											9	9	18	33	24	4		2
92	1	8		-	1										0	0	2	12	28	31	18	3	4	0	0
	0	7		-	3												3	9	30	33	17	2	5	1	0
91	1	9		-	0												0	3	14	31	37	4	9	2	0	0
	0	8		-	2													2	14	30	37	3	11	2	0
90	0	9		-	1												0		3	16	50	3	17	9	2	0
89	0	10		-	0														1	6	55	2	14	13	8	2	0

Total:						1	3	7	11	13	14	13	11	8	6	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0