St Louis Blues Playoff Chances 2016-2017

Did not play, playoff odds up 8.8 to 85.2%

87 points 41 28-5

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Winnipeg 2 Vancouver 3	+7.8		+0.1
Detroit 4 Minnesota 2	+1.4		+0.1
New Jersey 5 Dallas 3	+0.1		+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
St Louis vs Arizona	+6.8+6.9+6.8+0.1+0.0-6.0		+0.4+0.4+0.3-0.0-0.0-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the St Louis finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in				Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Promoted		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

103	8	0		-	0	In		0.0	%	0	3	59	33	3		2										33,737
102	7	0		-	1	In		No			0	33	47	13		8	0									32,441
101	7	1		-	0	In		No			0	15	45	20		20	0									244,193
	6	0		-	2	In		No			0	11	45	21		24	0									13,769
100	6	1		-	1	In		No				4	28	29	0	38	1									208,152
	5	0		-	3	In		No				3	21	25	0	48	2									3,316
99	6	2		-	0	In		No				1	14	24	0	57	4									784,415
	5	1		-	2	In		No				1	12	22	0	60	4									75,162
	4	0		-	4	In		No				0	10	20	0	65	4									495
98	5	2		-	1	In		No				0	4	17	1	64	14									569,731
	4	1		-	3	In		No				0	2	11	1	70	16									15,203
	3	0		-	5	In		No					2	9		83	7									46
97	5	3		-	0	In		No				0	1	7	1	67	24									1,428,567
	4	2		-	2	In		No				0	1	7	1	67	24									169,564
	3	1		-	4	In		No					0	5	1	70	24									1,829
	2	0		-	6	In		No								100										2
96	4	3		-	1	98.6	%	No				0	0	3	1	51	44	1								855,888
	3	2		-	3	98.1		No					0	1	1	50	46	2								26,948
	2	1		-	5	97.8		No							1	48	49	2								134
95	4	4		-	0	97.2		No					0	1	0	41	55	3								1,611,109
	3	3		-	2	96.5		No					0	1	0	40	55	3								202,368
	2	2		-	4	95.8		No						1	0	40	55	4								2,411
	1	1		-	6	In		No									100									2
94	3	4		-	1	82.6		No					0	0	0	19	64	17								763,701
	2	3		-	3	79.5		No						0	0	18	62	21								23,623
	1	2		-	5	80.0		No								18	62	20								115
93	3	5		-	0	75.0		No						0	0	12	63	25	0							1,154,216
	2	4		-	2	71.9		No						0	0	11	61	28	0							135,287
	1	3		-	4	69.4		No								11	58	31								1,409
	0	2		-	6	50.0		No									50	50								2
92	2	5		-	1	42.1		No						0	0	2	40	57	1							406,018
	1	4		-	3	37.1		No								2	35	62	1							10,645
	0	3		-	5	14.3		No									14	86								28
91	2	6		-	0	31.7		No								1	31	64	4							510,704
	1	5		-	2	27.6		No								1	27	68	4							47,419
	0	4		-	4	23.4		No								1	23	72	4							282
90	1	6		-	1	8.1		No								0	8	83	9							118,702
	0	5		-	3	5.5		No								0	5	85	10							1,876
89	1	7		-	0	4.6		No								0	5	72	24	0						127,550
	0	6		-	2	2.8		No								0	3	72	25							6,852
88	0	7		-	1	Out		No										66	34	0						15,061
87	0	8		-	0	Out		No										44	56	1						14,728

Total:						85.2	%	0.0	%	0	0	1	4	6	0	37	37	14	1	0						9,617,700

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Winnipeg 2 Vancouver 3	-0.4
Detroit 4 Minnesota 2	-0.1
Pittsburgh 2 Philadelphia 1	-0.1
Anaheim 4 NY Rangers 2	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
St Louis vs Arizona	-1.1-1.1-1.0-0.0-0.0+1.0
Tampa Bay vs Chicago	+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

103	8	0		-	0	0	1	26	43	24	6	1	0
102	7	0		-	1		0	9	30	36	19	5	1	0
101	7	1		-	0		0	1	10	28	35	20	5	0	0
	6	0		-	2			1	8	26	36	23	6	0
100	6	1		-	1			0	2	12	29	34	19	4	0	0
	5	0		-	3			0	1	8	22	36	25	7	0	0
99	6	2		-	0			0	0	2	11	31	37	17	2	0	0
	5	1		-	2			0	0	1	10	30	37	19	2	0	0
	4	0		-	4					1	8	29	39	21	2	0
98	5	2		-	1				0	0	3	14	35	35	11	1	0	0
	4	1		-	3					0	1	9	31	40	16	2	0
	3	0		-	5							7	13	63	15	2
97	5	3		-	0					0	0	3	18	42	28	8	1	0	0
	4	2		-	2					0	0	3	17	42	29	8	1	0
	3	1		-	4						0	2	15	40	33	9	1	0
	2	0		-	6									50	50
96	4	3		-	1					0	0	0	5	25	38	24	6	1	0	0		1
	3	2		-	3						0	0	3	20	37	28	9	1	0			2
	2	1		-	5								1	13	35	34	13	2				2
95	4	4		-	0						0	0	1	9	28	35	20	5	1	0	0	3
	3	3		-	2							0	1	8	27	35	20	5	1	0	0	3
	2	2		-	4								0	7	24	34	24	6	1	0		4
	1	1		-	6										50		50
94	3	4		-	1							0	0	1	9	24	29	16	4	0	0	17
	2	3		-	3								0	1	6	20	28	19	5	1	0	21
	1	2		-	5										4	20	26	24	4	1		20
93	3	5		-	0								0	0	2	9	21	25	14	4	0	25	0	0
	2	4		-	2									0	1	8	20	25	14	4	0	28	0
	1	3		-	4									0	1	5	17	23	16	6	1	31
	0	2		-	6												50					50
92	2	5		-	1									0	0	1	5	12	14	8	2	57	1	0
	1	4		-	3										0	0	3	10	13	8	2	62	1	0
	0	3		-	5														7	4	4	82	4
91	2	6		-	0										0	0	1	3	9	12	7	62	6	0	0
	1	5		-	2										0	0	0	3	7	10	7	65	7	0	0	0
	0	4		-	4												0	0	7	8	7	67	9	1
90	1	6		-	1											0	0	0	1	3	4	69	19	3	0	0
	0	5		-	3													0	0	2	4	66	23	5	1	0
89	1	7		-	0													0	0	1	4	38	36	17	4	0	0
	0	6		-	2														0	0	3	34	38	19	6	1	0
88	0	7		-	1																	17	34	32	14	3	0
87	0	8		-	0																	2	14	31	33	16	3	0

Total:						0	0	0	1	1	3	5	10	15	15	13	10	6	3	2	1	13	1	0	0	0	0	0