Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances 2016-2017

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.8 to 82.1%

84 points 37 27-10

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Anaheim 4 NY Rangers 2	+0.7

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Islanders vs Nashville	-1.6-1.8-1.6+0.1-0.0+2.1		-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0-0.0+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Chicago	-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.1*+0.0+0.3		-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in			Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Promoted	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

100	8	0		-	0	In		No	2	28	52	18	1												38,330
99	7	0		-	1	In		No	0	11	48	37	4		0										36,048
98	7	1		-	0	In		No	0	2	27	59	11	0	0	0									270,431
	6	0		-	2	In		No		1	23	61	15	0	1										14,807
97	6	1		-	1	In		No		0	13	55	29	0	3	0									222,324
	5	0		-	3	In		No		0	10	53	33	0	4										3,394
96	6	2		-	0	In		No		0	3	44	43	1	8	0									838,350
	5	1		-	2	In		No		0	2	39	46	2	11	0									78,018
	4	0		-	4	In		No			2	34	51	2	10	1									494
95	5	2		-	1	100.0	%	No		0	1	21	49	4	23	3	0								587,341
	4	1		-	3	In		No			0	18	48	4	26	4									15,081
	3	0		-	5	In		No				32	30		27	11									37
94	5	3		-	0	100.0		No			0	9	38	8	37	8	0	0							1,477,962
	4	2		-	2	99.9		No			0	7	34	9	41	10	0	0							169,633
	3	1		-	4	99.9		No				5	33	8	43	11	0								1,703
	2	0		-	6	In		No					50		50										2
93	4	3		-	1	99.3		No			0	2	18	9	47	24	1	0							854,327
	3	2		-	3	98.8		No				1	16	8	48	26	1	0							26,066
	2	1		-	5	In		No				1	18	7	47	27									129
92	4	4		-	0	96.3		No				0	6	7	44	39	4	0	0						1,609,576
	3	3		-	2	95.2		No				0	5	6	42	42	5	0							196,230
	2	2		-	4	94.0		No				0	4	7	38	45	6	0							2,302
	1	1		-	6	75.0		No							25	50	25								4
91	3	4		-	1	81.4		No				0	1	3	24	54	17	2	0	0					739,166
	2	3		-	3	78.9		No				0	1	2	22	54	19	2	0	0					22,438
	1	2		-	5	76.7		No						1	21	54	23								103
90	3	5		-	0	60.5		No				0	0	1	12	48	31	8	1	0					1,113,585
	2	4		-	2	56.1		No					0	1	10	46	34	9	1	0					126,890
	1	3		-	4	55.7		No						0	8	48	34	10	1						1,298
89	2	5		-	1	26.8		No					0	0	2	25	41	25	6	0					381,489
	1	4		-	3	24.2		No					0	0	2	23	41	27	7	1					9,609
	0	3		-	5	28.6		No							4	25	39	29	4						28
88	2	6		-	0	10.9		No						0	0	10	34	38	16	2	0				479,059
	1	5		-	2	8.9		No						0	0	9	32	39	17	2	0				42,809
	0	4		-	4	8.3		No							1	8	28	42	20	2					276
87	1	6		-	1	1.5		No							0	2	14	36	37	13	0				107,905
	0	5		-	3	0.7		No								1	11	35	37	16					1,616
86	1	7		-	0	0.2		No							0	0	5	26	44	25	0				116,834
	0	6		-	2	0.1		No								0	4	23	46	27	0				6,025
85	0	7		-	1	0.0		No								0	0	7	33	56	4	0			13,026
84	0	8		-	0	Out		No									0	2	22	66	9	0			12,955

Total:						82.1	%	No	0	0	2	10	18	4	25	23	10	5	2	1	0	0			9,617,700

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Detroit 4 Minnesota 2	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
NY Islanders vs Nashville	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Chicago	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1
St Louis vs Arizona	+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

100	8	0		-	0			0	0	5	21	36	28	8	1	0	0
99	7	0		-	1				0	1	8	25	37	23	5	1	0
98	7	1		-	0					0	1	6	25	41	22	5	1	0
	6	0		-	2					0	0	4	21	41	25	7	1	0
97	6	1		-	1					0	0	1	9	30	35	19	5	1	0	0
	5	0		-	3							1	7	26	36	22	7	1	0
96	6	2		-	0						0	0	1	11	29	33	20	6	1	0	0
	5	1		-	2						0	0	1	9	26	34	23	8	1	0
	4	0		-	4								0	8	23	34	26	7	2
95	5	2		-	1							0	0	2	11	26	33	21	6	1	0	0
	4	1		-	3								0	1	8	24	34	24	8	1	0
	3	0		-	5									3	3	16	38	19	19	3
94	5	3		-	0								0	0	2	10	26	35	22	6	0	0	0
	4	2		-	2									0	1	7	23	35	25	8	1	0	0
	3	1		-	4									0	1	6	20	35	28	9	1	0
	2	0		-	6													100
93	4	3		-	1									0	0	1	8	26	37	22	5	1	0	0
	3	2		-	3										0	1	6	23	37	25	6	1	0
	2	1		-	5											1	7	25	38	20	9
92	4	4		-	0										0	0	1	10	31	38	16	2	1	0	0	0
	3	3		-	2											0	1	8	28	40	20	2	2	0	0
	2	2		-	4											0	1	6	25	40	22	3	3	0
	1	1		-	6															25	50			25
91	3	4		-	1											0	0	2	12	34	34	5	12	2	0	0
	2	3		-	3												0	1	10	32	36	3	15	3	0	0
	1	2		-	5													1	10	31	35	1	21	1
90	3	5		-	0												0	0	3	19	38	5	25	9	1	0	0
	2	4		-	2												0	0	2	17	37	4	28	11	2	0	0
	1	3		-	4														2	14	40	2	24	15	2	0
89	2	5		-	1													0	0	5	22	1	30	29	11	2	0
	1	4		-	3													0	0	4	20	0	30	31	12	2	0
	0	3		-	5															4	25		18	36	18
88	2	6		-	0														0	1	10	0	22	36	24	7	1	0
	1	5		-	2														0	1	8	0	20	36	26	8	1	0
	0	4		-	4															1	7		14	33	29	13	1	0
87	1	6		-	1															0	1	0	5	22	37	27	7	0
	0	5		-	3																1		4	22	35	30	8	0
86	1	7		-	0															0	0		1	10	30	38	18	2	0
	0	6		-	2																0		1	9	28	41	20	2	0
85	0	7		-	1																0		0	1	8	32	47	11	1
84	0	8		-	0																		0	0	2	18	50	26	4	0

Total:								0	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	7	9	12	15	16	13	2	7	5	3	1	0	0	0	0