New York Islanders Playoff Chances 2016-2017

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.1 to 43.3%

81 points 37 30-7

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Anaheim 4 NY Rangers 2	+1.2		+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Islanders vs Nashville	+11.1+11.0+9.2-2.2-2.3-13.8		+0.6+0.6+0.5-0.1-0.1-0.7
Tampa Bay vs Chicago	-0.4-0.6-0.2-0.0*-0.0+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in			Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Promoted	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

97	8	0		-	0	In		No	0	2	32	51	15	1	0										21,590
96	7	0		-	1	In		No		0	10	46	37	7	1										22,892
95	7	1		-	0	In		No		0	3	33	46	16	3	0									171,738
	6	0		-	2	In		No			2	29	46	20	3	0									10,892
94	6	1		-	1	100.0	%	No			0	11	40	42	6	0	0								164,234
	5	0		-	3	99.9		No			0	9	38	45	7	1	0								2,886
93	6	2		-	0	99.6		No			0	4	24	55	13	3	0	0							617,022
	5	1		-	2	99.5		No			0	3	21	59	13	4	1	0							66,067
	4	0		-	4	99.4		No				1	15	63	15	6	1								517
92	5	2		-	1	96.7		No			0	0	8	65	13	10	3	0	0						499,154
	4	1		-	3	95.2		No				0	5	64	13	12	5	0							14,820
	3	0		-	5	90.7		No					4	46	17	24	7	2							54
91	5	3		-	0	86.5		No				0	2	53	12	20	12	1	0	0					1,254,550
	4	2		-	2	83.4		No				0	1	51	11	21	15	2	0	0					166,693
	3	1		-	4	77.6		No					1	48	7	22	20	3	0						1,903
	2	0		-	6	80.0		No						60		20	20								5
90	4	3		-	1	63.8		No				0	0	38	5	21	28	7	1	0					839,897
	3	2		-	3	56.9		No					0	33	4	20	32	10	1	0					29,271
	2	1		-	5	42.1		No						25	3	15	39	16	3						159
89	4	4		-	0	35.4		No					0	20	2	14	38	22	4	0					1,582,731
	3	3		-	2	30.8		No					0	18	1	12	38	25	6	0					222,960
	2	2		-	4	25.0		No						16	1	9	39	29	7	1					2,956
	1	1		-	6	30.0		No						30			20	50							10
88	3	4		-	1	14.5		No					0	9	0	5	33	38	14	1	0				842,110
	2	3		-	3	10.9		No						7	0	4	30	40	17	2	0				29,706
	1	2		-	5	6.9		No						3		4	29	45	17	2					144
	0	1		-	7	Out		No										100							1
87	3	5		-	0	3.8		No						3	0	1	16	40	32	8	0				1,268,481
	2	4		-	2	2.8		No						2	0	1	14	39	36	9	0				166,301
	1	3		-	4	2.1		No						2	0	0	12	36	39	11	0				1,919
	0	2		-	6	Out		No										50	25	25					4
86	2	5		-	1	0.8		No						1	0	0	6	30	45	18	0				502,251
	1	4		-	3	0.5		No						0		0	5	28	46	20	0				14,579
	0	3		-	5	Out		No									4	24	51	21					68
85	2	6		-	0	0.1		No						0		0	1	13	43	42	1	0			630,980
	1	5		-	2	0.0		No						0		0	1	10	41	45	2	0			65,620
	0	4		-	4	Out		No										8	40	50	1	0			470
84	1	6		-	1	0.0		No						0			0	5	33	57	5	0			164,679
	0	5		-	3	Out		No									0	4	32	57	7	0			2,805
83	1	7		-	0	Out		No									0	1	13	70	15	1	0		178,037
	0	6		-	2	Out		No									0	0	10	67	20	2	0		10,824
82	0	7		-	1	Out		No										0	6	61	30	4	0		23,174
81	0	8		-	0	Out		No											1	44	43	12	1		22,546

Total:						43.3	%	No	0	0	0	1	4	25	4	9	17	17	13	8	1	0	0		9,617,700

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Anaheim 4 NY Rangers 2	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
NY Islanders vs Nashville	-0.8-0.8-0.7+0.2+0.2+1.0
Tampa Bay vs Chicago	+0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

97	8	0		-	0					0	0	4	18	34	29	12	3	0	0
96	7	0		-	1						0	0	3	13	30	31	18	5	1	0
95	7	1		-	0							0	0	4	16	31	30	14	3	0	0
	6	0		-	2								0	3	14	30	31	17	4	1	0
94	6	1		-	1								0	0	2	11	28	34	20	5	0	0
	5	0		-	3									0	2	9	26	34	22	6	1	0
93	6	2		-	0									0	0	3	14	31	33	15	3	0	0	0
	5	1		-	2									0	0	2	11	28	35	18	4	0	0	0
	4	0		-	4											2	9	25	33	25	6	1
92	5	2		-	1										0	0	2	12	32	35	16	2	1	0	0
	4	1		-	3											0	1	9	29	37	19	3	2	0
	3	0		-	5													7	9	37	37	6	4
91	5	3		-	0										0	0	0	3	16	35	32	6	6	1	0	0
	4	2		-	2											0	0	2	13	33	35	7	8	1	0	0
	3	1		-	4												0	1	11	28	38	9	11	2	0
	2	0		-	6														20	20	40	20
90	4	3		-	1												0	0	4	19	41	6	22	8	1	0	0
	3	2		-	3													0	3	15	39	6	25	10	1	0
	2	1		-	5														2	10	30	8	32	15	3
89	4	4		-	0												0	0	1	6	29	4	28	24	8	1	0
	3	3		-	2													0	0	5	26	4	28	26	9	1	0
	2	2		-	4														0	3	22	4	29	29	11	2	0
	1	1		-	6															10	20	10	10	30	20
88	3	4		-	1													0	0	1	13	1	21	36	22	5	0	0
	2	3		-	3														0	1	10	1	19	37	25	7	1	0
	1	2		-	5																7	1	22	34	29	8
	0	1		-	7																			100
87	3	5		-	0														0	0	4	0	7	26	37	22	4	0
	2	4		-	2														0	0	3	0	6	24	38	24	5	0	0
	1	3		-	4															0	2		5	21	38	28	5	0
	0	2		-	6																				75		25
86	2	5		-	1															0	1		2	13	34	37	13	1	0
	1	4		-	3																0		1	11	33	38	16	1	0
	0	3		-	5																			4	47	34	13	1
85	2	6		-	0																0		0	2	15	41	36	5	0	0
	1	5		-	2																0		0	2	13	39	39	7	0	0
	0	4		-	4																			1	11	38	42	9	0
84	1	6		-	1																0		0	0	5	28	48	17	1	0
	0	5		-	3																			0	4	26	48	21	2	0
83	1	7		-	0																			0	0	9	48	35	7	0	0
	0	6		-	2																			0	0	7	43	39	10	1
82	0	7		-	1																				0	2	27	48	20	3	0	0
81	0	8		-	0																					0	13	39	35	11	1	0

Total:										0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	7	11	17	2	11	13	12	10	6	2	0	0	0	0