Colorado Avalanche Playoff Chances 2016-2017

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.05 to 99.98%

94 points 41 21-12

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Winnipeg 2 Vancouver 3	+0.1
Detroit 4 Minnesota 2					+0.0
New Jersey 5 Dallas 3					+0.1
Anaheim 4 NY Rangers 2					-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Calgary vs Colorado			-1.3-0.9-0.9+0.5+0.6+0.7		-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
St Louis vs Arizona			+1.1-0.1-0.1-0.6-0.8-0.7
Tampa Bay vs Chicago			+0.5-0.0-0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3		+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in				Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Promoted		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

110	8	0		-	0	In		44.6	%	45	50	5														104,501
109	7	0		-	1	In		18.7		19	58	23														75,196
108	7	1		-	0	In		12.5		13	55	32														566,042
	6	0		-	2	In		11.3		12	53	36														23,398
107	6	1		-	1	In		2.7		3	36	61	0													354,393
	5	0		-	3	In		2.6		3	31	66	0													4,037
106	6	2		-	0	In		1.2		1	28	69	1	0												1,335,600
	5	1		-	2	In		1.0		1	25	72	2	0												94,464
	4	0		-	4	In		1.1		1	20	76	3													440
105	5	2		-	1	In		0.1		0	10	86	4	0												713,080
	4	1		-	3	In		0.1		0	8	87	4	0												13,973
	3	0		-	5	In		No			4	94	2													52
104	5	3		-	0	In		0.0		0	6	78	16	1												1,791,312
	4	2		-	2	In		0.0		0	5	77	17	1												156,640
	3	1		-	4	In		No			5	75	19	2												1,151
	2	0		-	6	In		No					100													1
103	4	3		-	1	In		0.0		0	1	72	25	2		0										786,204
	3	2		-	3	In		No		0	1	69	27	3		0										18,166
	2	1		-	5	In		No			1	60	32	7												72
102	4	4		-	0	In		No		0	0	45	44	10		0	0									1,486,915
	3	3		-	2	In		No			0	42	46	11		1	0									136,455
	2	2		-	4	In		No				39	49	11		1										1,202
	1	1		-	6	In		No				50	50													2
101	3	4		-	1	In		No			0	30	49	17		4	0									517,403
	2	3		-	3	In		No				28	49	18		5	0									11,908
	1	2		-	5	In		No				33	46	17		4										46
100	3	5		-	0	In		No			0	10	41	37	1	12	0									781,352
	2	4		-	2	In		No				9	38	37	1	16	1									66,626
	1	3		-	4	In		No				8	37	33	0	19	2									497
99	2	5		-	1	In		No				4	26	36	1	29	3									202,212
	1	4		-	3	In		No				3	24	33	1	35	5									3,801
	0	3		-	5	In		No					23	31		38	8									13
98	2	6		-	0	In		No				0	8	31	4	45	11									252,995
	1	5		-	2	In		No				0	6	25	4	48	16									16,959
	0	4		-	4	In		No					6	20	4	49	21									84
97	1	6		-	1	In		No				0	2	14	3	50	31									43,301
	0	5		-	3	In		No					2	10	1	47	40									471
96	1	7		-	0	98.7	%	No					0	4	2	40	52	1								46,331
	0	6		-	2	98.4		No				0	0	2	1	30	65	2								1,845
95	0	7		-	1	96.2		No					0	1	0	16	79	4								4,039
94	0	8		-	0	81.3		No						0	0	6	75	19								4,521

Total:						100.0	%	1.7	%	2	12	53	20	8	0	4	1	0								9,617,700

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 2 Philadelphia 1	-0.1
Detroit 4 Minnesota 2	+0.1
Anaheim 4 NY Rangers 2	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Calgary vs Colorado	+0.8+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4
Tampa Bay vs Chicago	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

110	8	0		-	0	45	50	5
109	7	0		-	1	19	58	23
108	7	1		-	0	13	55	32	1
	6	0		-	2	11	52	36	1
107	6	1		-	1	3	35	61	2
	5	0		-	3	3	30	65	3
106	6	2		-	0	1	24	63	12	0	0
	5	1		-	2	1	20	64	14	1	0
	4	0		-	4	1	17	65	16	1
105	5	2		-	1	0	8	67	23	2	0	0
	4	1		-	3	0	6	67	24	2	0
	3	0		-	5		4	71	21	4
104	5	3		-	0	0	3	38	44	14	2	0	0
	4	2		-	2	0	2	35	45	16	2	0
	3	1		-	4		2	35	45	16	3	0
	2	0		-	6				100
103	4	3		-	1	0	0	24	46	25	5	0	0	0
	3	2		-	3		0	22	45	26	6	1
	2	1		-	5			24	38	28	8	3
102	4	4		-	0		0	4	24	39	25	7	1	0	0
	3	3		-	2		0	3	22	39	27	8	1	0
	2	2		-	4			3	22	38	29	8	1	0
	1	1		-	6					50		50
101	3	4		-	1		0	1	12	32	35	16	3	0	0
	2	3		-	3			1	11	30	36	18	4	0	0
	1	2		-	5			2	15	24	37	22
100	3	5		-	0			0	1	10	29	37	19	3	0	0	0
	2	4		-	2			0	1	8	27	37	22	4	0	0
	1	3		-	4				1	9	27	34	23	6	1
99	2	5		-	1			0	0	3	16	34	32	13	2	0	0
	1	4		-	3				0	3	13	31	34	16	3	0
	0	3		-	5						15	38	8	31	8
98	2	6		-	0				0	0	2	13	34	34	15	3	0	0
	1	5		-	2					0	1	10	30	36	18	4	0
	0	4		-	4						2	5	24	40	24	5
97	1	6		-	1					0	0	3	16	34	31	12	2	0	0
	0	5		-	3							2	11	27	38	17	5	0
96	1	7		-	0						0	0	2	14	32	32	14	3	0	0		1
	0	6		-	2						0	0	1	9	31	36	17	3	0			2
95	0	7		-	1								0	2	15	33	30	13	2	0	0	4
94	0	8		-	0									0	2	13	28	26	10	2	0	19

Total:						2	10	29	21	14	10	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0