How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
New Jersey 5 Dallas 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
St Louis vs Arizona-13.5+1.2+1.1+9.0+9.2+9.1
-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Chicago+11.6+5.1+5.2-8.0-8.0-8.0
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Calgary vs Colorado+0.7+0.7+0.4-0.3*-0.2-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsPromoted12345678910111213141516Count
114-115InYes100422,240*
11361-0In97.3%9731,129,015
50-2In97.297334,925
11251-1In95.8964527,183
40-3In95.59644,455
11152-0In84.284161,988,472
41-2In84.08416102,163
30-4In83.38317324
11042-1In78.679210767,138
31-3In78.37822010,423
20-5In81.8821811
10943-0In56.6574301,929,918
32-2In56.557430117,000
21-4In54.35446586
10833-1In47.548511590,734
22-3In45.5465128,906
11-5In40.040501010
10734-0In24.3257051,113,894
23-2In24.22570567,198
12-4In27.127658306
10624-1In15.617711200253,493
13-3In12.014671813,378
02-5InNo1001
10525-0In4.35662710382,259
14-2In4.3565281018,930
03-4In2.04564050
10415-1In1.4248427058,040
04-3In1.424047101511
10316-0In0.10295317172,120
05-2In0.1028541622,124
10206-1In0.1011433795,353
10107-0InNo33049186,540
Total:In64.7%65323009,617,700

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs