Baltimore Orioles Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Beat Red Sox 1170-731, playoff odds down 2.1 to 12.3%
10-9-0 .526
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 8/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Orioles 1170 Red Sox 731 | +9.0 | +0.9 | ||
| Yankees 933 Blue Jays 938 | -6.7 | -0.4 | ||
| Mets 607 Rays 851 | -2.7 | -0.2 | ||
| Angels 915 Rangers 1290 | -0.1 | |||
| Tigers 705 White Sox 789 | +0.1 | |||
| Twins 1148 Indians 879 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Nationals vs Orioles | Out*-0.0+12.3 | -1.0+0.2+1.0 | ||
| Rays vs Blue Jays | +6.4*+0.3-6.4 | +0.3+0.1-0.3 | ||
| Athletics vs Rangers | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | |||
| Angels vs Astros | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 12 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 50.1 | % | 50 | 10 | 31 | 9 | 615,818 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 12.7 | 13 | 10 | 40 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 50,469 | |||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Out | 9 | 32 | 36 | 23 | 1,229,049 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | Out | 12 | 44 | 33 | 10 | 994 | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 6 | 37 | 57 | 50,273 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 24 | 73 | 1 | 616,117 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 12.3 | % | 12 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 24 | 30 | 0 | 2,562,720 | |||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 8/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Orioles 1170 Red Sox 731 | -1.4 | |
| Yankees 933 Blue Jays 938 | +0.5 | |
| Mets 607 Rays 851 | +0.3 | |
| Nationals 1452 Marlins 766 | -0.1 | |
| Tigers 705 White Sox 789 | -0.1 | |
| Angels 915 Rangers 1290 | +0.1 | |
| Twins 1148 Indians 879 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Nationals vs Orioles | +1.5+0.6-1.6 | |
| Rays vs Blue Jays | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | |
| Athletics vs Rangers | -0.2-0.2+0.2 | |
| Angels vs Astros | +0.2-0.2-0.2 | |
| Phillies vs Marlins | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Padres vs Mariners | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Brewers vs Twins | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Reds vs Cubs | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
| 12 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 29 | 24 | 9 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 32 | 17 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 54 | 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 54 | 21 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 17 | 58 | 23 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 20 | 23 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
