How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets 607 Rays 851 -4.5
-0.1
Yankees 933 Blue Jays 938 +0.5
+0.0
Orioles 1170 Red Sox 731 -0.1
Twins 1148 Indians 879 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 8/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays vs Blue Jays-52.2+21.0+23.7
-2.0+0.8+0.9
Nationals vs Orioles+0.2*+0.2-3.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
12.5-13In1005,414,057*
121-1-030.8%3113562,600,852
0-0-299.499013,348
11.50-1-122.32213641057,163
110-2-0Out85140095,080
Total:76.3%764190008,170,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/19100.0*Lottery seed
Mets 607 Rays 851 +0.2
Nationals 1452 Marlins 766 +0.1
Yankees 933 Blue Jays 938 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 8/26100.0*Lottery seed
Rays vs Blue Jays+2.2-0.6-1.0
Nationals vs Orioles+0.0-0.5-0.3
Brewers vs Twins-0.0-0.0+0.2
Padres vs Mariners+0.0-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
132-0-002971
12.51-0-1397
121-1-0130254040
0-0-2099000
11.50-1-1022113501400
110-2-0116631900
Total:019588132000