AL East Division Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Avg.	Change	RPI

Blue Jays		11	-	8	-	0	.579	1354	57.0	%	+1.4			57			5	22	9	5	2						4.9	+0.30	12	Toronto Blue Jays

Rays		10	-	9	-	0	.526	294	30.7		+0.7			31			4	15	15	13	18	4					6.9	+0.52	20	Tampa Bay Rays
Orioles		10	-	9	-	0	.526	-1168	12.3		-2.1			12			3	13	18	24	30	0					8.0	+0.11	19	Baltimore Orioles
Yankees		5	-	14	-	0	.263	-3564	Out														7	46	17	31	13.7	-0.33	27	New York Yankees
Red Sox		4	-	15	-	0	.211	-3715	Out															15	22	63	14.5	-0.26	24	Boston Red Sox

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 8/19
Yankees 933 Blue Jays 938
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blue Jays	+14.2		+0.9
Rays	-7.5		-0.4
Orioles	-6.7		-0.4
Yankees			-0.3
Red Sox			+0.1

Mets 607 Rays 851
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blue Jays	-8.1		-0.4
Rays	+10.8		+1.0
Orioles	-2.7		-0.2

Orioles 1170 Red Sox 731
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blue Jays	-6.4		-0.3
Rays	-2.6		-0.2
Orioles	+9.0		+0.9
Yankees			+0.1
Red Sox			-0.3

Reds 833 Royals 918
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Yankees			-0.1
Red Sox			-0.1

Tigers 705 White Sox 789
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rays			+0.1
Orioles			+0.1

Twins 1148 Indians 879
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rays			-0.1
Orioles			-0.1

Angels 915 Rangers 1290
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blue Jays			+0.0
Orioles			-0.1

Mariners 568 Astros 1120
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Yankees			+0.1

Week of 8/26
Rays vs Blue JaysIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blue Jays	19.663.594.1		6.64.53.2
Rays	61.723.9Out		4.97.48.8
Orioles	18.7*12.65.9		7.87.98.3

Nationals vs OriolesHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blue Jays	63.362.850.4		4.64.75.2
Rays	36.724.925.0		6.67.27.1
Orioles	Out*12.324.6		9.07.97.1

Yankees vs Red SoxHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Yankees			13.013.614.4
Red Sox			15.014.614.0

Angels vs AstrosHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blue Jays			5.05.04.8
Rays			7.07.06.7
Orioles			8.27.97.9

Athletics vs RangersHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blue Jays			4.95.05.0
Rays			6.76.87.0
Orioles			7.88.28.2

Royals vs White SoxHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Yankees			13.913.813.5
Red Sox			14.614.514.4

Brewers vs TwinsHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blue Jays			4.94.95.0
Rays			6.77.07.0

Padres vs MarinersHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Yankees			13.613.713.8

Tigers vs IndiansHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rays			6.96.86.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.