Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Blue Jays11-8-0.579135476.3%-6.7764190003.9-0.3612.730Toronto Blue Jays
Rays10-9-0.52629423.5+6.723942813406.4+0.0920.558Tampa Bay Rays
Orioles10-9-0.526-11680.2+0.0001715561008.6+0.3319.287Baltimore Orioles
Yankees5-14-0.263-3564Out275331713.1-0.0427.096New York Yankees
Red Sox4-15-0.211-3715Out1558014.7-0.5424.096Boston Red Sox

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/19
Mets 607 Rays 851
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays-4.5
-0.1
Rays+4.5
+0.4
Orioles+0.0
Yankees 933 Blue Jays 938
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays+0.5
+0.0
Rays-0.5
-0.0
Orioles-0.1
Yankees-0.0
Red Sox+0.0
Orioles 1170 Red Sox 731
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays-0.1
Orioles+0.1
+0.2
Yankees+0.1
Red Sox-0.2
Twins 1148 Indians 879
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays-0.1
Rays-0.4
Reds 833 Royals 918
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yankees-0.1
Red Sox-0.3
Angels 915 Rangers 1290
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays+0.1
Orioles-0.1
Tigers 705 White Sox 789
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays+0.0
Orioles+0.0
Week of 8/26
Rays vs Blue JaysIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays24.097.2100.0
5.93.13.0
Rays75.32.7Out
4.17.17.5
Orioles0.70.10.0
8.78.68.6
Nationals vs OriolesHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays76.5*76.572.6
3.93.94.1
Rays6.46.56.4
OriolesOut0.44.2
8.77.97.7
Yankees vs Red SoxHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yankees12.512.613.8
Red Sox15.015.014.3
Athletics vs RangersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays6.46.47.0
Orioles8.59.29.3
Tigers vs IndiansHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays6.66.46.4
Orioles8.28.68.6
Angels vs AstrosHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays6.66.66.4
Orioles8.98.68.6
Padres vs MarinersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yankees13.113.113.4
Royals vs White SoxHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yankees13.213.213.1
Red Sox14.814.814.6
Brewers vs TwinsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays6.46.56.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.