How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 0 -5.9
-0.2
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 0 -5.9
-0.2
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 0 -5.8
-0.2
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 +3.9
+0.1
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 +3.9
+0.1
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 +3.9
+0.1
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 +3.9
+0.1
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 +3.9
+0.1
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -1.8
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -1.7
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -1.7
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -1.6
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -1.6
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -1.6
Chicano Blackhawks 0 Homsar 1 -1.3
Chicano Blackhawks 0 Homsar 1 -1.3
Chicano Blackhawks 0 Homsar 1 -1.3
Chicano Blackhawks 0 Homsar 1 -1.3
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +1.1
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +1.1
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 +1.1
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 +1.1
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +1.1
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +1.1
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 +1.1
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 +1.0
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 1 -0.8
-0.0
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -0.7
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -0.7
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -0.7
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 1 -0.6
-0.0
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -0.6
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -0.6
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -0.6
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Southside Slaggers 1 +0.3
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Southside Slaggers 1 +0.3
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Southside Slaggers 1 +0.3
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Southside Slaggers 1 +0.3
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 1 *+0.1
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 1 *+0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 +5.7
+0.2
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 +5.7
+0.2
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 +5.7
+0.2
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 +5.7
+0.2
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 +5.7
+0.2
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 +5.7
+0.2
Spanker Empire 0 Swingline Staplers 1 -4.7
-0.1
Spanker Empire 0 Swingline Staplers 1 -4.7
-0.1
Spanker Empire 0 Swingline Staplers 1 -4.7
-0.1
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 -3.6
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 -3.6
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 -3.6
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +2.4
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +2.4
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +2.4
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +2.3
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +2.3
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +2.3
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +2.3
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 1 +0.9
+0.0
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 -0.8
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 -0.8
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 -0.7
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 -0.7
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 +0.6
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 +0.5
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 +0.5
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 +0.5
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.3
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.3
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+1.5+0.5-1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+1.5+0.5-1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+1.5+0.5-1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+1.5+0.5-1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+1.5+0.5-1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+1.5+0.5-1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+1.5+0.5-1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+1.5+0.5-1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+1.5+0.5-1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+1.5+0.5-1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+0.4*-0.0-0.5
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+0.4*-0.0-0.5
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-0.5*+0.0+0.4
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+0.4*-0.0-0.5
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-0.5*+0.0+0.4
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+0.4*-0.0-0.5
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+0.3*-0.0-0.5
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-0.5+0.1+0.4
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+0.4*-0.0-0.5
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-0.4*+0.0+0.4
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+0.3*-0.0-0.5
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-0.4*+0.0+0.4
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+0.3*-0.0-0.5
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-0.4*+0.0+0.4
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+0.3*-0.0-0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Spanker Empire finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs12345678910Count
216100-00In13875,348
21590-01In7936,632
21491-00In49621,141
80-02In4968,505
21381-01In29854,745
70-03In2986,371
21282-00In19987,118
71-02In19962,457
60-04In1993,348
21172-01In01000198,241
61-03In0100042,577*
21073-00In01000209,847
62-02In01000198,158
51-04In0100017,997*
20963-01In1000419,401
52-03In1000111,681
41-05In10005,171*
20853-02100.0%10000358,818
64-00100.010000333,217
42-04In100040,859*
20754-01100.09910568,613
43-03100.09910170,581
32-05100.098209,319*
20644-02100.09730405,585
55-00100.09730363,181
33-04100.0973048,368
22-06In9821,305*
20545-0199.993700517,276
34-0399.99370154,910
23-0599.993708,173*
20435-0299.6871300294,059
46-0099.687130274,486
24-0499.78712034,019*
20336-0198.6772210312,041
25-0398.676221084,220
14-0598.3762323,912*
20237-0096.2643240142,119
26-0296.2643240133,602
15-0496.26432412,145*
20127-0190.6484390121,854
16-0390.848439026,365*
20028-0033.0334918048,387
17-0232.8334918034,518
06-0433.634481801,820
19918-0119.7204732227,842
07-0319.519473213,309
19819-0010.010404649,610
08-029.09394753,966
19709-013.542956122,770
196010-001.211761213,909
Total:97.8%09072106,013,896

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 0 +0.2
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 0 +0.2
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 0 +0.2
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 -0.1
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 -0.1
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 -0.1
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 -0.1
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 -0.1
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +0.1
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +0.1
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +0.1
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +0.1
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +0.1
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +0.1
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.0
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.0
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.0
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.0
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 1 +0.0
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 1 +0.0
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -0.2
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -0.2
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -0.2
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -0.2
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -0.2
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -0.2
Spanker Empire 0 Swingline Staplers 1 +0.1
Spanker Empire 0 Swingline Staplers 1 +0.1
Spanker Empire 0 Swingline Staplers 1 +0.1
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 +0.1
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 +0.1
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 +0.1
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -0.0
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -0.0
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -0.0
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -0.0
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -0.0
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1-0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1-0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1-0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1-0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1-0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1-0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1-0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1-0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1-0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT12345678910
216100-001387
21590-01793
21491-00496
80-02496
21381-01298
70-03298
21282-00199
71-02199
60-04199
21172-0101000
61-0301000
21073-0001000
62-0201000
51-0401000
20963-011000
52-031000
41-051000
20853-0210000
64-0010000
42-041000
20754-019910
43-039910
32-059820
20644-029730
55-009730
33-049730
22-06982
20545-0193700
34-039370
23-059370
20435-02871300
46-0087130
24-0487120
20336-01772210
25-03762210
14-0576232
20237-00643240
26-02643240
15-04643240
20127-01484390
16-03484390
20028-003349180
17-023349180
06-043448180
19918-012047322
07-031947321
19819-001040464
08-02939475
19709-014295612
196010-001176121
Total:0907210