How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +5.9
+0.2
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +5.8
+0.2
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +5.8
+0.2
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +5.8
+0.2
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -5.8
-0.2
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +5.8
+0.2
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -5.7
-0.2
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -5.7
-0.2
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -5.7
-0.2
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +5.7
+0.2
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 -2.1
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 -2.1
Chicano Blackhawks 0 Homsar 1 -2.1
Chicano Blackhawks 0 Homsar 1 -2.0
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 -2.0
Chicano Blackhawks 0 Homsar 1 -2.0
Chicano Blackhawks 0 Homsar 1 -2.0
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 -2.0
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 -2.0
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -1.9
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -1.9
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -1.8
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -1.8
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -1.8
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -1.7
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 0 +1.4
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 0 +1.3
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 0 +1.3
Curry Smugglers 0 Puck Bunnies 1 -0.8
Curry Smugglers 0 Puck Bunnies 1 -0.8
Curry Smugglers 0 Puck Bunnies 1 -0.7
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 +0.7
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 +0.7
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 +0.6
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 +0.6
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 1 -0.4
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 1 -0.4
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 1 -0.4
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 1 -0.4
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -6.5
-0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -6.5
-0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -6.5
-0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -6.5
-0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -6.5
-0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -6.5
-0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -6.5
-0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +5.9
+0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +5.9
+0.2
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 -1.6
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 -1.6
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 -1.6
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -1.2
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -1.2
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -1.2
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -1.2
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -1.2
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -1.1
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +1.0
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +1.0
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +1.0
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +1.0
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +1.0
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +1.0
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +1.0
Spanker Empire 0 Swingline Staplers 1 +0.9
Spanker Empire 0 Swingline Staplers 1 +0.9
Spanker Empire 0 Swingline Staplers 1 +0.9
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 1 +0.7
+0.0
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 -0.4
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 -0.4
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 -0.4
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 -0.3
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 +0.3
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 +0.3
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 +0.3
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+8.9*+0.1-7.5
+0.2+0.0-0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+8.9-0.2-7.5
+0.2+0.0-0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+8.9-0.1-7.5
+0.2+0.0-0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+8.9*-0.1-7.5
+0.2+0.0-0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+8.9*-0.0-7.5
+0.2+0.0-0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+8.9*-0.1-7.5
+0.2+0.0-0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+8.9*-0.1-7.5
+0.2+0.0-0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+8.9-0.2-7.4
+0.2+0.0-0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+8.8*-0.1-7.4
+0.2+0.0-0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+8.8*-0.1-7.4
+0.2+0.0-0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+5.7-1.3-7.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+5.7-1.3-7.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+5.6-1.3-7.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+5.7-1.4-7.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+5.6-1.3-7.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+5.6-1.3-7.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+5.6-1.3-7.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+5.6-1.3-7.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+5.6-1.3-7.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+5.6-1.3-7.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+0.2*+0.0-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+0.2*-0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+0.2*-0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+0.2*+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+0.1*+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Mediocre Snipers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs12345678910Count
209100-00In85153,580
20890-0199.8%762401,943
20791-0099.0623817,216
80-0299.1633612,869
20681-0197.54850220,760
70-0397.6494822,618
20582-0093.93460638,477
71-0293.834606027,629
60-0494.1326261,411
20472-0187.62266120100,102
61-0387.4216613021,531*
20373-0077.51266220120,981
62-0277.71266220114,216
51-0477.4116623010,409*
20263-0164.6559350275,193
52-0364.455936074,302
41-0564.75593503,358*
20153-0249.8149500268,947
64-0049.7149500250,329
42-0449.614850031,284*
20054-0133.8346420488,859
43-0333.8346420146,426
32-0533.63464207,927*
19944-0221.1217080399,193
55-0021.1217080355,068
33-0420.921718049,012*
19845-0111.11171171578,174
34-0311.11171171173,069
23-0510.511721719,361*
19735-025.2564292377,335
46-005.1564292349,470
24-045.256429243,366*
19636-011.8252406455,484
25-031.8252406122,808
14-051.82514065,452*
19537-000.51365014236,830
26-020.50365014223,072
15-040.4036501420,370*
19427-010.10225325230,564
16-030.1022532548,372
05-05Out2253241,322
19328-000.00114840104,824
17-020.0011484075,363
06-04Out1148404,032
19218-01Out5395668,792
07-03Out539568,307
19119-00Out2267227,459
08-02Out2277111,090
19009-01Out016849,104
189010-00Out07936,236
Total:23.7%0222512066,013,896

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -0.2
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -0.2
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -0.2
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -0.2
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -0.2
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -0.2
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +0.1
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +0.1
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +0.1
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +0.1
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 0 -0.1
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 0 -0.1
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 0 -0.1
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 +0.0
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 +0.0
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 +0.0
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 +0.0
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 +0.0
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 1 -0.0
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 1 -0.0
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -0.2
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 +0.1
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 +0.1
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 +0.1
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 +0.1
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 +0.1
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 +0.1
Spanker Empire 0 Swingline Staplers 1 -0.1
Spanker Empire 0 Swingline Staplers 1 -0.1
Spanker Empire 0 Swingline Staplers 1 -0.1
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 +0.1
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 +0.1
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 +0.1
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -0.0
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -0.0
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -0.0
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -0.0
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -0.0
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -0.0
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 1 -0.0
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-0.2-0.0+0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-0.2-0.0+0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-0.2-0.0+0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-0.2-0.0+0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-0.2-0.0+0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-0.2-0.0+0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-0.2-0.0+0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-0.2-0.0+0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-0.2-0.0+0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-0.2-0.0+0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-0.1+0.0+0.1
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-0.1+0.0+0.1
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-0.1+0.0+0.1
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-0.1+0.0+0.1
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-0.1+0.0+0.1
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-0.1+0.0+0.1
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-0.1+0.0+0.1
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-0.1+0.0+0.1
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-0.1+0.0+0.1
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-0.1+0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1+0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1+0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1+0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1-0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1-0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1+0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1-0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1+0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1-0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-0.1-0.0+0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.0+0.0+0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.0+0.0+0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.0+0.0+0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.0+0.0+0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.0+0.0+0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.0+0.0+0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.0+0.0+0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.0+0.0+0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.0+0.0+0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT12345678910
209100-008515
20890-0176240
20791-0062381
80-0263361
20681-0148502
70-0349482
20582-0034606
71-02346060
60-0432626
20472-012266120
61-032166130
20373-001266220
62-021266220
51-041166230
20263-01559350
52-03559360
41-05559350
20153-02149500
64-00149500
42-04148500
20054-01346430
43-03346420
32-05346430
19944-02217080
55-00217080
33-04217180
19845-011171171
34-031171171
23-051172171
19735-02564292
46-00564292
24-04564292
19636-01252406
25-03252406
14-05251406
19537-001365014
26-020365014
15-040365014
19427-010225325
16-030225325
05-05225324
19328-000114840
17-020114840
06-04114840
19218-0153956
07-0353956
19119-0022672
08-0222771
19009-0101684
189010-000793
Total:022251206