How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 +3.3
+0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 +3.2
+0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 +3.2
+0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 +3.2
+0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 +3.2
+0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 +3.2
+0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Southside Slaggers 1 -1.4
-0.1
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Southside Slaggers 1 -1.3
-0.1
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Southside Slaggers 1 -1.3
-0.1
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Southside Slaggers 1 -1.3
-0.1
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +1.1
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +1.1
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +1.1
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +1.0
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 0 +1.0
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 0 +0.9
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 0 +0.9
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 +0.8
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 +0.8
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 +0.8
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 +0.8
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -0.5
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -0.5
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -0.5
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -0.5
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -0.5
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -0.5
Curry Smugglers 0 Puck Bunnies 1 +0.4
Curry Smugglers 0 Puck Bunnies 1 +0.4
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 1 +0.4
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 1 +0.4
Curry Smugglers 0 Puck Bunnies 1 +0.4
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 1 +0.4
Curry Smugglers 1 Puck Bunnies 0 +0.4
Curry Smugglers 1 Puck Bunnies 1 +0.4
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 1 +0.2
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +5.9
+0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +5.9
+0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +5.9
+0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +5.9
+0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +5.9
+0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +5.9
+0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +5.9
+0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -5.4
-0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -5.4
-0.2
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 -1.1
-0.1
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 -1.0
-0.1
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -1.0
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 -1.0
-0.1
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -1.0
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -1.0
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -1.0
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -1.0
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -0.9
Spanker Empire 0 Swingline Staplers 1 +0.8
Spanker Empire 0 Swingline Staplers 1 +0.8
Spanker Empire 0 Swingline Staplers 1 +0.8
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 1 -0.7
-0.0
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +0.7
+0.1
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +0.7
+0.1
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +0.7
+0.1
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +0.7
+0.1
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +0.7
+0.1
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +0.7
+0.1
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +0.6
+0.0
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 -0.2
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 1 -0.2
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-7.9+1.8+10.1
-0.1+0.0+0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-7.9+1.9+10.0
-0.1+0.0+0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-7.9+1.8+10.0
-0.1+0.0+0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-7.8+1.8+10.0
-0.1+0.0+0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-7.8+1.9+10.0
-0.1+0.0+0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-7.8+1.9+10.0
-0.1+0.0+0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-7.8+1.8+10.0
-0.1+0.0+0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-7.8+1.9+10.0
-0.1+0.0+0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-7.8+1.9+10.0
-0.1+0.0+0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers-7.8+1.8+10.0
-0.1+0.0+0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-7.2+0.2+6.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-7.2*+0.1+6.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-7.1*-0.0+6.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-7.2+0.2+6.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-7.1+0.2+6.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-7.1+0.2+6.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-7.1+0.1+6.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-7.1+0.2+5.9
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-7.1+0.2+6.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies-7.1*+0.1+6.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+1.4+0.2-1.6
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+1.4*+0.1-1.6
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+1.4*+0.1-1.6
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+1.4+0.2-1.6
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+1.4+0.2-1.6
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+1.4+0.2-1.6
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+1.4*+0.1-1.6
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+1.4+0.2-1.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Iceberg Rockhoppers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs12345678910Count
212100-00In09643,259
21190-01In1946981
21091-00In083173,779
80-02In86141,484
20981-01In0752512,063
70-03In76241,514
20882-00100.0%6337022,947
71-02100.06436017,658*
20772-0199.95149064,936
61-0399.95248014,206*
20673-0099.83762084,235
62-0299.83763080,355
51-0499.8386207,462*
20563-0199.326731206,709
52-0399.42673156,359
41-0599.3267312,585*
20453-0298.2168220219,631
64-0098.3168220199,589
42-0498.31683225,646*
20354-0196.298740422,940
43-0396.298740128,845
32-0596.498747,160*
20244-0292.048880373,421
55-0092.048880325,555
33-0492.04888045,515
22-0691.3587901,247*
20145-0185.586140575,152
34-0385.586140175,724
23-0585.3851509,744*
20035-0273.3732510405,122
46-0073.3732510369,865
24-0473.373251047,403*
19936-0158.8593740523,092
25-0358.5593740143,639
14-0558.65937406,607*
19837-0042.04248100287,672
26-0242.24248100276,748
15-0442.4424810025,644*
19727-0126.92752202305,358
16-0327.1275219265,017
05-0527.227521921,762
19628-0014.31449325146,802
17-0214.21449325107,886
06-0413.714483355,787
19518-016.46384412104,063
07-036.3639431212,815
19419-002.2225502244,753
08-022.5226502218,578
19309-010.6113483815,536
192010-000.10640539,046
Total:71.2%066522616,013,896

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Southside Slaggers 1 +0.1
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Southside Slaggers 1 +0.1
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Southside Slaggers 1 +0.1
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Southside Slaggers 1 +0.1
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +0.2
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +0.2
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 +0.1
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 +0.1
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 +0.1
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 +0.1
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 +0.1
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 +0.1
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 +0.1
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -0.1
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -0.1
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -0.1
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -0.1
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -0.1
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -0.1
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -0.0
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 -0.0
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 -0.0
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 -0.0
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 -0.0
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 1 +0.0
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 1 +0.0
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+0.1-0.0-0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+0.1-0.0-0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+0.1-0.0-0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+0.1-0.0-0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+0.1-0.0-0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+0.1-0.0-0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+0.1-0.0-0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+0.1-0.0-0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+0.1-0.0-0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+0.1-0.0-0.2
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1-0.0-0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1-0.0-0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1-0.0-0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1+0.0-0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1-0.0-0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1-0.0-0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1-0.0-0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1+0.0-0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1-0.0-0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT12345678910
212100-000964
21190-011946
21091-0008317
80-028614
20981-0107525
70-037624
20882-0063370
71-0264360
20772-0151490
61-0352480
20673-0037620
62-0237630
51-0438620
20563-0126731
52-0326731
41-0526731
20453-02168220
64-00168220
42-0416832
20354-0198740
43-0398740
32-059874
20244-0248880
55-0048880
33-0448880
22-0658790
20145-0186140
34-0386140
23-0585150
20035-02732510
46-00732610
24-04732610
19936-01593740
25-03593740
14-05593840
19837-004248100
26-024248100
15-044248100
19727-012752202
16-032752192
05-052752192
19628-001449325
17-021449325
06-041448335
19518-016384412
07-036394312
19419-002255022
08-022265022
19309-011134838
192010-00064053
Total:06652261