How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chicano Blackhawks 0 Homsar 1 +6.5
+0.2
Chicano Blackhawks 0 Homsar 1 +6.5
+0.2
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 -6.5
-0.2
Chicano Blackhawks 0 Homsar 1 +6.4
+0.2
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 -6.4
-0.2
Chicano Blackhawks 0 Homsar 1 +6.4
+0.2
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 -6.3
-0.2
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 -6.3
-0.2
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -2.9
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -2.9
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -2.8
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -2.8
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -2.7
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -2.7
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 0 +2.4
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +2.4
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 0 +2.4
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 0 +2.4
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +2.4
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +2.4
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +2.3
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 -1.5
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 -1.5
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 -1.5
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 -1.4
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 -1.4
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -0.7
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -0.7
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -0.7
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -0.6
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -0.6
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Southside Slaggers 0 -0.6
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Southside Slaggers 1 +0.6
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Southside Slaggers 1 +0.6
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Southside Slaggers 1 +0.5
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Southside Slaggers 1 +0.5
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 1 +0.5
Puck Norris 1 Spanker Empire 1 +0.4
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 1 *-0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 +6.6
+0.2
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 +6.6
+0.2
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 +6.5
+0.2
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -4.3
-0.2
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -4.3
-0.2
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -4.3
-0.2
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -4.3
-0.2
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -4.3
-0.2
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -4.3
-0.2
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 -4.2
-0.2
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -3.1
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -3.1
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -3.1
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -3.1
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -3.1
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 0 -3.1
Spanker Empire 0 Swingline Staplers 1 +2.5
Spanker Empire 0 Swingline Staplers 1 +2.5
Spanker Empire 0 Swingline Staplers 1 +2.5
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +0.7
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +0.7
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +0.7
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +0.7
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +0.7
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +0.7
Iceberg Rockhoppers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 +0.7
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -0.6
Iceberg Rockhoppers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 -0.6
Spanker Empire 1 Swingline Staplers 1 -0.5
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 -0.4
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 -0.3
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 -0.3
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 -0.3
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 +0.2
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 +0.2
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-3.1-0.6+3.7
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-3.1-0.7+3.7
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-3.1-0.7+3.7
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-3.1-0.7+3.6
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-3.1-0.7+3.6
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-3.1-0.7+3.6
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-3.1-0.7+3.6
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-3.1-0.7+3.6
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-3.1-0.7+3.6
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Spanker Empire vs Homsar-3.1-0.7+3.6
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+1.3-0.3-1.7
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+1.3-0.4-1.7
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+1.3-0.4-1.7
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+1.3-0.4-1.7
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+1.3-0.4-1.7
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+1.3-0.4-1.7
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+1.3-0.4-1.7
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+1.3-0.4-1.7
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+1.3-0.4-1.7
Curry Smugglers vs Iceberg Rockhoppers+1.3-0.4-1.7
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks+0.1*-0.0-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks+0.1*-0.0-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks+0.1*-0.0-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks+0.1*+0.0-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks+0.1*+0.0-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks+0.1*-0.0-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Homsar finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs12345678910Count
205100-00100.0%94603,909
20490-0199.9891102,770
20391-0099.3792019,610
80-0299.5792013,966
20281-0197.868302027,842
70-0398.2683023,309
20182-0094.653425048,387
71-0294.653425034,518
60-0494.5544051,820
20072-0137.03751120121,854
61-0337.0375112026,365*
19973-0022.62354231142,119
62-0222.62354231133,602
51-0422.7235423112,145*
19863-0111.91250372312,041
52-0311.9125036284,220
41-0512.813493723,912*
19753-025.1539515294,059
64-005.1539515274,486
42-045.253951534,019*
19654-011.82266111517,276
43-031.72266111154,910
32-051.522661128,173*
19544-020.50156322405,585
55-000.50156322363,181
33-040.4015642148,368
22-060.811662211,305*
19445-010.1075935568,613
34-030.1075835170,581
23-050.10758359,319*
19335-020.0034750358,818
46-000.0034750333,217
24-040.003475040,859*
19236-010.0013564419,401
25-030.0013564111,681
14-05Out136635,171*
19137-00Out02277209,847
26-02Out02278198,158
15-04Out0227717,997*
19027-01Out01387198,241
16-03Out0138742,577*
18928-00Out069487,118
17-02Out069462,457
06-04Out6943,348
18818-01Out39754,745
07-03Out3976,371
18719-00Out19921,141
08-02Out1998,505
18609-01Out01006,632
185010-00Out1005,348
Total:5.7%141743346,013,896

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 +0.2
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 +0.2
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 +0.2
Chicano Blackhawks 1 Homsar 0 +0.2
Chicano Blackhawks 0 Homsar 1 -0.2
Chicano Blackhawks 0 Homsar 1 -0.2
Chicano Blackhawks 0 Homsar 1 -0.2
Chicano Blackhawks 0 Homsar 1 -0.2
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +0.1
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +0.1
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +0.1
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +0.1
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +0.1
Swingline Staplers 0 Mediocre Snipers 1 +0.1
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.0
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.0
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.0
Swingline Staplers 1 Mediocre Snipers 0 -0.0
Puck Norris 0 Spanker Empire 1 +0.0
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 -0.2
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 -0.2
Southside Slaggers 0 Homsar 1 -0.2
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +0.2
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +0.2
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +0.2
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +0.2
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +0.2
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +0.2
Southside Slaggers 1 Homsar 0 +0.2
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 +0.1
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 +0.1
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 +0.1
Curry Smugglers 0 Chicano Blackhawks 1 +0.1
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 -0.0
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 -0.0
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 -0.0
Curry Smugglers 1 Chicano Blackhawks 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+0.2+0.0-0.2
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+0.2+0.0-0.2
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+0.2+0.0-0.2
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+0.2+0.0-0.2
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+0.2+0.0-0.2
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+0.2+0.0-0.2
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+0.2+0.0-0.2
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+0.2+0.0-0.2
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+0.2+0.0-0.2
Spanker Empire vs Homsar+0.2+0.0-0.2
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.1+0.0+0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.1+0.0+0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.1+0.0+0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.1+0.0+0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.1+0.0+0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.1+0.0+0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.1+0.0+0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.1+0.0+0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.1+0.0+0.1
Southside Slaggers vs Chicano Blackhawks-0.1+0.0+0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1+0.0-0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1+0.0-0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1+0.0-0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1+0.0-0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1+0.0-0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1+0.0-0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1+0.0-0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1+0.0-0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1+0.0-0.1
Mediocre Snipers vs Puck Bunnies+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT12345678910
205100-009460
20490-0189110
20391-0079201
80-0279201
20281-01683020
70-0368302
20182-00534250
71-02534250
60-0454405
20072-013751120
61-033751120
19973-002354231
62-022354231
51-042354231
19863-011250372
52-031250362
41-051349372
19753-02539515
64-00539515
42-04539515
19654-012266111
43-032266111
32-052266112
19544-020156322
55-000156322
33-040156421
22-061166221
19445-01075935
34-03075835
23-05075835
19335-02034750
46-00034750
24-04034750
19236-01013564
25-03013564
14-0513663
19137-0002277
26-0202278
15-0402277
19027-0101387
16-0301387
18928-000694
17-020694
06-04694
18818-01397
07-03397
18719-00199
08-02199
18609-010100
185010-00100
Total:14174334