Port Jefferson Royals Playoff Chances 2017 50/50
Beat Southampton 42-13, playoff odds up 27.5 to 99.99%
4-3-0 .571
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Glenn 45 Port Jefferson 8 | -16.2 | -1.4 | ||
| Babylon 46 Center Moriches 14 | +2.8 | +0.2 | ||
| Southampton 8 Wyandanch 42 | +2.0 | +0.1 | ||
| Mercy 14 Hampton Bays 7 | -1.2 | -0.1 | ||
| GSM 12 Amityville 39 | -0.9 | -0.0 | ||
| Miller Place 21 SWR 14 | +0.5 | +0.1 | ||
| Week of 10/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Port Jefferson 42 Southampton 13 | +24.5 | +1.7 | ||
| Center Moriches 48 Hampton Bays 0 | -4.0 | -0.2 | ||
| Glenn 41 Amityville 13 | +2.5 | +0.0 | ||
| Mercy 6 BBP 41 | -0.2 | +0.0 | ||
| Miller Place 28 Mt. Sinai 14 | +0.1 | +0.2 | ||
| SWR 26 Babylon 29 | +0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Center Moriches vs Mercy | In-30.3In | -0.2-0.8+0.2 | ||
| Port Jefferson vs SWR | In*In-0.0 | +1.9-1.1-1.9 | ||
| GSM vs Mt. Sinai | +0.3-0.1-0.3 | |||
| BBP vs Miller Place | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | |||
| Hampton Bays vs Glenn | +0.2+0.3-0.2 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Port Jefferson finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | Count | |||
| 5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 67 | 17 | 17 | 5,137,757 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 12 | 38 | 38 | 13 | 4,141 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 9 | 47 | 44 | 0 | 5,139,230 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 100.0 | % | 33 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 0 | 10,281,128 | ||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 10/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Glenn 45 Port Jefferson 8 | +1.5 | |
| Babylon 46 Center Moriches 14 | -0.2 | |
| Mercy 14 Hampton Bays 7 | +0.1 | |
| Southampton 8 Wyandanch 42 | -0.1 | |
| Miller Place 21 SWR 14 | -0.1 | |
| GSM 12 Amityville 39 | +0.0 | |
| Week of 10/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Port Jefferson 42 Southampton 13 | -1.7 | |
| Center Moriches 48 Hampton Bays 0 | +0.2 | |
| Miller Place 28 Mt. Sinai 14 | -0.2 | |
| SWR 26 Babylon 29 | -0.2 | |
| Mercy 6 BBP 41 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 10/27 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Port Jefferson vs SWR | -1.9+1.1+1.9 | |
| Center Moriches vs Mercy | +0.2+0.8-0.2 | |
| GSM vs Mt. Sinai | -0.3+0.1+0.3 | |
| Hampton Bays vs Glenn | -0.2-0.3+0.2 | |
| BBP vs Miller Place | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
| 5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 67 | 17 | 17 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 12 | 38 | 38 | 13 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 9 | 47 | 44 | 0 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 33 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 0 | |||||||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:26 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
