Port Jefferson Royals Playoff Chances 2017
Beat Southampton 42-13, playoff odds up 20.4 to 99.98%
4-3-0 .571
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Glenn 45 Port Jefferson 8 | -16.4 | -1.9 | ||
| Mercy 14 Hampton Bays 7 | -0.8 | -0.0 | ||
| Babylon 46 Center Moriches 14 | +0.7 | +0.1 | ||
| GSM 12 Amityville 39 | -0.7 | |||
| Mt. Sinai 38 BBP 16 | +0.4 | -0.0 | ||
| Southampton 8 Wyandanch 42 | +0.2 | +0.0 | ||
| Miller Place 21 SWR 14 | +0.1 | +0.0 | ||
| Week of 10/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Port Jefferson 42 Southampton 13 | +15.1 | +0.4 | ||
| Glenn 41 Amityville 13 | +4.5 | +0.0 | ||
| Center Moriches 48 Hampton Bays 0 | -2.2 | -0.1 | ||
| Mercy 6 BBP 41 | +1.2 | +0.0 | ||
| SWR 26 Babylon 29 | +0.1 | |||
| Miller Place 28 Mt. Sinai 14 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Center Moriches vs Mercy | In-54.5In | -0.0-0.9+0.2 | ||
| Port Jefferson vs SWR | In*In-0.0 | +2.5-0.5-0.8 | ||
| BBP vs Miller Place | -0.3-0.2+0.3 | |||
| GSM vs Mt. Sinai | +0.7+0.1-0.0 | |||
| Hampton Bays vs Glenn | +0.2+0.3-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Port Jefferson finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | Count | |||
| 5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 14 | 43 | 44 | 8,548,564 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 8 | 51 | 40 | 13,928 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 2 | 30 | 68 | 0 | 26,140,128 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 100.0 | % | 3 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 23 | 51 | 0 | 34,702,620 | ||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 10/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Glenn 45 Port Jefferson 8 | +1.9 | |
| Babylon 46 Center Moriches 14 | -0.1 | |
| Mercy 14 Hampton Bays 7 | +0.0 | |
| Southampton 8 Wyandanch 42 | -0.0 | |
| Miller Place 21 SWR 14 | -0.0 | |
| Mt. Sinai 38 BBP 16 | +0.0 | |
| Week of 10/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Port Jefferson 42 Southampton 13 | -0.4 | |
| Center Moriches 48 Hampton Bays 0 | +0.1 | |
| SWR 26 Babylon 29 | -0.1 | |
| Miller Place 28 Mt. Sinai 14 | -0.1 | |
| Glenn 41 Amityville 13 | -0.0 | |
| Mercy 6 BBP 41 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 10/27 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Port Jefferson vs SWR | -2.5+0.5+0.8 | |
| Center Moriches vs Mercy | +0.0+0.9-0.2 | |
| GSM vs Mt. Sinai | -0.7-0.1+0.0 | |
| BBP vs Miller Place | +0.3+0.2-0.3 | |
| Hampton Bays vs Glenn | -0.2-0.3+0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
| 5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 14 | 43 | 44 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 8 | 51 | 40 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 30 | 68 | 0 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 3 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 23 | 51 | 0 | |||||||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:26 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
