Bayport-Blue Point Phantoms Playoff Chances 2017 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 4 to 99.98%

4-3-0 .571

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 10/13	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Mt. Sinai 38 BBP 16	-15.9		-1.3
Mercy 14 Hampton Bays 7	+3.1		+0.1
GSM 12 Amityville 39	-2.0		-0.1
Babylon 46 Center Moriches 14	+1.5		+0.1
Miller Place 21 SWR 14	-1.3		-0.1
Glenn 45 Port Jefferson 8	-1.2		+0.0
Southampton 8 Wyandanch 42	-0.3

Week of 10/20	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Mercy 6 BBP 41	+32.9		+1.6
Glenn 41 Amityville 13	+4.0		-0.1
Center Moriches 48 Hampton Bays 0	+2.5
Port Jefferson 42 Southampton 13	-0.9		-0.3
Miller Place 28 Mt. Sinai 14	-0.3		-0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/27	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Center Moriches vs Mercy	In-39.0In		-0.1-0.4+0.1
BBP vs Miller Place	In*In-0.0		+1.1+0.3-1.1
Port Jefferson vs SWR			-0.3+0.3+0.3
Hampton Bays vs Glenn			+0.3+0.2-0.3
GSM vs Mt. Sinai			+0.2+0.3-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the BBP finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Count

5		1	-	0	-	0	In					16	25	37	19	3							5,138,352
4	.5	0	-	0	-	1	In						12	37	38	12							4,039
4		0	-	1	-	0	100.0	%							19	81	0						5,138,737

Total:							100.0	%				8	13	19	19	42	0						10,281,128

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 10/13	100.0*	Lottery seed
Mt. Sinai 38 BBP 16	+1.3
Miller Place 21 SWR 14	+0.1
Babylon 46 Center Moriches 14	-0.1
Mercy 14 Hampton Bays 7	-0.1
GSM 12 Amityville 39	+0.1
Glenn 45 Port Jefferson 8	-0.0

Week of 10/20	100.0*	Lottery seed
Mercy 6 BBP 41	-1.5
Port Jefferson 42 Southampton 13	+0.3
Miller Place 28 Mt. Sinai 14	+0.1
Glenn 41 Amityville 13	+0.1
Center Moriches 48 Hampton Bays 0	+0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/27	100.0*	Lottery seed
BBP vs Miller Place	-1.1-0.3+1.1
Port Jefferson vs SWR	+0.3-0.3-0.3
Hampton Bays vs Glenn	-0.3-0.2+0.3
GSM vs Mt. Sinai	-0.2-0.3+0.2
Center Moriches vs Mercy	+0.1+0.4-0.1

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14

5		1	-	0	-	0				16	25	37	19	3
4	.5	0	-	0	-	1					12	37	38	12
4		0	-	1	-	0							19	81	0

Total:										8	13	19	19	42	0