Shoreham-Wading River Wildcats Playoff Chances 2017
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.8 to 91.5%
1-0-0 1.000
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Southampton 0 SWR 35 | +14.2 | +1.3 | ||
| Hampton Bays 2 East Hampton 0 | +0.1 | |||
| Center Moriches 7 Glenn 34 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/14 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| SWR vs Mt. Sinai | +4.5*+0.9-6.4 | +0.8-0.2-1.2 | ||
| Hampton Bays vs Southampton | +0.2-1.9-0.5 | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | ||
| BBP vs East Hampton | +0.2+1.1-0.3 | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Port Jefferson vs Wyandanch | -0.3*-0.1+0.2 | +0.1*+0.0-0.0 | ||
| GSM vs Center Moriches | -0.2*+0.4+0.2 | |||
| Glenn vs Babylon | -0.0*+0.3+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the SWR finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | Count | |||
| 8 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 299,400 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 97 | 3 | 1,485 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1,518,486 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 60 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 6,308 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 28 | 44 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3,281,702 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 30 | 40 | 30 | 10 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 5 | 30 | 43 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 11,335 | |||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 1 | 9 | 27 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3,884,570 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 16 | 26 | 37 | 16 | 5 | 19 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 3 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 10,568 | ||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 96.2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2,721,479 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 7 | 14 | 14 | 50 | 14 | 14 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 78.3 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 41 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 5,407 | ||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 34.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 1,128,862 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 25.0 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 4 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 2.9 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 45 | 27 | 6 | 1,470 | |||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 43 | 23 | 256,901 | ||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 6 | 39 | 56 | 179 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 24 | 74 | 27,215 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 91.5 | % | 19 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13,155,416 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/7 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Southampton 0 SWR 35 | -1.3 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 9/14 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| SWR vs Mt. Sinai | -0.8+0.2+1.2 | |
| Hampton Bays vs Southampton | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | |
| Port Jefferson vs Wyandanch | -0.1*-0.0+0.0 | |
| BBP vs East Hampton | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
| 8 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99 | 1 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 97 | 3 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 60 | 36 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 28 | 44 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 30 | 40 | 30 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 5 | 30 | 43 | 18 | 3 | 0 | |||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 16 | 26 | 37 | 16 | 5 | ||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 6 | 0 | ||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 50 | 14 | ||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 41 | 19 | 3 | 0 | ||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 24 | 8 | 1 | |||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | |||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 44 | 28 | 5 | |||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 43 | 23 | ||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 7 | 39 | 55 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 77 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 19 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:29 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
