Bayport-Blue Point Phantoms Playoff Chances 2017

Lost to Mt. Sinai 14-31, playoff odds down 26.3 to 41.7%

0-1-0 .000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the BBP finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Count

7		7	-	0	-	0	In		86	13	0											23,086
6	.5	6	-	0	-	1	In		61	34	4											179
6		6	-	1	-	0	In		30	45	21	4	0	0								233,705
5	.5	5	-	1	-	1	In		6	34	40	17	2									1,472
5		5	-	2	-	0	In		1	9	26	35	22	6	1	0						1,094,538
		4	-	1	-	2	In				100											1
4	.5	4	-	2	-	1	In			0	3	21	42	28	6	0						5,497
4		4	-	3	-	0	96.4	%		0	0	4	17	31	29	14	3	0	0			2,747,373
		3	-	2	-	2	In						29	57	14							7
3	.5	3	-	3	-	1	75.7					0	0	5	27	43	21	3	0			10,558
3		3	-	4	-	0	36.6					0	0	1	9	27	34	22	7	1		3,978,780
		2	-	3	-	2	46.2								15	31	31	23				13
2	.5	2	-	4	-	1	2.2								0	2	19	44	29	5		11,357
2		2	-	5	-	0	0.5								0	1	8	29	42	21		3,313,192
		1	-	4	-	2	Out										10	20	40	30		10
1	.5	1	-	5	-	1	Out										0	6	39	55		6,213
1		1	-	6	-	0	Out										0	2	26	72		1,461,148
		0	-	5	-	2	Out												40	60		5
0	.5	0	-	6	-	1	Out												6	94		1,293
0		0	-	7	-	0	Out												2	49	49	266,989

Total:							41.7	%	1	2	3	4	5	7	9	11	13	14	16	14	1	13,155,416

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13

7		7	-	0	-	0	86	13	0
6	.5	6	-	0	-	1	61	34	4
6		6	-	1	-	0	30	45	21	4	0	0
5	.5	5	-	1	-	1	6	34	40	17	2
5		5	-	2	-	0	1	9	26	35	22	6	1	0
		4	-	1	-	2			100
4	.5	4	-	2	-	1		0	3	21	42	28	6	0
4		4	-	3	-	0		0	0	4	17	31	29	14	3	0	0
		3	-	2	-	2					29	57	14
3	.5	3	-	3	-	1				0	0	5	27	43	21	3	0
3		3	-	4	-	0				0	0	1	9	27	33	22	7	1
		2	-	3	-	2							15	31	31	23
2	.5	2	-	4	-	1							0	2	19	44	30	5
2		2	-	5	-	0							0	1	7	28	42	21
		1	-	4	-	2									10	30	30	30
1	.5	1	-	5	-	1									0	6	39	55
1		1	-	6	-	0									0	2	26	72
		0	-	5	-	2										20	20	60
0	.5	0	-	6	-	1											6	94
0		0	-	7	-	0												3	97

Total:							1	2	3	4	5	7	9	11	13	14	16	14	2