100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will finish season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132Avg.Change
New Orleans10-2-0.83350241820141953.0-0.01New Orleans Saints
Baltimore10-2-0.8331872525161854401121003.2-0.81Baltimore Ravens
New England10-2-0.8331771715221363301010100004.4+0.95New England Patriots
San Francisco10-2-0.833166191410541308802005.8+0.99San Francisco 49ers
Kansas City8-4-0.66783042861360300011110006.6-2.09Kansas City Chiefs
Green Bay9-3-0.75034221110321300221526310006.8-1.13Green Bay Packers
Seattle19-2-0.818299912872002211141500006.8-0.44Seattle Seahawks
Houston8-4-0.6672202299331510239563210007.9-1.28Houston Texans
Buffalo9-3-0.75069392411024376711100008.6-0.24Buffalo Bills
Minnesota18-3-0.727841346105089246106421100009.6+0.61Minnesota Vikings
Dallas6-6-0.500740006730000001122332221100010.6-1.04Dallas Cowboys
Tennessee7-5-0.583420002113710131210151296321100012.4-1.60Tennessee Titans
Pittsburgh7-5-0.58311000202101136306111084221000012.8-1.50Pittsburgh Steelers
LA Rams7-5-0.58333000000261410351384221000013.0-1.26Los Angeles Rams
Chicago6-6-0.500400200012371414141198632211000016.2-0.28Chicago Bears
Indianapolis6-6-0.5004003200015381113131088632210000016.7+2.22Indianapolis Colts
Oakland6-6-0.500-8700120011826810141287753221100017.3+2.90Oakland Raiders
Cleveland5-7-0.417-260031581010131276764222100018.9+1.19Cleveland Browns
Carolina5-7-0.417-4000379910121176774222100019.0+1.10Carolina Panthers
Philadelphia5-7-0.417-100002100000135581110778632210019.4+1.96Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay5-7-0.417-60014589911118677532210020.0-2.07Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Denver4-8-0.333-39000001123687691196786431022.8-2.09Denver Broncos
LA Chargers4-8-0.33330001234787710118787531023.5+1.10Los Angeles Chargers
NY Jets4-8-0.333-760000122468781111989752024.4+1.56New York Jets
Jacksonville4-8-0.333-720000122468771011989862024.5+1.33Jacksonville Jaguars
Arizona3-8-1.292-9600012223676610121091084125.4+1.57Arizona Cardinals
Detroit3-8-1.292-3500001223676581211911105125.7-0.24Detroit Lions
Atlanta3-9-0.250-6300012225775610121011126226.0-0.18Atlanta Falcons
Miami3-9-0.250-177000122247881013131311727.5-1.10Miami Dolphins
Washington3-9-0.250-1170000112236781013141611527.6-1.01Washington Redskins
NY Giants2-10-0.167-109000012236913323130.4+1.18New York Giants
Cincinnati1-11-0.083-11900001123611245231.0-0.27Cincinnati Bengals

Lottery Big Games

Week of 11/28
Kansas City 40 Oakland 9
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City-2.3
Oakland+3.1
Cleveland-0.1
Miami 37 Philadelphia 31
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas-1.0
Oakland-0.0
Philadelphia+2.2
Miami-1.1
Washington+0.2
Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Houston-0.3
Tennessee-2.0
Indianapolis+2.6
Miami+0.0
Detroit 20 Chicago 24
12:30 PM Thu100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago-1.8
Indianapolis+0.0
Oakland+0.1
Detroit+1.7
Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore+0.2
Tennessee+0.1
Pittsburgh-1.7
Indianapolis-0.0
Cleveland+1.9
Tampa Bay-0.0
LA Chargers-0.1
Arizona 7 LA Rams 34
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee+0.0
LA Rams-1.2
Arizona+1.7
Atlanta 18 New Orleans 26
8:20 PM Thu100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans-0.6
Atlanta+1.6
Carolina 21 Washington 29
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago-0.2
Indianapolis-0.0
Carolina+1.5
Washington-1.0
NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay-1.2
Minnesota+0.5
Indianapolis+0.0
Tampa Bay+0.0
NY Giants+0.9
Jacksonville 11 Tampa Bay 28
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay-1.8
Jacksonville+1.7
Houston 28 New England 22
8:20 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
New England+0.7
Houston-1.2
Buffalo-0.3
Indianapolis+0.2
NY Jets+0.2
Denver 23 LA Chargers 20
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Denver-1.7
LA Chargers+1.8
Dallas 15 Buffalo 26
4:30 PM Thu100.0*Lottery seed
New England+0.3
Buffalo-0.8
Dallas+1.2
Tennessee-0.1
Philadelphia-0.6
Cincinnati 22 NY Jets 6
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets+1.7
Jacksonville-0.2
Cincinnati-0.4
Baltimore 20 San Francisco 17
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore-0.8
San Francisco+0.9
Seattle-0.5
Seattle vs MinnesotaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco6.25.05.4
Green Bay6.57.57.2
Seattle5.67.48.1
Minnesota11.18.88.1
Week of 12/5
Minnesota vs DetroitIf winner is:HomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay7.47.46.2
Minnesota8.38.810.9
Detroit27.326.324.0
Arizona vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh13.9*12.911.7
Philadelphia19.520.019.3
Arizona23.8*24.827.1
Philadelphia vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas11.811.99.5
Philadelphia16.917.221.9
NY Giants31.130.129.7
Houston vs DenverHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Houston6.98.18.9
Denver24.723.821.0
Jacksonville vs LA ChargersHomeTieAway
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
LA Chargers25.423.821.6
Jacksonville22.724.226.3
Tampa Bay vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis18.516.215.0
Tampa Bay18.219.821.8
Atlanta vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina20.619.817.3
Atlanta24.426.827.7
Green Bay vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay5.77.17.9
Minnesota10.09.19.1
Washington29.027.726.3
Oakland vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee13.811.911.0
Oakland15.416.519.1
NY Jets vs MiamiHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets22.7*24.126.1
Miami29.0*27.626.1
Chicago vs DallasHomeTieAway
8:20 PM Thu100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas11.810.79.5
Chicago14.816.617.7
Philadelphia18.919.020.0
Cleveland vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland17.219.720.6
Cincinnati31.531.430.5
New Orleans vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans2.13.34.0
San Francisco7.25.24.4
Seattle6.47.17.3
New England vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
New England3.34.45.4
Kansas City7.46.85.8
Buffalo9.0*8.38.2
LA Rams vs SeattleHomeTieAway
8:20 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco5.25.26.4
Seattle8.07.15.6
LA Rams12.113.613.9
Buffalo vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore4.13.42.2
Buffalo7.68.19.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.