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San Francisco 49ers Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Lost to Baltimore 17-20, playoff odds down 1.5 to 98%
10-2-0 .833
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Baltimore 20 San Francisco 17 | -0.4 | -0.4 | ||
| Arizona 7 LA Rams 34 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31 | -0.2 | |||
| Atlanta 18 New Orleans 26 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Seattle vs Minnesota | +0.6*+0.9-0.6 | -0.2+0.4+0.2 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New Orleans vs San Francisco | -1.8*In+1.8 | -0.7+0.3+0.7 | ||
| LA Rams vs Seattle | -1.1*+0.3+1.1 | +0.3*+0.3-0.3 | ||
| Green Bay vs Washington | -0.5*-0.5+0.5 | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | ||
| Minnesota vs Detroit | -0.3*+0.6+0.3 | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | ||
| Chicago vs Dallas | -0.1*-1.1+0.1 | |||
| Atlanta vs Carolina | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |||
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the San Francisco finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 14 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 54,606 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 98 | 2 | 195 | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 76 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 218,170 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 54 | 21 | 2 | 23 | 478 | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 20 | 29 | 6 | 44 | 1 | 327,374 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 3 | 21 | 15 | 58 | 3 | 505 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.0 | % | 0 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 19 | 1 | 218,396 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 98.1 | 1 | 5 | 57 | 35 | 2 | 155 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 71.3 | 22 | 49 | 28 | 1 | 54,409 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 98.0 | % | 33 | 16 | 4 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 874,288 | ||||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Baltimore 20 San Francisco 17 | +0.9 | |
| Atlanta 18 New Orleans 26 | +0.1 | |
| Houston 28 New England 22 | -0.1 | |
| NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31 | +0.0 | |
| Arizona 7 LA Rams 34 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Seattle vs Minnesota | +0.4-0.8-0.4 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| New Orleans vs San Francisco | +1.4-0.7-1.4 | |
| LA Rams vs Seattle | -0.6-0.6+0.6 | |
| New England vs Kansas City | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | |
| Minnesota vs Detroit | +0.1*-0.4-0.1 | |
| Green Bay vs Washington | +0.1*-0.4-0.1 | |
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 14 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 92 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 88 | 10 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 47 | 30 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 23 | 31 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 23 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 4 | 15 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 41 | 3 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 47 | 11 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 23 | 18 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 28 | 35 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 6 | 16 | 44 | 5 | 28 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 19 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:25 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
