New York Jets Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Lost to Cincinnati 6-22, playoff odds down 0.7 to 0.02%
4-8-0 .333
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati 22 NY Jets 6 | -0.7 | -0.7 | ||
| Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 | +0.1 | +0.0 | ||
| Houston 28 New England 22 | -0.1 | -0.0 | ||
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | -0.1 | +0.0 | ||
| Jacksonville 11 Tampa Bay 28 | +0.1 | |||
| Miami 37 Philadelphia 31 | -0.1 | |||
| Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 | +0.0 | |||
| Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| NY Jets vs Miami | +0.0*OutOut | +0.9+0.4-0.9 | ||
| Oakland vs Tennessee | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |||
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |||
| Tampa Bay vs Indianapolis | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |||
| Cleveland vs Cincinnati | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||
| Jacksonville vs LA Chargers | +0.0+0.3-0.0 | |||
| Houston vs Denver | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the NY Jets finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 8 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0.3 | % | 0 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 54,602 | ||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | Out | 10 | 26 | 44 | 19 | 1 | 174 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 217,843 | ||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 12 | 2 | 510 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 3 | 18 | 40 | 31 | 8 | 328,013 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 17 | 36 | 36 | 9 | 528 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 5 | 30 | 62 | 3 | 217,628 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 29 | 65 | 4 | 178 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 69 | 31 | 54,811 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 23 | 3 | 874,288 | ||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Cincinnati 22 NY Jets 6 | +1.7 | |
| Houston 28 New England 22 | +0.2 | |
| Atlanta 18 New Orleans 26 | -0.1 | |
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | -0.1 | |
| Miami 37 Philadelphia 31 | -0.1 | |
| Carolina 21 Washington 29 | -0.1 | |
| Arizona 7 LA Rams 34 | -0.1 | |
| Baltimore 20 San Francisco 17 | -0.1 | |
| NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31 | +0.0 | |
| Jacksonville 11 Tampa Bay 28 | +0.0 | |
| Detroit 20 Chicago 24 | -0.0 | |
| Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Seattle vs Minnesota | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| NY Jets vs Miami | -1.7*-0.3+1.7 | |
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | +0.2*+0.4-0.2 | |
| Jacksonville vs LA Chargers | -0.1-0.3+0.1 | |
| New England vs Kansas City | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | |
| Minnesota vs Detroit | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | |
| Houston vs Denver | -0.1*-0.3+0.1 | |
| Atlanta vs Carolina | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | |
| New Orleans vs San Francisco | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | |
| Oakland vs Tennessee | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Chicago vs Dallas | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |
| Green Bay vs Washington | -0.1*-0.2+0.1 | |
| Cleveland vs Cincinnati | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Buffalo vs Baltimore | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 8 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 26 | 11 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 32 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 29 | 21 | 12 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 31 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 45 | 27 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:25 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
