How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Denver 23 LA Chargers 20 -1.4
-0.9
Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 -0.6
+0.0
Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 -0.1
+0.0
Jacksonville 11 Tampa Bay 28 +0.1
Cincinnati 22 NY Jets 6 +0.1
Miami 37 Philadelphia 31 -0.0
Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Arizona vs Pittsburgh+0.0*OutOut
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Jacksonville vs LA ChargersOut*Out+0.0
-1.0*-0.0+1.0
Houston vs Denver+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Oakland vs Tennessee-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Cleveland vs Cincinnati-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Indianapolis+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the LA Chargers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
84-0-00.2%022339287054,630
7.53-0-1Out173342162166
73-1-0Out01623402461217,948
6.52-1-1Out1123337153476
62-2-0Out0192938212327,483
5.51-2-1Out214363810546
51-3-0Out011656261218,055
4.50-3-1Out237601163
40-4-0Out21611754,821
Total:0.0%0024814172023111874,288
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/28100.0*Lottery seed
Denver 23 LA Chargers 20 +1.8
NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31 -0.1
Cincinnati 22 NY Jets 6 -0.1
Atlanta 18 New Orleans 26 -0.1
Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 -0.1
Miami 37 Philadelphia 31 -0.1
Arizona 7 LA Rams 34 -0.1
Houston 28 New England 22 -0.1
Detroit 20 Chicago 24 -0.1
Jacksonville 11 Tampa Bay 28 +0.0
Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 -0.0
Carolina 21 Washington 29 -0.0
Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Seattle vs Minnesota+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/5100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville vs LA Chargers+1.9+0.3-1.9
Arizona vs Pittsburgh+0.2*+0.1-0.2
Minnesota vs Detroit-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Green Bay vs Washington-0.1*-0.1+0.1
New England vs Kansas City+0.1*+0.1-0.1
NY Jets vs Miami+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Indianapolis+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs NY Giants+0.1*+0.3-0.1
Houston vs Denver-0.1*-0.4+0.1
Cleveland vs Cincinnati+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Chicago vs Dallas-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Carolina+0.0*-0.1-0.0
New Orleans vs San Francisco+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Oakland vs Tennessee+0.0*+0.1-0.0
LA Rams vs Seattle+0.0*+0.3-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
84-0-000212303318510
7.53-0-116203724101
73-1-00021125322171000
6.52-1-104102329201211
62-2-00014152728176100
5.51-2-11113253220710
51-3-0001720312712200
4.50-3-11122440222
40-4-00172744192
Total:00012347877101187875310