Holy capitalism Batman, we’re in the Wall Street Journal |
Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Beat Oakland 40-9, playoff odds up 20.8 to 96.5%
8-4-0 .667
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 | +20.7 | +1.3 | ||
| Houston 28 New England 22 | -0.6 | -0.1 | ||
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | -0.4 | -0.0 | ||
| Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 | -0.4 | -0.0 | ||
| Baltimore 20 San Francisco 17 | -0.1 | |||
| Denver 23 LA Chargers 20 | +0.0 | |||
| Cincinnati 22 NY Jets 6 | +0.0 | |||
| Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New England vs Kansas City | -3.0*+0.2+2.9 | -0.5-0.0+0.5 | ||
| Oakland vs Tennessee | -2.1*-2.2+2.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Houston vs Denver | +0.4*+0.9-0.4 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
| Buffalo vs Baltimore | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Kansas City finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 12 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 51 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 54,668 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 6 | 43 | 48 | 3 | 155 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 3 | 29 | 48 | 20 | 218,893 | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 5 | 65 | 31 | 514 | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 1 | 16 | 83 | 327,283 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 98.0 | % | 12 | 81 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 544 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 95.4 | 0 | 94 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 217,556 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 75.1 | 72 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 185 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 62.4 | 62 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 54,489 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 96.5 | % | 4 | 10 | 19 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 874,288 | ||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 | -2.3 | |
| Baltimore 20 San Francisco 17 | +0.1 | |
| Houston 28 New England 22 | +0.1 | |
| Carolina 21 Washington 29 | -0.0 | |
| Arizona 7 LA Rams 34 | +0.0 | |
| Jacksonville 11 Tampa Bay 28 | +0.0 | |
| Denver 23 LA Chargers 20 | -0.0 | |
| Miami 37 Philadelphia 31 | -0.0 | |
| Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| New England vs Kansas City | +0.8+0.2-0.8 | |
| Houston vs Denver | +0.1-0.2-0.1 | |
| Oakland vs Tennessee | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | -0.0-0.2+0.0 | |
| Chicago vs Dallas | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Buffalo vs Baltimore | -0.1*+0.2+0.1 | |
| Minnesota vs Detroit | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 12 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 5 | 46 | 19 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 38 | 10 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 19 | 29 | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 51 | 31 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 82 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 12 | 74 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 86 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 47 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 38 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 60 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:25 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
