Jacksonville Jaguars Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Lost to Tampa Bay 11-28, playoff odds down 0.7 to 0.02%
4-8-0 .333
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jacksonville 11 Tampa Bay 28 | -0.7 | -0.6 | ||
| Houston 28 New England 22 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | -0.1 | |||
| Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||
| Cincinnati 22 NY Jets 6 | +0.1 | |||
| Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 | +0.1 | |||
| Miami 37 Philadelphia 31 | -0.0 | |||
| Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jacksonville vs LA Chargers | +0.0*OutOut | +1.0-0.3-1.0 | ||
| Oakland vs Tennessee | +0.0*OutOut | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | ||
| Tampa Bay vs Indianapolis | +0.1*-0.3-0.1 | |||
| Houston vs Denver | +0.2*-0.1-0.2 | |||
| Cleveland vs Cincinnati | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||
| NY Jets vs Miami | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Jacksonville finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 8 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0.4 | % | 0 | 27 | 50 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 54,523 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0.6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 39 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 162 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 7 | 27 | 39 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 217,752 | |||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 15 | 37 | 35 | 10 | 2 | 523 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 328,081 | |||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | 3 | 16 | 37 | 38 | 6 | 524 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 44 | 14 | 0 | 218,242 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 3 | 38 | 56 | 3 | 162 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 35 | 61 | 3 | 54,319 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 874,288 | ||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Jacksonville 11 Tampa Bay 28 | +1.7 | |
| Cincinnati 22 NY Jets 6 | -0.2 | |
| Atlanta 18 New Orleans 26 | -0.1 | |
| Houston 28 New England 22 | -0.1 | |
| Arizona 7 LA Rams 34 | -0.1 | |
| Carolina 21 Washington 29 | +0.1 | |
| Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 | -0.1 | |
| NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31 | -0.1 | |
| Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 | -0.1 | |
| Detroit 20 Chicago 24 | -0.0 | |
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Seattle vs Minnesota | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Jacksonville vs LA Chargers | -1.8-0.3+1.8 | |
| Houston vs Denver | -0.2*-0.2+0.2 | |
| Oakland vs Tennessee | +0.2*+0.1-0.2 | |
| Green Bay vs Washington | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | |
| Minnesota vs Detroit | -0.1*+0.2+0.1 | |
| New England vs Kansas City | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |
| Cleveland vs Cincinnati | +0.1*-0.2-0.1 | |
| Tampa Bay vs Indianapolis | +0.1*+0.3-0.1 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |
| New Orleans vs San Francisco | -0.1*+0.3+0.1 | |
| Buffalo vs Baltimore | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| NY Jets vs Miami | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
| Atlanta vs Carolina | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Chicago vs Dallas | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 8 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 30 | 24 | 7 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 11 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 43 | 9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 47 | 33 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:25 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
