Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Lost to Tennessee 17-31, playoff odds down 21.4 to 11.5%
6-6-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 | -19.6 | -1.4 | ||
| Houston 28 New England 22 | -2.5 | -0.2 | ||
| Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 | -1.7 | |||
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | -0.7 | -0.0 | ||
| Jacksonville 11 Tampa Bay 28 | +0.0 | |||
| Cincinnati 22 NY Jets 6 | +0.0 | |||
| Denver 23 LA Chargers 20 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tampa Bay vs Indianapolis | -8.0*-0.8+8.1 | -0.8+0.3+0.8 | ||
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | +3.0*+4.3-3.0 | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | ||
| Houston vs Denver | -2.4*-2.3+2.4 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | ||
| Oakland vs Tennessee | +0.4*+0.5-0.4 | |||
| Cleveland vs Cincinnati | -0.3*-4.3+0.3 | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | ||
| New England vs Kansas City | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |||
| NY Jets vs Miami | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |||
| Jacksonville vs LA Chargers | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Indianapolis finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 10 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 86.2 | % | 0 | 34 | 19 | 3 | 30 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 54,180 | ||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 63.9 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 52 | 33 | 3 | 180 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 24.1 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 218,168 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 7.6 | 8 | 35 | 44 | 12 | 1 | 513 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0.4 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 44 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 327,215 | |||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 20 | 47 | 28 | 4 | 510 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 218,362 | ||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 8 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 4 | 171 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 5 | 27 | 40 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 54,989 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 11.5 | % | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 874,288 | |||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 | +2.6 | |
| Houston 28 New England 22 | +0.2 | |
| Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 | -0.1 | |
| Miami 37 Philadelphia 31 | -0.1 | |
| Cincinnati 22 NY Jets 6 | -0.1 | |
| Arizona 7 LA Rams 34 | +0.0 | |
| Jacksonville 11 Tampa Bay 28 | +0.0 | |
| Detroit 20 Chicago 24 | +0.0 | |
| NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31 | +0.0 | |
| Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 | -0.0 | |
| Carolina 21 Washington 29 | -0.0 | |
| Denver 23 LA Chargers 20 | -0.0 | |
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Seattle vs Minnesota | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Tampa Bay vs Indianapolis | +1.8-0.5-1.8 | |
| Cleveland vs Cincinnati | +0.1*+0.3-0.1 | |
| Buffalo vs Baltimore | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | |
| Chicago vs Dallas | +0.1*-0.5-0.1 | |
| NY Jets vs Miami | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |
| Atlanta vs Carolina | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | |
| Jacksonville vs LA Chargers | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |
| Houston vs Denver | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |
| LA Rams vs Seattle | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Oakland vs Tennessee | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | -0.0*-0.3+0.0 | |
| New Orleans vs San Francisco | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
| Green Bay vs Washington | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 10 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 28 | 7 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 37 | 16 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 33 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 32 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 19 | 8 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:25 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
