Houston Texans Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Beat New England 28-22, playoff odds up 11.2 to 83.8%
8-4-0 .667
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Houston 28 New England 22 | +10.7 | +0.7 | ||
| Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 | +1.9 | +0.2 | ||
| Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 | -0.9 | -0.0 | ||
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | -0.7 | -0.0 | ||
| Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Houston vs Denver | +8.3*-0.4-8.3 | +0.5-0.1-0.5 | ||
| Tampa Bay vs Indianapolis | +2.4*+4.2-2.5 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | +1.7*-3.3-1.7 | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | ||
| Oakland vs Tennessee | +1.1*-2.0-1.1 | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Buffalo vs Baltimore | -0.7*-2.2+0.7 | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | ||
| Cleveland vs Cincinnati | -0.2*+0.5+0.2 | |||
| New England vs Kansas City | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Houston finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 12 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 24 | 53 | 24 | 54,734 | ||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 6 | 36 | 55 | 3 | 176 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 2 | 25 | 69 | 4 | 218,165 | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.8 | % | 4 | 63 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 513 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 98.2 | 2 | 55 | 25 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 327,938 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 84.3 | 15 | 34 | 1 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 504 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 61.2 | 8 | 20 | 1 | 32 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 217,986 | |||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 10.9 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 183 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 5.3 | 5 | 41 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 54,088 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 83.8 | % | 2 | 11 | 42 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 874,288 | ||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Houston 28 New England 22 | -1.2 | |
| Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 | -0.3 | |
| Baltimore 20 San Francisco 17 | +0.1 | |
| NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31 | +0.0 | |
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | +0.0 | |
| Carolina 21 Washington 29 | -0.0 | |
| Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 | +0.0 | |
| Arizona 7 LA Rams 34 | +0.0 | |
| Jacksonville 11 Tampa Bay 28 | +0.0 | |
| Cincinnati 22 NY Jets 6 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Houston vs Denver | -1.0+0.2+1.0 | |
| Jacksonville vs LA Chargers | -0.0+0.4+0.0 | |
| Oakland vs Tennessee | -0.2*+0.3+0.2 | |
| Tampa Bay vs Indianapolis | -0.2*-0.1+0.2 | |
| Buffalo vs Baltimore | -0.0+0.3+0.0 | |
| New England vs Kansas City | -0.0+0.3+0.0 | |
| Minnesota vs Detroit | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Green Bay vs Washington | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
| LA Rams vs Seattle | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Atlanta vs Carolina | -0.0*-0.7+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 12 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 22 | 21 | 31 | 20 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 39 | 16 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 25 | 44 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 4 | 12 | 51 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 52 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 15 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 11 | 7 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 34 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:25 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
