Carolina Panthers Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Lost to Washington 21-29, playoff odds down 1.8 to 0.09%
5-7-0 .417
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Carolina 21 Washington 29 | -1.7 | -0.8 | ||
| Atlanta 18 New Orleans 26 | -1.0 | +0.0 | ||
| Arizona 7 LA Rams 34 | -0.4 | -0.0 | ||
| NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31 | -0.3 | +0.0 | ||
| Jacksonville 11 Tampa Bay 28 | -0.1 | |||
| Miami 37 Philadelphia 31 | +0.1 | |||
| Detroit 20 Chicago 24 | -0.0 | |||
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Seattle vs Minnesota | -0.0*Out+0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Minnesota vs Detroit | -0.0+0.5+0.0 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||
| Atlanta vs Carolina | Out*Out+0.1 | -0.9+0.4+0.9 | ||
| LA Rams vs Seattle | +0.0*Out-0.0 | |||
| Chicago vs Dallas | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | -0.0+0.2+0.0 | ||
| Tampa Bay vs Indianapolis | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | |||
| Green Bay vs Washington | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | |||
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 9 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1.5 | % | 2 | 24 | 51 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 54,685 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 1.2 | 1 | 22 | 52 | 24 | 1 | 172 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 20 | 52 | 25 | 3 | 218,459 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 17 | 49 | 28 | 5 | 523 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 10 | 39 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 327,314 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | 5 | 27 | 43 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 521 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 21 | 39 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 217,769 | |||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 10 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 6 | 172 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 34 | 7 | 54,673 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.1 | % | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 21 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 874,288 | ||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Carolina 21 Washington 29 | +1.5 | |
| Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 | -0.1 | |
| Jacksonville 11 Tampa Bay 28 | -0.1 | |
| Baltimore 20 San Francisco 17 | +0.1 | |
| Cincinnati 22 NY Jets 6 | -0.1 | |
| Miami 37 Philadelphia 31 | -0.0 | |
| NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31 | -0.0 | |
| Detroit 20 Chicago 24 | +0.0 | |
| Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 | -0.0 | |
| Houston 28 New England 22 | -0.0 | |
| Arizona 7 LA Rams 34 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Seattle vs Minnesota | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Atlanta vs Carolina | +1.7+0.9-1.7 | |
| Minnesota vs Detroit | -0.1-0.3+0.1 | |
| Houston vs Denver | -0.2-0.0+0.2 | |
| Cleveland vs Cincinnati | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |
| Oakland vs Tennessee | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | |
| Chicago vs Dallas | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |
| Jacksonville vs LA Chargers | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| NY Jets vs Miami | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
| New Orleans vs San Francisco | -0.1*-0.3+0.1 | |
| Tampa Bay vs Indianapolis | -0.0*+0.7+0.0 | |
| LA Rams vs Seattle | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| New England vs Kansas City | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 9 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 48 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 31 | 24 | 3 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 17 | 33 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 31 | 23 | 7 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 30 | 28 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 2 | 18 | 33 | 29 | 14 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:25 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
