Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 95.9%
9-3-0 .750
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | +5.2 | +0.4 | ||
| Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 | +0.5 | +0.0 | ||
| Houston 28 New England 22 | -0.5 | +0.1 | ||
| Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 | +0.4 | +0.0 | ||
| Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 | -0.4 | |||
| Baltimore 20 San Francisco 17 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Buffalo vs Baltimore | +3.6*+2.5-3.6 | +0.5+0.3-0.5 | ||
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | +0.8*-0.5-0.8 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Houston vs Denver | -0.6*+0.1+0.6 | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Oakland vs Tennessee | -0.5*+0.2+0.5 | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | ||
| Tampa Bay vs Indianapolis | +0.2*-1.9-0.2 | |||
| New England vs Kansas City | +0.2*+0.6-0.2 | -0.2*+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Cleveland vs Cincinnati | -0.2*+1.2+0.2 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 13 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 88 | 12 | 54,729 | |||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 73 | 8 | 19 | 193 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 25 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 53 | 218,481 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 11 | 19 | 3 | 67 | 496 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 86 | 3 | 326,761 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 1 | 1 | 0 | 89 | 8 | 555 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 96.2 | % | 58 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 217,980 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 89.0 | 37 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 164 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 49.0 | 5 | 44 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 54,929 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 95.9 | % | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 61 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 874,288 | |||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | -0.8 | |
| Houston 28 New England 22 | -0.3 | |
| Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 | +0.1 | |
| Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 | -0.0 | |
| Detroit 20 Chicago 24 | +0.0 | |
| Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 | -0.0 | |
| Baltimore 20 San Francisco 17 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Seattle vs Minnesota | +0.0*+0.3-0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Buffalo vs Baltimore | -1.0-0.6+1.0 | |
| New England vs Kansas City | +0.4*-0.4-0.4 | |
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |
| LA Rams vs Seattle | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | |
| Houston vs Denver | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | |
| New Orleans vs San Francisco | -0.0*+0.3+0.0 | |
| Green Bay vs Washington | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Minnesota vs Detroit | +0.0*-0.3-0.0 | |
| Oakland vs Tennessee | +0.0*-0.3-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 13 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 38 | 50 | 12 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 19 | 54 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 23 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 12 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 24 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 55 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 75 | 6 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 5 | 53 | 20 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 37 | 10 | 43 | 7 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 3 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 37 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:25 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
