Baltimore Ravens Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Beat San Francisco 20-17, playoff odds up 1.5 to 99.6%
10-2-0 .833
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Baltimore 20 San Francisco 17 | +1.7 | +0.4 | ||
| Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 | -0.5 | -0.1 | ||
| Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 | +0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Houston 28 New England 22 | -0.1 | +0.1 | ||
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | -0.0 | |||
| Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Buffalo vs Baltimore | -0.4*InIn | -0.5-0.1+0.5 | ||
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | +0.2*+0.1-0.2 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Oakland vs Tennessee | +0.1*In-0.1 | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | ||
| Houston vs Denver | -0.1*In+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Baltimore finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 14 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 54,483 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 93 | 7 | 166 | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 91 | 9 | 218,419 | |||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 64 | 36 | 528 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 51 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 327,597 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 12 | 78 | 9 | 0 | 539 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 6 | 54 | 25 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 217,954 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 36 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 162 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 93.0 | % | 7 | 18 | 25 | 3 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 54,440 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 99.6 | % | 50 | 34 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 874,288 | |||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Baltimore 20 San Francisco 17 | -0.8 | |
| Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 | +0.2 | |
| Houston 28 New England 22 | -0.1 | |
| Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 | +0.1 | |
| Atlanta 18 New Orleans 26 | +0.1 | |
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | +0.0 | |
| Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 | +0.0 | |
| NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Buffalo vs Baltimore | +1.0+0.2-1.0 | |
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | |
| New England vs Kansas City | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| Houston vs Denver | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |
| Oakland vs Tennessee | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
| Green Bay vs Washington | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| New Orleans vs San Francisco | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Minnesota vs Detroit | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 14 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 94 | 6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 77 | 17 | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 60 | 31 | 9 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 21 | 42 | 30 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 10 | 41 | 30 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 7 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 36 | 7 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 25 | 25 | 16 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:25 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
