United States Playoff Chances 1 50/50
Beat Canada 4-3 (ot), playoff odds up 11.6 to 85.3%
4 points 2 0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Tuesday, 1/21 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | First Round Bye | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Canada 3 United States 4 (ot) | +11.7 | +13.6 | +0.7 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Italy vs Japan | +0.8-0.8-1.4-0.3 | +0.2-1.3-1.6+0.6 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||
| Germany vs Spain | +0.7-0.7-1.2-0.2 | *-0.1-1.5-1.3+0.8 | -0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||
| Mexico vs France | +0.5-1.1-1.2*+0.0 | +0.4-1.6-1.8+0.5 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Wednesday, 1/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | First Round Bye | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States vs Italy | +9.5+8.6-0.5-11.6 | +16.6+14.6-2.4-19.7 | +0.8+0.7-0.1-0.9 | |||
| Japan vs France | *+0.0-1.5-1.0+0.6 | +0.5-1.4-1.3+0.1 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||
| Spain vs Canada | +0.2-1.0-1.1+0.3 | -0.3-0.9-0.7+0.8 | ||||
| Mexico vs Germany | +0.2-0.9-1.0+0.2 | +0.5-1.8-1.9+0.4 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the United States finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | First | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | Round Bye | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Count | |||||
| 14 | 5 | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 155,801 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 4 | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | 152,978 | ||||||||||
| 12 | 4 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 100.0 | % | 83 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 615,123 | ||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100.0 | 71 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 61,533 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 99.8 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 492,151 | ||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 3 | In | 99.5 | 37 | 49 | 13 | 1 | 12,227 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 95.5 | 18 | 49 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 984,971 | ||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 90.3 | 10 | 41 | 40 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 147,553 | ||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 4 | In | 81.0 | 5 | 30 | 45 | 18 | 1 | 1,209 | |||||||||
| 9 | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | 99.6 | 60.9 | 1 | 16 | 43 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 589,601 | ||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 3 | 98.9 | 44.0 | 0 | 9 | 35 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 19,890 | |||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 5 | 97.8 | 28.9 | 4 | 24 | 38 | 31 | 2 | 45 | |||||||||
| 8 | 2 | 3 | - | 0 | 90.3 | 14.3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 41 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 788,275 | |||||
| 1 | 2 | - | 2 | 80.3 | 5.7 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 45 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 118,829 | |||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 4 | 63.4 | 0.8 | 1 | 16 | 47 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 998 | ||||||||
| 7 | 1 | 3 | - | 1 | 43.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 314,289 | ||||||
| 0 | 2 | - | 3 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 46 | 25 | 3 | 7,909 | ||||||||
| 6 | 1 | 4 | - | 0 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 44 | 12 | 315,107 | |||||||
| 0 | 3 | - | 2 | 2.3 | No | 0 | 2 | 25 | 52 | 21 | 31,359 | |||||||||
| 5 | 0 | 4 | - | 1 | 0.3 | No | 0 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 62,768 | |||||||||
| 4 | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 26 | 73 | 51,880 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 85.3 | % | 62.0 | % | 26 | 20 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 4,924,496 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:41 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
