United States Playoff Chances 1
Beat Canada 4-3 (ot), playoff odds up 8.3 to 96.9%
4 points 2 0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Tuesday, 1/21 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | First Round Bye | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Canada 3 United States 4 (ot) | +4.9 | +7.7 | +0.4 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Italy vs Japan | +0.3-0.2-0.8-0.5 | -0.2-1.0-0.6+1.2 | -0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1 | |||
| Germany vs Spain | +0.3-0.2-0.6-0.3 | -0.5-1.1*-0.1+1.6 | -0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Mexico vs France | +0.3-0.3-0.5-0.3 | +0.0-1.3-0.9+0.9 | -0.0-0.1-0.0+0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Wednesday, 1/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | First Round Bye | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States vs Italy | +2.2+2.0-0.1-3.9 | +10.4+8.5-3.9-17.0 | +0.5+0.4-0.2-0.8 | |||
| Japan vs France | +0.0-0.7-0.4+0.2 | +0.5-0.6-0.7-0.2 | ||||
| Spain vs Canada | -0.1-0.3-0.1+0.4 | -0.3-0.4+0.2+0.6 | ||||
| Mexico vs Germany | +0.1-0.2-0.2+0.0 | +0.5-1.6-1.6+0.3 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the United States finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | First | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | Round Bye | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Count | |||||
| 14 | 5 | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 2,041,497 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 4 | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 88 | 12 | 0 | 1,075,588 | ||||||||||
| 12 | 4 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 100.0 | % | 65 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 4,304,018 | ||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100.0 | 46 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 220,483 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 99.0 | 24 | 55 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1,764,764 | ||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 3 | In | 96.6 | 14 | 50 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 21,720 | |||||||||
| 10 | 3 | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 89.1 | 6 | 38 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3,532,641 | ||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 76.4 | 3 | 24 | 50 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 261,212 | ||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 4 | In | 63.7 | 1 | 15 | 48 | 33 | 4 | 1,044 | |||||||||
| 9 | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | 99.6 | 44.1 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1,048,884 | ||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 3 | 98.7 | 27.2 | 2 | 25 | 50 | 21 | 1 | 16,504 | |||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 5 | In | 7.7 | 8 | 42 | 50 | 26 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | 3 | - | 0 | 93.1 | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1,398,308 | |||||
| 1 | 2 | - | 2 | 85.3 | 4.4 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 48 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 99,557 | |||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 4 | 74.0 | 0.8 | 1 | 18 | 55 | 24 | 2 | 392 | |||||||||
| 7 | 1 | 3 | - | 1 | 57.0 | 0.3 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 264,710 | |||||||
| 0 | 2 | - | 3 | 38.3 | No | 3 | 35 | 47 | 14 | 0 | 3,008 | |||||||||
| 6 | 1 | 4 | - | 0 | 20.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 50 | 27 | 2 | 266,149 | |||||||
| 0 | 3 | - | 2 | 8.4 | No | 0 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 4 | 12,244 | |||||||||
| 5 | 0 | 4 | - | 1 | 1.6 | No | 2 | 26 | 56 | 16 | 24,347 | |||||||||
| 4 | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 6 | 53 | 41 | 24,376 | |||||||||
| Total: | 96.9 | % | 81.7 | % | 40 | 25 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16,381,472 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:41 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
